Karen Khachanov and Gabriel Diallo will face off in the final of the Almaty Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.58
Gabriel Diallo -> 2.38

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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Gabriel Diallo

This will be the 2^nd time that Karen Khachanov and Gabriel Diallo face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Khachanov won 6-4 6-4 in the 1^st round in Montreal back in August 2024.

Karen Khachanov

Ranked no. 26, Khachanov reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Otto Virtanen 7-6(2) 7-6(3), Beibit Zhukayev 6-2 6-4 and Aleksandar Vukic 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal against Vukic, Karen recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7³ 6-3 6-4). During the match, Khachanov scored 108 points vs Vukic’s 90. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Khachanov made 15 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Karen Khachanov was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (46/59) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Vukic 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Khachanov has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Khachanov has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (364-236). 5-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Khachanov has a compiled 93-61 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Doha where he overcame Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4.

Khachanov has an overall 28-20 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Almaty

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 118, Gabriel reached the final after defeating Christopher O Connell 7-6(5) 6-2, Borna Coric 7-6(1) 6-4, Alejandro Tabilo 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (6-4 6-2). During the match Diallo scored 57 points vs Cerundolo’s 42. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Diallo scored 5 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Gabriel Diallo was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diallo was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Cerundolo 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Diallo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he overcame Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Diallo has an overall 47-23 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Khachanov	Diallo
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	7	9
Tot Games	76	90
Pts	248-198	288-248
Total Points	446	536
Winners	111	157
%Winners	45%	55%

Khachanov played 3 matches while Diallo competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov surrendered 1 set, while Gabriel Diallo conceded 1 set. Khachanov has played 2 set(s) less than Diallo (7 vs 9). Therefore, Khachanov played 14 games less than Diallo. The Russian scored 111 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian made 157 winners (55%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Khachanov	Diallo
Aces	22	28
Avg per match	7.3	7
1st in	135/206	200/263
%1st in	66%	76%
1st pts	111/135	157/200
%1st pts	82%	79%
2nd pts	43/71	35/63
%2nd pts	61%	56%

Khachanov struck 22 aces (7.3 per match). Diallo blasted 28 aces (7 per match). Khachanov won 82% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Khachanov	Diallo
Won	8	8
Converted	8/20	8/19
% Converted	40%	42%
Conceded	7	8
Saved	4	7
% Saved	57%	88%
Times Broken	3	1

Karen broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Gabriel conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Khachanov
	R2 Virtanen	1/4 Zhukayev	1/2 Vukic	Total
Score	7-62 7-63	6-2 6-4	6-73 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	26	18	32	76
pts	77-61	63-47	108-90	248-198
Total points	138	110	198	446
Winners	37	28	46	111
%Winners	48%	44%	43%	45%
SERVE
Aces	5	2	15	22
Double Faults	1	0	1	2
1st in	42/67	34/48	59/91	135/206
% 1st in	63%	71%	65%	66%
1st pts	37/42	28/34	46/59	111/135
% 1st pts	88%	82%	78%	82%
2nd pts	17/25	9/14	17/32	43/71
% 2nd pts	68%	64%	53%	61%
Breaks
Won	1	3	4	8
Converted	1/1	3/10	4/9	8/20
Converted %	100%	30%	44%	40%
Conceded	2	0	5	7
Saved	1/2	0/0	3/5	4
Saved %	50%	–	60%	37%
Times Broken	1	0	2	3

Diallo
	R1 O	R2 Coric	1/4 Tabilo	1/2 Cerundolo	Total
Score	7-65 6-2	7-61 6-4	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	21	23	28	18	90
pts	70-60	72-65	89-81	57-42	288-248
Total points	130	137	170	99	536
Winners	43	40	44	30	157
%Winners	61%	56%	49%	53%	55%
SERVE
Aces	9	8	6	5	28
Double Faults	3	2	0	0	5
1st in	52/62	48/67	62/82	38/52	200/263
% 1st in	84%	72%	76%	73%	76%
1st pts	43/52	40/48	44/62	30/38	157/200
% 1st pts	83%	83%	71%	79%	79%
2nd pts	4/10	9/19	14/20	8/14	35/63
% 2nd pts	40%	47%	70%	57%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	1	2	3	8
Converted	2/6	1/4	2/6	3/3	8/19
Converted %	33%	25%	33%	100%	42%
Conceded	1	2	4	1	8
Saved	1/1	2/2	3/4	1/1	7
Saved %	100%	100%	75%	100%	125%
Times Broken	0	0	1	0	1

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Gabriel DialloDiallo (1-0) – H2H and prediction