Marc Polmans and Shintaro Mochizuki will square off in the quarter of the Playford Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.83
Marc Polmans -> 1.89
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Prediction and head to head Marc Polmans vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
This will be the 2nd time that Marc Polmans and Shintaro Mochizuki square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Mochizuki (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Mochizuki won 7-5 6-4 in the qualifications in the Cary Challenger back in August 2024.
Marc Polmans
22 - 25win/loss
321
116
LLWLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-28 | 18-18 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-35 | 32-23 | 14-9 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-13 | 14-12 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-28 | 1-6 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-16 | 2-6 | 5-4 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 231, Marc reached the quarter after defeating Zura Tkemaladze 2-6 6-4 6-4 and Shintaro Imai 7-6(7) 3-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Marc defeated Imai (7-67 3-6 6-2). During the match, Polmans scored 101 points vs Imai’s 99. Marc was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Polmans blasted 3 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Marc Polmans lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Polmans put 67% of his first serves in, winning 72% (50/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (13/34) on the 2nd serve. Polmans broke Imai 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has dropped 2 set in this event to win 50% of the points he played.
Polmans has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (320-249). 16-16 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Polmans has a composed 188-142 record in the last years on hard.
Polmans’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Cairns.
Polmans has an aggregate 22-25 win-loss record in 2024, 16-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Playford Challenger
Shintaro Mochizuki
23 - 27win/loss
235
129
LWWLWLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 245, Mochizuki got to the quarter after beating Aleksandre Bakshi 7-5 6-3 and Ryuki Matsuda 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Shintaro had a good straight sets win against Matsuda (6-4 6-2). During the match Mochizuki scored 61 points vs Matsuda’s 47. Mochizuki was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Mochizuki blasted 2 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Shintaro Mochizuki was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mochizuki broke Matsuda 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The Japanese has an aggregate 23-27 win-loss record in 2024, 14-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Playford Challenger
Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Polmans | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 39 |
| Pts | 195-195 | 134-102 |
| Total Points | 390 | 236 |
| Winners | 81 | 54 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Polmans and Mochizuki played 2 matches. At the moment, Marc Polmans dropped 2 sets while Shintaro Mochizuki hasn’t conceded a set so far. Polmans has played 2 sets more than Mochizuki (6 vs 4). Therefore, Polmans played 19 games more than Mochizuki. Marc scored 81 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Shintaro managed to score 54 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Polmans | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 123/194 | 71/108 |
| %1st in | 63% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 81/123 | 54/71 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 31/71 | 22/37 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 59% |
Polmans struck 8 aces (4 per match). Mochizuki blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Polmans won 66% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Polmans | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/22 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded | 20 | 4 |
| Saved | 11 | 2 |
| % Saved | 55% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 2 |
The Australian broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Polmans surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Shintaro broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Polmans | ||||
| R1 Tkemaladze |
R2 Imai |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-4 | 7-67 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 30 | 58 | |
| pts | 94-96 | 101-99 | 195-195 | |
| Total points | 190 | 200 | 390 | |
| Winners | 31 | 50 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 54/91 | 69/103 | 123/194 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 31/54 | 50/69 | 81/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 72% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 13/34 | 31/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 38% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 4/8 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 | 20 | |
| Saved | 6/12 | 5/8 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 63% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Mochizuki | ||||
| R1 Bakshi |
R2 Matsuda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 39 | |
| pts | 73-55 | 61-47 | 134-102 | |
| Total points | 128 | 108 | 236 | |
| Winners | 29 | 25 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 34/52 | 71/108 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 25/34 | 54/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 74% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 13/18 | 22/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 72% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/5 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 60% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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