Daria Kasatkina and Mirra Andreeva will face off in the final of the Ningbo Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:30 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mirra Andreeva who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mirra Andreeva is the pick to win this match.
Mirra Andreeva -> 1.35
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Mirra Andreeva

There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Mirra Andreeva since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina

38 - 21win/loss

Hard
22-15
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-4
Grass
8-2
Rank
11
High
8
WWWLWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 38-21 22-15 8-4 0-0 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
2020 18-14 7-8 5-3 6-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 11, the Russian reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Katerina Siniakova 1-6 6-3 6-2, Yulia Putintseva 6-4 1-6 7-6(6) and Paula Badosa 6-4 ret..

In the semifinal against Badosa, Kasatkina had a free pass after Badosa retired on a 6-4 . scoreline.

Kasatkina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (355-205). 22-15 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kasatkina has a composed 157-118 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Eastbourne where she beat Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4.

Darya has an aggregate 38-21 win-loss record in 2024, 22-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Ningbo

Darya has never competed in this tournament before.

Ningbo
Kasatkina's Record

Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva

34 - 15win/loss

Hard
18-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
16-5
Grass
0-2
Rank
19
High
19
WWWWLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 34-15 18-8 16-5 0-0 0-2 0-0
2023 36-9 7-4 23-4 0-0 6-1 0-0
2022 39-9 21-5 18-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Andreeva got to the final after defeating Varvara Lepchenko 6-2 6-0, Tamara Korpatsch 6-0 6-4, Barbora Krejcikova 7-6(5) 3-2 ret. and Karolina Muchova 6-2 1-0 ret..

In the semifinal against Muchova, Mirra had a free pass after Muchova retired on a 6-2 1-0 . scoreline.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Iasi where she beat Elina Avanesyan in the final 5-7 7-5 4-0 ret..

Mirra has a composed 34-15 win-loss record in 2024, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Ningbo
Andreeva's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Kasatkina
M.Andreeva
5h:34
5h:34
Time on court​
4h:44
4h:44
!
0h:48
0h:48
Last match​
!
0h:46
0h:46
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
64
64
Games Played​
57
57
8
8
Set played​​
10
10
218
218
Total points​
219
219
72.7
72.7
Avg point​
54.8
54.8
82
82
Winners
76
76
27.3
27.3
Avg Winners​
19
19
38%
38%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
12
12
0.3
0.3
Avg Aces
3
3
14
14
Double Faults
8
8
4.7
4.7
Avg Double Faults
2
2
82/134
82/134
1st won total​
76/104
76/104
61%
61%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
26/64
26/64
2nd won total​
37/65
37/65
41%
41%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
13/34
13/34
BP won
17/30
17/30
4.3/11.3
4.3/11.3
Avg BP won
4.3/7.5
4.3/7.5
38%
38%
Won
!
57%
57%
23
23
Conceded
14
14
7.7
7.7
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
12
12
Broken
6
6
4
4
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
11
11
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kasatkina Andreeva
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 8 10
Tot Games 64 57
Pts 218-217 219-148
Total Points 435 367
Winners 82 76
%Winners 38% 35%

Kasatkina played 3 matches while Andreeva competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina lost 2 sets while Mirra Andreeva hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kasatkina has played 2 set(s) less than Andreeva (8 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Kasatkina played 7 games more than Andreeva. The Russian scored 82 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 76 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kasatkina Andreeva
Aces 1 12
Avg per match 0.3 3
1st in 134/198 104/169
%1st in 68% 62%
1st pts 82/134 76/104
%1st pts 61% 73%
2nd pts 26/64 37/65
%2nd pts 41% 57%

Kasatkina recorded 1 ace (0.3 per match). Andreeva also scored 12 aces (3 per match). Kasatkina won 61% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kasatkina Andreeva
Won 13 17
Converted 13/34 17/30
% Converted 38% 57%
Conceded 23 14
Saved 11 8
% Saved 48% 57%
Times Broken 12 6

Kasatkina broke her opponents 13 times with a 38% conversion rate. Kasatkina lost her serve 12 times and she saved 48% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 17 times with a 57% conversion rate. Andreeva conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
R2
Siniakova
1/4
Putintseva
1/2
Badosa
Total
Score 1-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 1-6 7-66 6-4 ret.
Tot Set 3 3 1 7
Tot Games 24 30 10 64
pts 87-82 95-104 36-31 218-217
Total points 169 199 67 435
Winners 34 33 15 82
%Winners 39% 35% 42% 38%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 0 1
Double Faults 5 8 1 14
1st in 54/79 56/86 24/33 134/198
% 1st in 68% 65% 73% 68%
1st pts 34/54 33/56 15/24 82/134
% 1st pts 63% 59% 63% 61%
2nd pts 10/25 11/30 5/9 26/64
% 2nd pts 40% 37% 56% 41%
Breaks
Won 6 5 2 13
Converted 6/14 5/13 2/7 13/34
Converted % 43% 38% 29% 38%
Conceded 15 7 1 23
Saved 10/15 1/7 0/1 11
Saved % 67% 14% 0% 27%
Times Broken 5 6 1 12
Andreeva
R1
Lepchenko
R2
Korpatsch
1/4
Krejcikova
1/2
Muchova
Total
Score 6-2 6-0 6-0 6-4 7-65 3-2 ret. 6-2 1-0 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 14 16 18 9 57
pts 55-25 64-45 65-60 35-18 219-148
Total points 80 109 125 53 367
Winners 25 17 21 13 76
%Winners 45% 27% 32% 37% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 4 3 12
Double Faults 0 1 6 1 8
1st in 29/38 32/49 27/57 16/25 104/169
% 1st in 76% 65% 47% 64% 62%
1st pts 25/29 17/32 21/27 13/16 76/104
% 1st pts 86% 53% 78% 81% 73%
2nd pts 5/9 13/17 14/30 5/9 37/65
% 2nd pts 56% 76% 47% 56% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 6 3 3 17
Converted 5/5 6/10 3/10 3/5 17/30
Converted % 100% 60% 30% 60% 57%
Conceded 2 4 6 2 14
Saved 2/2 2/4 3/6 1/2 8
Saved % 100% 50% 50% 50% 83%
Times Broken 0 2 3 1 6

Upcoming matches in the draw