Marc Polmans and Yuta Shimizu will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Playford Challenger for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yuta Shimizu who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yuta Shimizu is the pick to win this match.
Yuta Shimizu -> 1.68
Marc Polmans -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Marc Polmans vs. Yuta Shimizu

This will be the 5^th time that Marc Polmans and Yuta Shimizu square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Polmans and Shimizu (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they played, Shimizu won 6-4 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Yokohama Challenger back in 2023.

Marc Polmans

Ranked no. 231, Marc got to the semifinal after beating Zura Tkemaladze 2-6 6-4 6-4, Shintaro Imai 7-6(7) 3-6 6-2 and Shintaro Mochizuki 2-6 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter against Mochizuki, Marc recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Polmans scored 86 points vs Mochizuki’s 85. Polmans was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Polmans blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Marc Polmans lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Polmans put 67% of his first serves in, winning 65% (39/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Mochizuki 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marc has surrendered 3 set in this event to conquer 50% of the points he played.

Polmans has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (321-249). 17-16 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Polmans has a composed 189-142 record in the last years on hard.

The Australian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Cairns.

Marc has an aggregate 23-25 win-loss record in 2024, 17-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Playford Challenger

Yuta Shimizu

Ranked no. 247, Shimizu got to the semifinal after defeating Blake Mott 6-3 7-5, Yuki Mochizuki 7-6(8) 6-2 and Li Tu 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Tu (6-4 6-2). During the match Shimizu scored 62 points vs Tu’s 49. Yuta was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Shimizu scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Yuta Shimizu lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Shimizu put 54% of his first serves in, winning 81% (26/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Yuta broke Tu 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shimizu hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Yuta’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Little Rock Challenger.

Yuta has an aggregate 28-25 win-loss record in 2024, 24-22 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Playford Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Polmans	Shimizu
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	9	6
Tot Games	86	60
Pts	281-280	210-165
Total Points	561	375
Winners	120	91
%Winners	43%	43%

Both Polmans and Shimizu played 3 matches. At the moment, Marc Polmans lost 3 sets while Yuta Shimizu hasn’t conceded a set so far. Polmans has played 3 sets more than Shimizu (9 vs 6). Therefore, Polmans played 26 games more than Shimizu. The Australian scored 120 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 91 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Polmans	Shimizu
Aces	13	9
Avg per match	4.3	3
1st in	183/283	124/190
%1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	120/183	91/124
%1st pts	66%	73%
2nd pts	43/100	34/66
%2nd pts	43%	52%

Polmans recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Shimizu bagged 9 aces (3 per match). Polmans won 66% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Shimizu won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Polmans	Shimizu
Won	15	13
Converted	15/29	13/24
% Converted	52%	54%
Conceded	30	11
Saved	16	5
% Saved	53%	45%
Times Broken	14	6

Marc broke his opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve 14 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Yuta broke his opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.

Polmans
	R1 Tkemaladze	R2 Imai	1/4 Mochizuki	Total
Score	2-6 6-4 6-4	7-67 3-6 6-2	2-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	28	30	28	86
pts	94-96	101-99	86-85	281-280
Total points	190	200	171	561
Winners	31	50	39	120
%Winners	33%	50%	45%	43%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	5	13
Double Faults	7	8	2	17
1st in	54/91	69/103	60/89	183/283
% 1st in	59%	67%	67%	65%
1st pts	31/54	50/69	39/60	120/183
% 1st pts	57%	72%	65%	66%
2nd pts	18/37	13/34	12/29	43/100
% 2nd pts	49%	38%	41%	43%
Breaks
Won	6	4	5	15
Converted	6/14	4/8	5/7	15/29
Converted %	43%	50%	71%	52%
Conceded	12	8	10	30
Saved	6/12	5/8	5/10	16
Saved %	50%	63%	50%	54%
Times Broken	6	3	5	14

Shimizu
	R1 Mott	R2 Mochizuki	1/4 Tu	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	7-68 6-2	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	21	21	18	60
pts	71-54	77-62	62-49	210-165
Total points	125	139	111	375
Winners	38	27	26	91
%Winners	54%	35%	42%	43%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	1	9
Double Faults	3	1	2	6
1st in	49/68	43/63	32/59	124/190
% 1st in	72%	68%	54%	65%
1st pts	38/49	27/43	26/32	91/124
% 1st pts	78%	63%	81%	73%
2nd pts	8/19	13/20	13/27	34/66
% 2nd pts	42%	65%	48%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	5	4	13
Converted	4/8	5/10	4/6	13/24
Converted %	50%	50%	67%	54%
Conceded	5	4	2	11
Saved	3/5	1/4	1/2	5
Saved %	60%	25%	50%	45%
Times Broken	2	3	1	6

Tennis Scores in Playford Challenger

• Masamichi ImamuraImamura – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Marc PolmansPolmans – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Li TuTu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Omar JasikaJasika (5-7 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jake Delaney/Jesse DelaneyDelaney/Jesse Delaney – Tristan Schoolkate/Li TuSchoolkate/Li Tu (1-6 7-6⁵ 10-8) – See score progression
• Calum Puttergill/Dane SweenyPuttergill/Dane Sweeny – Rinky Hijikata/Mac KigerHijikata/Mac Kiger (6-4 6-7⁴ 16-14) – See score progression
• Seita Watanabe/Takeru YuzukiWatanabe/Takeru Yuzuki – Matthew Hulme/James WattHulme/James Watt (6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marc PolmansPolmans – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Masamichi ImamuraImamura (0-0) – H2H and prediction