Lorenzo Sonego and Roberto Carballes Baena will face off in the qualifications of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Sonego who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Sonego is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Sonego -> 1.56
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Sonego vs. Roberto Carballes Baena
This will be the 6th time that Lorenzo Sonego and Roberto Carballes Baena face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Sonego won 4-6 7-6(1) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Cordoba back in 2022.
Highlights Lorenzo Sonego vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Cordoba 03-February-2022
Lorenzo Sonego
25 - 31win/loss
53
21
LWLWWLLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, Sonego got to the qualifications after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 5-7 7-5.
In the qualifications, Lorenzo defeated Van De Zandschulp (6-3 5-7 7-5). During the match, Sonego scored 105 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 97. Sonego was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sonego made 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was very effective on serve to win 71% (45/63) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Lorenzo broke Van De Zandschulp 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Sonego has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (331-264). 2-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sonego has an aggregate 57-43 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Salem where he beat Alex Michelsen in the final 6-0 6-3.
The Italian has an overall 25-31 win-loss record in 2024, 2-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Roberto Carballes Baena
37 - 28win/loss
57
49
LLLWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-18 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, Roberto reached the qualifications after defeating Alexandre Muller 6-4 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Muller (6-4 7-5). During the match Carballes Baena scored 75 points vs Muller’s 68. Roberto was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Carballes Baena scored 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 59% of his first serves in, winning 76% (35/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Roberto broke Muller 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Braunschweig Challenger where he overcame Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-1 6-3 and the Seville Challenger where he overcame Daniel Altmaier in the final 6-3 7-5.
Roberto has an overall 37-28 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sonego | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 22 |
| Pts | 105-97 | 75-68 |
| Total Points | 202 | 143 |
| Winners | 45 | 35 |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% |
Both Sonego and Carballes Baena played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Lorenzo Sonego conceded 1 set while Roberto Carballes Baena hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sonego has played 1 set more than Carballes Baena (3 vs 2). Therefore, Sonego played 11 games more than Carballes Baena. Lorenzo scored 45 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Roberto recorded 35 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sonego | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 5 |
| 1st in | 63/96 | 46/78 |
| %1st in | 66% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 35/46 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 15/32 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 47% |
Sonego made 10 aces . Carballes Baena made 5 aces . Sonego won 71% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Carballes Baena won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sonego | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 31% | 60% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 40% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Lorenzo broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Sonego dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Roberto broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Roberto conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sonego | |||
| Q1 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 105-97 | 105-97 | |
| Total points | 202 | 202 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 63/96 | 63/96 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 45/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 18/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Carballes Baena | |||
| Q1 Muller |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 75-68 | 75-68 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 46/78 | 46/78 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 35/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 15/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLWLL
LLLWLWLWWL 
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