Alex De Minaur and Karen Khachanov will face off in the semifinal of the Erste Bank Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.74
Karen Khachanov -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 3^rd time that Alex De Minaur and Karen Khachanov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for De Minaur and Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Khachanov won 6-3 6-7(1) 7-5 in the 1^st round in Dubai back in 2022.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 10, the Australian reached the semifinal after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 2-6 6-2 6-2, Flavio Cobolli 7-6(2) 3-1 ret. and Jakub Mensik 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter against Mensik, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7² 6-3 6-4). During the match, De Minaur scored 113 points vs Mensik’s 102. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Minaur made 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alex De Minaur was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (54/69) of his 1st serve and 53% (24/45) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. De Minaur broke Mensik twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (362-201). 8-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has a composed 64-37 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Acapulco where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.

Alex has a compiled 44-14 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Karen Khachanov

Ranked no. 24, Khachanov got to the semifinal after defeating Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-2 6-4, Brandon Nakashima 1-6 6-3 6-4 and Matteo Berrettini 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (6-1 6-4). During the match Khachanov scored 60 points vs Berrettini’s 43. Khachanov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Khachanov managed to score 5 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Karen Khachanov was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Berrettini 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karen has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Doha where he defeated Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4 and in Almaty where he overcame Gabriel Diallo in the final 6-2 5-7 6-3.

Khachanov has a compiled 32-20 win-loss record in 2024, 9-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2016, 2019 and 2023. See his history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Khachanov
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	9	7
Tot Games	73	61
Pts	250-219	203-162
Total Points	469	365
Winners	109	90
%Winners	44%	44%

Both De Minaur and Khachanov played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 2 sets, while Karen Khachanov lost 1 set. De Minaur has played 2 sets more than Khachanov (9 vs 7). Therefore, De Minaur played 12 games more than Khachanov. The Australian scored 109 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian scored 90 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Khachanov
Aces	12	19
Avg per match	4	6.3
1st in	136/242	114/171
%1st in	56%	67%
1st pts	109/136	90/114
%1st pts	80%	79%
2nd pts	54/106	36/57
%2nd pts	51%	63%

De Minaur struck 12 aces (4 per match). Khachanov made 19 aces (6.3 per match). De Minaur won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Khachanov
Won	8	8
Converted	8/18	8/25
% Converted	44%	32%
Conceded	12	5
Saved	9	3
% Saved	75%	60%
Times Broken	3	2

Alex broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. De Minaur dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 Struff	R2 Cobolli	1/4 Mensik	Total
Score	2-6 6-2 6-2	7-62 3-1 ret.	6-72 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	24	17	32	73
pts	77-68	60-49	113-102	250-219
Total points	145	109	215	469
Winners	27	28	54	109
%Winners	35%	47%	48%	44%
SERVE
Aces	7	2	3	12
Double Faults	3	3	6	12
1st in	36/77	31/51	69/114	136/242
% 1st in	47%	61%	61%	56%
1st pts	27/36	28/31	54/69	109/136
% 1st pts	75%	90%	78%	80%
2nd pts	22/41	8/20	24/45	54/106
% 2nd pts	54%	40%	53%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	2	2	8
Converted	4/6	2/7	2/5	8/18
Converted %	67%	29%	40%	44%
Conceded	6	2	4	12
Saved	4/6	1/2	4/4	9
Saved %	67%	50%	100%	72%
Times Broken	2	1	0	3

Khachanov
	R1 Seyboth	R2 Nakashima	1/4 Berrettini	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	1-6 6-3 6-4	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	18	26	17	61
pts	67-48	76-71	60-43	203-162
Total points	115	147	103	365
Winners	27	37	26	90
%Winners	40%	49%	43%	44%
SERVE
Aces	3	11	5	19
Double Faults	1	1	0	2
1st in	33/52	48/67	33/52	114/171
% 1st in	63%	72%	63%	67%
1st pts	27/33	37/48	26/33	90/114
% 1st pts	82%	77%	79%	79%
2nd pts	11/19	12/19	13/19	36/57
% 2nd pts	58%	63%	68%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	2	3	8
Converted	3/3	2/10	3/12	8/25
Converted %	100%	20%	25%	32%
Conceded	1	2	2	5
Saved	1/1	0/2	2/2	3
Saved %	100%	0%	100%	67%
Times Broken	0	2	0	2

Tennis Scores in Vienna

• Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Luciano Darderi/Mariano NavoneDarderi/Mariano Navone (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7² 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-6 7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Lukas Klein/Jozef KovalikKlein/Jozef Kovalik (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-7⁷ 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
• Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (6-7⁵ 7-6⁵ 10-8) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jack DraperDraper (0-2) – H2H and prediction