Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tristan Boyer will square off in the semifinal of the Campinas Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on QUADRA JOAO LIMA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.51
Tristan Boyer -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Tristan Boyer
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tristan Boyer face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Ugo Carabelli won 3-6 6-1 7-5 in the final in the Antofagasta Challenger back in 2023.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
49 - 27win/loss
108
91
WWWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-28 | 2-4 | 52-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 104, Ugo Carabelli got to the semifinal after beating Gustavo Heide 6-7(3) 6-2 6-3, Karue Sell 6-3 1-6 6-1 and Tomas Barrios Vera 6-1 6-0.
In the quarter, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Tomas Barrios Vera (6-1 6-0). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 62 points vs Tomas Barrios Vera’s 38. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli struck 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 51% of his first serves in, winning 76% (19/25) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Tomas Barrios Vera 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Camilo has dropped 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (337-194). 47-21 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate308-165 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he beat Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Villa Maria Challenger where he defeated Jesper De Jong in the final 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4.
Ugo Carabelli has a compiled 49-26 win-loss record in 2024, 47-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Tristan Boyer
37 - 27win/loss
161
159
WWWLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-29 | 15-12 | 25-15 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-23 | 15-11 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-12 | 11-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 214, the American reached the semifinal after defeating Juan Bautista Torres 6-4 6-7(0) 6-4, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 2-6 6-1 7-5 and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-4 0-6 6-3.
In the quarter, The American defeated Carlos Prado Angelo (6-4 0-6 6-3).During the match Boyer scored less points (1) than Carlos Prado Angelo. In fact, the world no. 104 won 86 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s. That means that Boyer was more focused during the important points. Tristan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Boyer fired 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Tristan Boyer lost the serve 6 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Boyer put 53% of his first serves in, winning 59% (27/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (18/40) on the 2nd serve. Tristan broke Carlos Prado Angelo 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Merida Challenger where he overcame Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.
The American has a composed 36-27 win-loss record in 2024, 19-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Boyer has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 85 |
| Pts | 250-213 | 286-275 |
| Total Points | 463 | 561 |
| Winners | 95 | 108 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Boyer played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 2 sets, while Tristan Boyer dropped 3 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Boyer (8 vs 9). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 19 games less than Boyer. The Argentine scored 95 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 108 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 140/249 | 160/296 |
| %1st in | 56% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 95/140 | 108/160 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 51/109 | 67/136 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 49% |
Ugo Carabelli made 9 aces (3 per match). Boyer made 11 aces (3.7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Boyer won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 14 |
| Converted | 17/34 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded | 33 | 34 |
| Saved | 26 | 22 |
| % Saved | 79% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 12 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 17 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli lost his serve 7 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Tristan broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Tristan conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Heide |
R2 Sell |
1/4 Tomas Barrios Vera |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 1-6 6-1 | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 23 | 13 | 66 | |
| pts | 120-107 | 68-68 | 62-38 | 250-213 | |
| Total points | 227 | 136 | 100 | 463 | |
| Winners | 44 | 32 | 19 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 47% | 31% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 1 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 67/123 | 48/77 | 25/49 | 140/249 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 62% | 51% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 44/67 | 32/48 | 19/25 | 95/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 67% | 76% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/56 | 13/29 | 10/24 | 51/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 45% | 42% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/8 | 7/13 | 17/34 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 50% | 54% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 22 | 5 | 6 | 33 | |
| Saved | 19/22 | 2/5 | 5/6 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 40% | 83% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Boyer | |||||
| R1 Bautista |
R2 Rodriguez |
1/4 Carlos Prado Angelo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-70 6-4 | 2-6 6-1 7-5 | 6-4 0-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 27 | 25 | 85 | |
| pts | 113-111 | 87-77 | 86-87 | 286-275 | |
| Total points | 224 | 164 | 173 | 561 | |
| Winners | 46 | 35 | 27 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 31% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 6 | 4 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 65/125 | 49/85 | 46/86 | 160/296 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 53% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 46/65 | 35/49 | 27/46 | 108/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | 59% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/60 | 20/36 | 18/40 | 67/136 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 56% | 45% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/8 | 5/11 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 45% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 8 | 10 | 34 | |
| Saved | 13/16 | 5/8 | 4/10 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 81% | 63% | 40% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWLWWW
WWWLLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Campinas Challenger
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-4 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (1-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin Gomez/Luis David MartinezAgustin Gomez/Luis David Martinez – Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos (6-73 7-5 10-3) – See score progression
- Mateus Alves/Orlando LuzAlves/Orlando Luz – Ignacio Carou/Camilo Ugo CarabelliCarou/Camilo Ugo Carabelli (w/o) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (0-1) – H2H and prediction
