Arthur Cazaux and Mackenzie Mcdonald will face off in the final of the Shenzhen Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.71
Arthur Cazaux -> 2.04

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Prediction and head to head Arthur Cazaux vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald

There is no head to head record between Arthur Cazaux and Mackenzie Mcdonald since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Arthur Cazaux

Ranked no. 87, the French player got to the final after beating Yaojie Zeng 6-3 6-2, Tianhui Zhang 7-6(5) 6-1, Arthur Weber 6-1 6-3 and Yan Bai 6-4 6-0.

In the semifinal, Cazaux had a good straight sets win against Bai (6-4 6-0). During the match, Cazaux scored 61 points vs Bai’s 38. Cazaux was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Cazaux struck 5 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Arthur Cazaux was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (19/25) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Bai 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

Cazaux has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (167-99). 25-14 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Cazaux has an aggregate100-39 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he overcame Enzo Couacaud in the final 6-1 6-1.

The French player has an aggregate 27-21 win-loss record in 2024, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger

The French player has never competed in this tournament before.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Ranked no. 137, Mcdonald got to the final after defeating Thomas Fancutt 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-1, Rio Noguchi 6-2 6-3, Kris Van Wyk 6-3 6-2 and Adam Walton 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, Mackenzie had a good straight sets win against Walton (6-3 6-4). During the match Mcdonald scored 61 points vs Walton’s 54. Mcdonald was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Mcdonald made 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mcdonald broke Walton twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Nonthaburi 4 Challenger and the Hangzhou Challenger.

Mackenzie has an overall 22-21 win-loss record in 2024, 16-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Cazaux	Mcdonald
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	69	86
Pts	254-169	297-238
Total Points	423	535
Winners	88	123
%Winners	35%	41%

Both Cazaux and Mcdonald played 4 matches. At the moment, Mackenzie Mcdonald conceded 1 set while Arthur Cazaux hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Cazaux has played 1 set(s) less than Mcdonald (8 vs 9). Therefore, Cazaux played 17 games less than Mcdonald. Cazaux scored 88 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 123 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Cazaux	Mcdonald
Aces	22	28
Avg per match	5.5	7
1st in	108/191	155/283
%1st in	57%	55%
1st pts	88/108	123/155
%1st pts	81%	79%
2nd pts	47/83	75/128
%2nd pts	57%	59%

Cazaux recorded 22 aces (5.5 per match). Mcdonald struck 28 aces (7 per match). Cazaux won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Cazaux	Mcdonald
Won	19	12
Converted	19/36	12/23
% Converted	53%	52%
Conceded	13	8
Saved	8	7
% Saved	62%	88%
Times Broken	5	1

The French player broke his opponents 19 times with a 53% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. Mackenzie broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Cazaux
	R1 Zeng	R2 Zhang	1/4 Weber	1/2 Bai	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	7-65 6-1	6-1 6-3	6-4 6-0
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	17	20	16	16	69
pts	57-33	76-56	60-42	61-38	254-169
Total points	90	132	102	99	423
Winners	22	32	15	19	88
%Winners	39%	42%	25%	31%	35%
SERVE
Aces	9	7	1	5	22
Double Faults	1	2	2	0	5
1st in	24/43	37/64	22/41	25/43	108/191
% 1st in	56%	58%	54%	58%	57%
1st pts	22/24	32/37	15/22	19/25	88/108
% 1st pts	92%	86%	68%	76%	81%
2nd pts	12/19	15/27	10/19	10/18	47/83
% 2nd pts	63%	56%	53%	56%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	3	6	6	19
Converted	4/8	3/6	6/13	6/9	19/36
Converted %	50%	50%	46%	67%	53%
Conceded	1	5	3	4	13
Saved	0/1	5/5	1/3	2/4	8
Saved %	0%	100%	33%	50%	46%
Times Broken	1	0	2	2	5

Mcdonald
	R1 Fancutt	R2 Noguchi	1/4 Van	1/2 Walton	Total
Score	7-65 6-75 6-1	6-2 6-3	6-3 6-2	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	33	17	17	19	86
pts	115-100	59-40	62-44	61-54	297-238
Total points	215	99	106	115	535
Winners	48	23	24	28	123
%Winners	42%	39%	39%	46%	41%
SERVE
Aces	11	6	3	8	28
Double Faults	4	3	2	5	14
1st in	62/109	26/48	31/59	36/67	155/283
% 1st in	57%	54%	53%	54%	55%
1st pts	48/62	23/26	24/31	28/36	123/155
% 1st pts	77%	88%	77%	78%	79%
2nd pts	27/47	12/22	18/28	18/31	75/128
% 2nd pts	57%	55%	64%	58%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	2	12
Converted	3/7	4/8	3/4	2/4	12/23
Converted %	43%	50%	75%	50%	52%
Conceded	3	1	1	3	8
Saved	2/3	1/1	1/1	3/3	7
Saved %	67%	100%	100%	100%	92%
Times Broken	1	0	0	0	1

Upcoming matches in the draw