Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa will play each other in the semifinal of the Ningbo Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa -> 1.32
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.38

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Paula Badosa

This will be the 6^th time that Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Badosa (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Badosa won 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 in the 3^rd round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2024.

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 11, Darya got to the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Katerina Siniakova 1-6 6-3 6-2 and Yulia Putintseva 6-4 1-6 7-6(6).

In the quarter, The Russian defeated Putintseva (6-4 1-6 7-6⁶).During the match, Kasatkina scored less points (9) than Putintseva. In fact, the world no. 11 won 95 points vs Putintseva’s. That means that Kasatkina was more focused during the important points. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 8 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 6 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 65% of her first serves in, winning 59% (33/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (11/30) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has dropped 2 set in this event to win 49% of the points she played.

Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (354-205). 21-15 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a compiled 156-118 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Eastbourne where she beat Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4.

Kasatkina has an aggregate 37-21 win-loss record in 2024, 21-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Ningbo

The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.

Paula Badosa

Ranked no. 14, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after defeating Diana Shnaider 4-6 6-3 6-3, Xiyu Wang 6-7(4) 6-1 6-2 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (6-3 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 62 points vs Haddad Maia’s 42. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Badosa bagged 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Paula Badosa was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (24/29) of her 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paula broke Haddad Maia 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Badosa has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Washington where she beat Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.

The Spaniard has a compiled 37-17 win-loss record in 2024, 26-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kasatkina	Badosa
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	6	8
Tot Games	54	73
Pts	182-186	259-206
Total Points	368	465
Winners	67	110
%Winners	37%	42%

Kasatkina played 2 matches while Badosa competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daria Kasatkina surrendered 2 sets, while Paula Badosa surrendered 2 sets. Kasatkina has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (6 vs 8). Therefore, Kasatkina played 19 games less than Badosa. Kasatkina scored 67 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard scored 110 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kasatkina	Badosa
Aces	1	18
Avg per match	0.5	6
1st in	110/165	139/239
%1st in	67%	58%
1st pts	67/110	110/139
%1st pts	61%	79%
2nd pts	21/55	42/100
%2nd pts	38%	42%

Kasatkina scored 1 ace (0.5 per match). Badosa also struck 18 aces (6 per match). Kasatkina won 61% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 79% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kasatkina	Badosa
Won	11	16
Converted	11/27	16/23
% Converted	41%	70%
Conceded	22	23
Saved	11	17
% Saved	50%	74%
Times Broken	11	6

The Russian broke her opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponents 16 times with a 70% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
	R2 Siniakova	1/4 Putintseva	Total
Score	1-6 6-3 6-2	6-4 1-6 7-66
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	24	30	54
pts	87-82	95-104	182-186
Total points	169	199	368
Winners	34	33	67
%Winners	39%	35%	37%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	1
Double Faults	5	8	13
1st in	54/79	56/86	110/165
% 1st in	68%	65%	67%
1st pts	34/54	33/56	67/110
% 1st pts	63%	59%	61%
2nd pts	10/25	11/30	21/55
% 2nd pts	40%	37%	38%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/14	5/13	11/27
Converted %	43%	38%	41%
Conceded	15	7	22
Saved	10/15	1/7	11
Saved %	67%	14%	41%
Times Broken	5	6	11

Badosa
	R1 Shnaider	R2 Wang	1/4 Haddad Maia	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-3	6-74 6-1 6-2	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	28	28	17	73
pts	95-83	102-81	62-42	259-206
Total points	178	183	104	465
Winners	43	43	24	110
%Winners	45%	42%	39%	42%
SERVE
Aces	8	7	3	18
Double Faults	8	12	4	24
1st in	54/91	56/95	29/53	139/239
% 1st in	59%	59%	55%	58%
1st pts	43/54	43/56	24/29	110/139
% 1st pts	80%	77%	83%	79%
2nd pts	14/37	13/39	15/24	42/100
% 2nd pts	38%	33%	63%	42%
Breaks
Won	5	8	3	16
Converted	5/7	8/11	3/5	16/23
Converted %	71%	73%	60%	70%
Conceded	9	14	0	23
Saved	6/9	11/14	0/0	17
Saved %	67%	79%	–	73%
Times Broken	3	3	0	6

Tennis Scores in Ningbo

• Germain GigounonGigounon – Michael GeertsGeerts (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Omar SalmanSalman – Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras (3-6 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (3-2) – H2H and prediction