Grigor Dimitrov and Tommy Paul will face off in the final of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.62
Grigor Dimitrov -> 2.3

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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 3^rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Tommy Paul clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Dimitrov and Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Dimitrov won 6-4 6-3 6-1 in the 1^st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2020.

Highlights Grigor Dimitrov vs Tommy Paul – U.S. Open 01-September-2020

Grigor Dimitrov

Ranked no. 10, Grigor got to the final after beating Quentin Halys 7-6(1) 6-3, Dominic Stricker 6-3 6-2

and Tallon Griekspoor 2-6 7-5 6-4.

In the semifinal against Griekspoor, Grigor recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-4). During the match, Dimitrov scored 98 points vs Griekspoor’s 97. Dimitrov was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Dimitrov managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 63% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the 2nd serve. The Bulgarian broke Griekspoor 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Grigor has dropped 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

Dimitrov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (324-194). 10-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Dimitrov has a compiled 67-33 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.

The Bulgarian has a compiled 43-15 win-loss record in 2024, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 13, Paul got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Laslo Djere 6-2 7-6(2), Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6(9) 6-2 and Stan Wawrinka 6-3 6-2.

In the semifinal, Paul had a good straight sets win against Wawrinka (6-3 6-2). During the match Paul scored 70 points vs Wawrinka’s 50. Paul was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul struck 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Tommy Paul was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tommy broke Wawrinka 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paul hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Dallas where he overcame Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).

Tommy has a composed 44-17 win-loss record in 2024, 7-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Dimitrov	Paul
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	69	59
Pts	239-214	227-177
Total Points	453	404
Winners	112	91
%Winners	47%	40%

Both Dimitrov and Paul played 3 matches. At the moment, Grigor Dimitrov lost 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Dimitrov has played 1 set more than Paul (7 vs 6). Therefore, Dimitrov played 10 games more than Paul. Dimitrov scored 112 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Paul scored 91 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Dimitrov	Paul
Aces	22	19
Avg per match	7.3	6.3
1st in	146/231	117/198
%1st in	63%	59%
1st pts	112/146	91/117
%1st pts	77%	78%
2nd pts	40/85	47/81
%2nd pts	47%	58%

Dimitrov bagged 22 aces (7.3 per match). Paul scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). Dimitrov won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Dimitrov	Paul
Won	8	10
Converted	8/28	10/27
% Converted	29%	37%
Conceded	17	9
Saved	13	6
% Saved	76%	67%
Times Broken	4	3

The Bulgarian broke his opponents 8 times with a 29% conversion rate. Dimitrov conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Dimitrov
	R2 Halys	1/4 Stricker	1/2 Griekspoor	Total
Score	7-61 6-3	6-3 6-2	2-6 7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	22	17	30	69
pts	79-70	62-47	98-97	239-214
Total points	149	109	195	453
Winners	37	35	40	112
%Winners	47%	56%	41%	47%
SERVE
Aces	8	6	8	22
Double Faults	4	4	5	13
1st in	45/79	43/60	58/92	146/231
% 1st in	57%	72%	63%	63%
1st pts	37/45	35/43	40/58	112/146
% 1st pts	82%	81%	69%	77%
2nd pts	14/34	7/17	19/34	40/85
% 2nd pts	41%	41%	56%	47%
Breaks
Won	2	3	3	8
Converted	2/9	3/6	3/13	8/28
Converted %	22%	50%	23%	29%
Conceded	4	7	6	17
Saved	3/4	7/7	3/6	13
Saved %	75%	100%	50%	75%
Times Broken	1	0	3	4

Paul
	R2 Djere	1/4 Kecmanovic	1/2 Wawrinka	Total
Score	6-2 7-62	7-69 6-2	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	21	21	17	59
pts	77-59	80-68	70-50	227-177
Total points	136	148	120	404
Winners	29	32	30	91
%Winners	38%	40%	43%	40%
SERVE
Aces	7	10	2	19
Double Faults	1	2	0	3
1st in	37/64	40/74	40/60	117/198
% 1st in	58%	54%	67%	59%
1st pts	29/37	32/40	30/40	91/117
% 1st pts	78%	80%	75%	78%
2nd pts	17/27	18/34	12/20	47/81
% 2nd pts	63%	53%	60%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/12	4/8	3/7	10/27
Converted %	25%	50%	43%	37%
Conceded	2	4	3	9
Saved	1/2	2/4	3/3	6
Saved %	50%	50%	100%	67%
Times Broken	1	2	0	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Tommy PaulPaul – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction