Grigor Dimitrov and Tommy Paul will face off in the final of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.62
Grigor Dimitrov -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 3rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Tommy Paul clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Dimitrov and Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Dimitrov won 6-4 6-3 6-1 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2020.
Highlights Grigor Dimitrov vs Tommy Paul – U.S. Open 01-September-2020
Grigor Dimitrov
43 - 15win/loss
10
3
LWWLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Grigor got to the final after beating Quentin Halys 7-6(1) 6-3, Dominic Stricker 6-3 6-2 and Tallon Griekspoor 2-6 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal against Griekspoor, Grigor recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-4). During the match, Dimitrov scored 98 points vs Griekspoor’s 97. Dimitrov was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dimitrov managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 63% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the 2nd serve. The Bulgarian broke Griekspoor 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Grigor has dropped 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Dimitrov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (324-194). 10-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Dimitrov has a compiled 67-33 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.
The Bulgarian has a compiled 43-15 win-loss record in 2024, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Tommy Paul
44 - 17win/loss
12
12
LLWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-19 | 17-11 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Paul got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Laslo Djere 6-2 7-6(2), Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6(9) 6-2 and Stan Wawrinka 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, Paul had a good straight sets win against Wawrinka (6-3 6-2). During the match Paul scored 70 points vs Wawrinka’s 50. Paul was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Paul struck 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Tommy Paul was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tommy broke Wawrinka 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Dallas where he overcame Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).
Tommy has a composed 44-17 win-loss record in 2024, 7-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 59 |
| Pts | 239-214 | 227-177 |
| Total Points | 453 | 404 |
| Winners | 112 | 91 |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% |
Both Dimitrov and Paul played 3 matches. At the moment, Grigor Dimitrov lost 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Dimitrov has played 1 set more than Paul (7 vs 6). Therefore, Dimitrov played 10 games more than Paul. Dimitrov scored 112 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Paul scored 91 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 146/231 | 117/198 |
| %1st in | 63% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 112/146 | 91/117 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 40/85 | 47/81 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 58% |
Dimitrov bagged 22 aces (7.3 per match). Paul scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). Dimitrov won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 10 |
| Converted | 8/28 | 10/27 |
| % Converted | 29% | 37% |
| Conceded | 17 | 9 |
| Saved | 13 | 6 |
| % Saved | 76% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Bulgarian broke his opponents 8 times with a 29% conversion rate. Dimitrov conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | |||||
| R2 Halys |
1/4 Stricker |
1/2 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 2-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 30 | 69 | |
| pts | 79-70 | 62-47 | 98-97 | 239-214 | |
| Total points | 149 | 109 | 195 | 453 | |
| Winners | 37 | 35 | 40 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 56% | 41% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 45/79 | 43/60 | 58/92 | 146/231 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 72% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/45 | 35/43 | 40/58 | 112/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 81% | 69% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/34 | 7/17 | 19/34 | 40/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | 56% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 3/6 | 3/13 | 8/28 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 50% | 23% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 7/7 | 3/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Paul | |||||
| R2 Djere |
1/4 Kecmanovic |
1/2 Wawrinka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-62 | 7-69 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | 17 | 59 | |
| pts | 77-59 | 80-68 | 70-50 | 227-177 | |
| Total points | 136 | 148 | 120 | 404 | |
| Winners | 29 | 32 | 30 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | 2 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/64 | 40/74 | 40/60 | 117/198 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 54% | 67% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 32/40 | 30/40 | 91/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 80% | 75% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 18/34 | 12/20 | 47/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 53% | 60% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 4/8 | 3/7 | 10/27 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 50% | 43% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tommy PaulPaul – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
