Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin will face off in the quarter of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on SHOW COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.4
Sofia Kenin -> 2.95

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Sofia Kenin

This will be the 5th time that Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Kasatkina and Kenin (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Kasatkina won 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin – U.S. Open 31-August-2023

Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina

40 - 21win/loss

Hard
24-15
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-4
Grass
8-2
Rank
9
High
8
LLWWWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
2020 18-14 7-8 5-3 6-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 9, Kasatkina reached the quarter after beating Mccartney Kessler 3-6 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round against Kessler, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-1). During the match, Kasatkina scored 87 points vs Kessler’s 78. Darya was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kasatkina made 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 72% of her first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 27% (6/22) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Kessler 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).

Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (357-205). 24-15 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a composed 159-118 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Eastbourne where she beat Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Ningbo where she overcame Mirra Andreeva in the final 6-0 4-6 6-4.

The Russian has a composed 40-21 win-loss record in 2024, 24-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Tokyo
Kasatkina's Record

Sofia Kenin

Sofia Kenin

12 - 24win/loss

Hard
6-15
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-6
Grass
1-3
Rank
81
High
4
LWWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 16-26 10-17 5-6 0-0 1-3 0-0
2023 27-21 17-12 3-4 1-2 6-3 0-0
2022 10-17 7-14 0-0 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 11-10 7-5 3-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2020 24-9 12-6 6-2 6-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 155, Sofia got to the quarter after beating Xinyu Wang 6-1 6-4 and Clara Tauson 6-7(8) 6-4 7-6(6).

In the 2nd round against Tauson, Sofia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 6-4 7-66). During the match Kenin scored 120 points vs Tauson’s 114. Sofia was extremely aggressive to blast 56 winners.

About the serving games, Kenin struck 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Sofia Kenin was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (56/77) of her 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sofia broke Tauson twice after converting 33% of her break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Sofia has a composed 12-24 win-loss record in 2024, 6-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See her history.

Tokyo
Kenin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Kasatkina
S.Kenin
1h:56
1h:56
Time on court​
!
4h:09
4h:09
1h:56
1h:56
Last match​
!
2h:51
2h:51
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
25
25
Games Played​
53
53
3
3
Set played​​
5
5
87
87
Total points​
191
191
87
87
Avg point​
95.5
95.5
38
38
Winners
86
86
38
38
Avg Winners​
43
43
44%
44%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
7
7
3
3
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
3
3
Double Faults
8
8
3
3
Avg Double Faults
4
4
38/57
38/57
1st won total​
86/113
86/113
67%
67%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
6/22
6/22
2nd won total​
25/46
25/46
!
27%
27%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
7/12
7/12
BP won
5/14
5/14
7/12
7/12
Avg BP won
2.5/7
2.5/7
!
58%
58%
Won
36%
36%
9
9
Conceded
2
2
9
9
Avg Conceded
1
1
4
4
Broken
1
1
4
4
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
5
5
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kasatkina Kenin
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 5
Tot Games 25 53
Pts 87-78 191-163
Total Points 165 354
Winners 38 86
%Winners 44% 45%

Kasatkina played 1 match while Kenin competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set, while Sofia Kenin dropped 1 set. Kasatkina has played 2 set(s) less than Kenin (3 vs 5). Therefore, Kasatkina played 28 games less than Kenin. Kasatkina scored 38 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Sofia struck 86 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kasatkina Kenin
Aces 3 7
Avg per match 3 3.5
1st in 57/79 113/159
%1st in 72% 71%
1st pts 38/57 86/113
%1st pts 67% 76%
2nd pts 6/22 25/46
%2nd pts 27% 54%

Kasatkina recorded 3 aces . Kenin recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Kasatkina won 67% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 27% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kasatkina Kenin
Won 7 5
Converted 7/12 5/14
% Converted 58% 36%
Conceded 9 2
Saved 5 1
% Saved 56% 50%
Times Broken 4 1

Darya broke her opponent 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Darya conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Sofia broke her opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
R2
Kessler
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 25
pts 87-78 87-78
Total points 165 165
Winners 38 38
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 57/79 57/79
% 1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 38/57 38/57
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 6/22 6/22
% 2nd pts 27% 27%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/12 7/12
Converted % 58% 58%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 5/9 5
Saved % 56% 56%
Times Broken 4 4
Kenin
R1
Wang
R2
Tauson
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-78 6-4 7-66
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 36 53
pts 71-49 120-114 191-163
Total points 120 234 354
Winners 30 56 86
%Winners 42% 47% 45%
SERVE
Aces 2 5 7
Double Faults 3 5 8
1st in 36/48 77/111 113/159
% 1st in 75% 69% 71%
1st pts 30/36 56/77 86/113
% 1st pts 83% 73% 76%
2nd pts 7/12 18/34 25/46
% 2nd pts 58% 53% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/8 2/6 5/14
Converted % 38% 33% 36%
Conceded 1 1 2
Saved 1/1 0/1 1
Saved % 100% 0% 100%
Times Broken 0 1 1

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Upcoming matches in the draw