Colton Smith and Ozan Baris will clash against each other in the quarter of the Sioux Falls Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Colton Smith who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Colton Smith is the pick to win this match.
Colton Smith -> 1.36
Ozan Baris -> 2.94
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Prediction and head to head Colton Smith vs. Ozan Baris
There is no head to head record between Colton Smith and Ozan Baris since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Colton Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-9 | 22-7 | 0-0 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 5-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 496 (career-high), Colton got to the quarter after beating Martin Damm 5-7 7-6(3) 6-1 and Kyle Edmund 7-6(3) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Smith had a good straight sets win against Edmund (7-63 6-4). During the match, Smith scored 73 points vs Edmund’s 55. Colton was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Smith recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Colton Smith was very efficient on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Smith broke Edmund twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Smith has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Smith has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 3 years having won 74% of his matches (35-12). 8-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Smith has a compiled9-3 record in the last 3 years on indoor hard courts.
Smith’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Los Angeles,M25 Dallas and M25 Champaign.
The American has a composed 30-8 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sioux Falls Challenger
Smith has never competed in this tournament before.
Ozan Baris
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-13 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-15 | 13-11 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-11 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 709, the American reached the quarter after defeating Alastair Gray 3-6 6-4 6-3 and Govind Nanda 7-6(4) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Nanda (7-64 6-4). During the match Baris scored 89 points vs Nanda’s 80. The American was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Baris couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ozan Baris lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Baris put 63% of his first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. Baris broke Nanda 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The American has a compiled 12-11 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Smith | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 51 |
| Pts | 176-137 | 173-156 |
| Total Points | 313 | 329 |
| Winners | 82 | 61 |
| %Winners | 47% | 35% |
Both Smith and Baris played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Colton Smith surrendered 1 set, while Ozan Baris conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Smith and Baris have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Smith played 4 games more than Baris. Colton scored 82 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Ozan recorded 61 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Smith | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 104/148 | 88/141 |
| %1st in | 70% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 82/104 | 61/88 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 29/44 | 30/53 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 57% |
Smith blasted 18 aces (9 per match). Baris scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Smith won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Baris won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Smith | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 63% | 41% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Smith broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Smith lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Ozan broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Ozan conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Smith | ||||
| R1 Damm |
R2 Edmund |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-63 6-1 | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 23 | 55 | |
| pts | 103-82 | 73-55 | 176-137 | |
| Total points | 185 | 128 | 313 | |
| Winners | 50 | 32 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 44% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 8 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 65/89 | 39/59 | 104/148 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 66% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 50/65 | 32/39 | 82/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 82% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 14/20 | 29/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 70% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/3 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Baris | ||||
| R1 Gray |
R2 Nanda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 23 | 51 | |
| pts | 84-76 | 89-80 | 173-156 | |
| Total points | 160 | 169 | 329 | |
| Winners | 35 | 26 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 29% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/71 | 44/70 | 88/141 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 35/44 | 26/44 | 61/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 59% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 14/26 | 30/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/11 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 36% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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