Katie Boulter and Sofia Kenin will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Katie Boulter who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Katie Boulter is the pick to win this match.
Katie Boulter -> 1.44
Sofia Kenin -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Katie Boulter vs. Sofia Kenin

This will be the 2nd time that Katie Boulter and Sofia Kenin face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kenin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Kenin won 6-4 4-1 ret. in the 2nd round in Acapulco back in 2019.

Katie Boulter

Katie Boulter

32 - 20win/loss

Hard
20-10
I Hard
1-1
Clay
3-6
Grass
8-3
Rank
24
High
23
LWWLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 38-23 24-12 3-6 3-2 8-3 0-0
2023 40-20 22-12 1-1 3-3 10-4 4-0
2022 29-18 4-7 0-0 16-7 9-4 0-0
2021 28-15 12-9 5-1 7-3 4-2 0-0
2020 14-8 10-6 1-1 3-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 33, Katie got to the semifinal after beating Priscilla Hon 6-1 6-4, Kyoka Okamura 6-1 6-2 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-2 6-1.

In the quarter, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (6-2 6-1). During the match, Boulter scored 55 points vs Andreescu’s 28. Katie was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Regarding the service games, Boulter made 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Katie Boulter was very efficient on serve to win 87% (20/23) of her 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Andreescu 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 64% of the points she played.

Boulter has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (272-162). 20-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Boulter has a composed 136-94 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in San Diego where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Nottingham where she defeated Karolina Pliskova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Boulter has a composed 32-20 win-loss record in 2024, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Boulter has never competed in this tournament before.

Tokyo
Boulter's Record

Sofia Kenin

Sofia Kenin

13 - 24win/loss

Hard
7-15
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-6
Grass
1-3
Rank
81
High
4
LWWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 16-26 10-17 5-6 0-0 1-3 0-0
2023 27-21 17-12 3-4 1-2 6-3 0-0
2022 10-17 7-14 0-0 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 11-10 7-5 3-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2020 24-9 12-6 6-2 6-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 155, Sofia reached the semifinal after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-1 6-4, Clara Tauson 6-7(8) 6-4 7-6(6) and Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Kenin had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-3 6-4). During the match Kenin scored 63 points vs Kasatkina’s 52. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Kenin couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sofia Kenin lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Kenin put 62% of her first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kasatkina 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sofia has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Kenin has an overall 13-24 win-loss record in 2024, 7-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tokyo
Kenin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Boulter
S.Kenin
3h:27
3h:27
Time on court​
!
5h:27
5h:27
1h:02
1h:02
Last match​
1h:18
1h:18
3
3
Match played
3
3
47
47
Games Played​
72
72
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
168
168
Total points​
254
254
56
56
Avg point​
84.7
84.7
63
63
Winners
107
107
21
21
Avg Winners​
35.7
35.7
38%
38%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
7
7
3
3
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
9
9
Double Faults
9
9
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
63/80
63/80
1st won total​
107/144
107/144
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
32/53
32/53
2nd won total​
33/65
33/65
60%
60%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
15/19
15/19
BP won
11/24
11/24
5/6.3
5/6.3
Avg BP won
3.7/8
3.7/8
!
79%
79%
Won
46%
46%
3
3
Conceded
5
5
1
1
Avg Conceded
1.7
1.7
1
1
Broken
4
4
!
0.3
0.3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
2
2
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Boulter Kenin
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 47 72
Pts 168-96 254-215
Total Points 264 469
Winners 63 107
%Winners 38% 42%

Both Boulter and Kenin played 3 matches. At the moment, Sofia Kenin conceded 1 set while Katie Boulter hasn’t lost a set so far. Boulter has played 1 set(s) less than Kenin (6 vs 7). Therefore, Boulter played 25 games less than Kenin. The Brit scored 63 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Kenin made 107 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Boulter Kenin
Aces 9 7
Avg per match 3 2.3
1st in 80/133 144/209
%1st in 60% 69%
1st pts 63/80 107/144
%1st pts 79% 74%
2nd pts 32/53 33/65
%2nd pts 60% 51%

Boulter recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Kenin struck 7 aces (2.3 per match). Boulter won 79% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Boulter Kenin
Won 15 11
Converted 15/19 11/24
% Converted 79% 46%
Conceded 3 5
Saved 2 1
% Saved 67% 20%
Times Broken 1 4

Katie broke her opponents 15 times with a 79% conversion rate. Boulter conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Sofia broke her opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Sofia conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 20% of the break points that she conceded.

Boulter
R1
Hon
R2
Okamura
1/4
Andreescu
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 17 15 15 47
pts 59-42 54-26 55-28 168-96
Total points 101 80 83 264
Winners 27 16 20 63
%Winners 46% 30% 36% 38%
SERVE
Aces 4 0 5 9
Double Faults 3 2 4 9
1st in 37/57 20/37 23/39 80/133
% 1st in 65% 54% 59% 60%
1st pts 27/37 16/20 20/23 63/80
% 1st pts 73% 80% 87% 79%
2nd pts 9/20 13/17 10/16 32/53
% 2nd pts 45% 76% 63% 60%
Breaks
Won 5 5 5 15
Converted 5/5 5/7 5/7 15/19
Converted % 100% 71% 71% 79%
Conceded 2 0 1 3
Saved 1/2 0/0 1/1 2
Saved % 50% 100% 50%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1
Kenin
R1
Wang
R2
Tauson
1/4
Kasatkina
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-78 6-4 7-66 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 17 36 19 72
pts 71-49 120-114 63-52 254-215
Total points 120 234 115 469
Winners 30 56 21 107
%Winners 42% 47% 33% 42%
SERVE
Aces 2 5 0 7
Double Faults 3 5 1 9
1st in 36/48 77/111 31/50 144/209
% 1st in 75% 69% 62% 69%
1st pts 30/36 56/77 21/31 107/144
% 1st pts 83% 73% 68% 74%
2nd pts 7/12 18/34 8/19 33/65
% 2nd pts 58% 53% 42% 51%
Breaks
Won 3 2 6 11
Converted 3/8 2/6 6/10 11/24
Converted % 38% 33% 60% 46%
Conceded 1 1 3 5
Saved 1/1 0/1 0/3 1
Saved % 100% 0% 0% 33%
Times Broken 0 1 3 4

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Upcoming matches in the draw