Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa will play each other in the semifinal of the Ningbo Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa -> 1.32
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Paula Badosa
This will be the 6th time that Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Badosa (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Badosa won 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2024.
Daria Kasatkina
37 - 21win/loss
11
8
WWLWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-21 | 21-15 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Darya got to the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Katerina Siniakova 1-6 6-3 6-2 and Yulia Putintseva 6-4 1-6 7-6(6).
In the quarter, The Russian defeated Putintseva (6-4 1-6 7-66).During the match, Kasatkina scored less points (9) than Putintseva. In fact, the world no. 11 won 95 points vs Putintseva’s. That means that Kasatkina was more focused during the important points. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 8 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 6 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 65% of her first serves in, winning 59% (33/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (11/30) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has dropped 2 set in this event to win 49% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (354-205). 21-15 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a compiled 156-118 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Eastbourne where she beat Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4.
Kasatkina has an aggregate 37-21 win-loss record in 2024, 21-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Ningbo
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Paula Badosa
37 - 17win/loss
14
2
WWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-17 | 26-10 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after defeating Diana Shnaider 4-6 6-3 6-3, Xiyu Wang 6-7(4) 6-1 6-2 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (6-3 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 62 points vs Haddad Maia’s 42. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa bagged 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Paula Badosa was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (24/29) of her 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paula broke Haddad Maia 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Badosa has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Washington where she beat Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.
The Spaniard has a compiled 37-17 win-loss record in 2024, 26-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 73 |
| Pts | 182-186 | 259-206 |
| Total Points | 368 | 465 |
| Winners | 67 | 110 |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% |
Kasatkina played 2 matches while Badosa competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daria Kasatkina surrendered 2 sets, while Paula Badosa surrendered 2 sets. Kasatkina has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (6 vs 8). Therefore, Kasatkina played 19 games less than Badosa. Kasatkina scored 67 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard scored 110 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 110/165 | 139/239 |
| %1st in | 67% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 67/110 | 110/139 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 21/55 | 42/100 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 42% |
Kasatkina scored 1 ace (0.5 per match). Badosa also struck 18 aces (6 per match). Kasatkina won 61% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 79% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 16 |
| Converted | 11/27 | 16/23 |
| % Converted | 41% | 70% |
| Conceded | 22 | 23 |
| Saved | 11 | 17 |
| % Saved | 50% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 6 |
The Russian broke her opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponents 16 times with a 70% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R2 Siniakova |
1/4 Putintseva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 1-6 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 30 | 54 | |
| pts | 87-82 | 95-104 | 182-186 | |
| Total points | 169 | 199 | 368 | |
| Winners | 34 | 33 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 54/79 | 56/86 | 110/165 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 65% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 34/54 | 33/56 | 67/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 59% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/25 | 11/30 | 21/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 37% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 5/13 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 38% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 7 | 22 | |
| Saved | 10/15 | 1/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 14% | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Badosa | |||||
| R1 Shnaider |
R2 Wang |
1/4 Haddad Maia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-74 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | 17 | 73 | |
| pts | 95-83 | 102-81 | 62-42 | 259-206 | |
| Total points | 178 | 183 | 104 | 465 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | 24 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 7 | 3 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 12 | 4 | 24 | |
| 1st in | 54/91 | 56/95 | 29/53 | 139/239 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 43/54 | 43/56 | 24/29 | 110/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 77% | 83% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/37 | 13/39 | 15/24 | 42/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 33% | 63% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 8/11 | 3/5 | 16/23 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 73% | 60% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 14 | 0 | 23 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 11/14 | 0/0 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 79% | – | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWLWLWWW
WWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Ningbo
- Germain GigounonGigounon – Michael GeertsGeerts (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Omar SalmanSalman – Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras (3-6 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
