Tommy Paul and Stan Wawrinka will fight against each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.59
Stan Wawrinka -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Stan Wawrinka
This will be the 3rd time that Tommy Paul and Stan Wawrinka fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Paul won 6-1 6-4 in the 2nd round in London back in 2022.
Tommy Paul
43 - 17win/loss
12
12
LLWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-19 | 17-11 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the American reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Laslo Djere 6-2 7-6(2) and Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6(9) 6-2.
In the quarter, Paul had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (7-69 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 80 points vs Kecmanovic’s 68. Tommy was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul struck 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was quite effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Kecmanovic 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (393-222). 6-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a composed 59-35 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).
Tommy has an aggregate 43-17 win-loss record in 2024, 6-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Stan Wawrinka
10 - 16win/loss
163
3
LLWLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 5-10 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-24 | 8-6 | 11-8 | 8-9 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-15 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-8 | 8-3 | 9-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 217, the Swiss reached the semifinal after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-4, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Andrey Rublev 7-6(5) 7-6(5).
In the quarter, Wawrinka had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-65 7-65). During the match Wawrinka scored 86 points vs Rublev’s 83. Wawrinka was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Wawrinka scored 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stan Wawrinka lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Wawrinka put 58% of his first serves in, winning 77% (41/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. The Swiss broke Rublev once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Swiss has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Swiss has an overall 10-16 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2010. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 77 |
| Pts | 157-127 | 240-226 |
| Total Points | 284 | 466 |
| Winners | 61 | 116 |
| %Winners | 39% | 48% |
Paul played 2 matches while Wawrinka competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Stan Wawrinka lost 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t lost a set so far. Paul has played 3 set(s) less than Wawrinka (4 vs 7). Therefore, Paul played 35 games less than Wawrinka. Paul scored 61 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Wawrinka fired 116 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 9.3 |
| 1st in | 77/138 | 148/244 |
| %1st in | 56% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 61/77 | 116/148 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 35/61 | 47/96 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 49% |
Paul struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). Wawrinka recorded 28 aces (9.3 per match). Paul won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Wawrinka won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 7 |
| Converted | 7/20 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 35% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 14 |
| Saved | 3 | 10 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Paul broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. Paul dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Wawrinka broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Stan conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | ||||
| R2 Djere |
1/4 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-62 | 7-69 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | 42 | |
| pts | 77-59 | 80-68 | 157-127 | |
| Total points | 136 | 148 | 284 | |
| Winners | 29 | 32 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/64 | 40/74 | 77/138 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 54% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 32/40 | 61/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 80% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 18/34 | 35/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 53% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 4/8 | 7/20 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 50% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Wawrinka | |||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Davidovich Fokina |
1/4 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 7-65 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 31 | 26 | 77 | |
| pts | 63-52 | 91-91 | 86-83 | 240-226 | |
| Total points | 115 | 182 | 169 | 466 | |
| Winners | 28 | 47 | 41 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 52% | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 10 | 14 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 63/99 | 53/91 | 148/244 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 64% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 47/63 | 41/53 | 116/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 75% | 77% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 15/36 | 19/38 | 47/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 42% | 50% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/4 | 1/3 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 100% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/9 | 3/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 75% | 121% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWWL
LLWLWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Stockholm
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Andre Goransson/Sem VerbeekGoransson/Sem Verbeek (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Andrey RublevRublev (7-65 7-65) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-69 6-2) – See score progression
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Gonzalo Escobar/Diego HidalgoEscobar/Diego Hidalgo (7-68 6-73 10-7) – See score progression
- Tallon Griekspoor/Bart StevensGriekspoor/Bart Stevens – Andreas Mies/John-Patrick SmithMies/John-Patrick Smith (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Andrey RublevRublev (7-6(5) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-6(9) 6-2) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Casper RuudRuud (7-5 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Casper RuudRuud (2-2) – H2H and prediction
