Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera will square off in the quarter of the Campinas Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on QUADRA JOAO LIMA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.8
Tomas Barrios Vera -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Tomas Barrios Vera
This will be the 4th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Tomas Barrios Vera (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Tomas Barrios Vera won 6-2 2-6 6-4 in the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger back in 2023.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
49 - 26win/loss
104
91
LWWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-29 | 2-4 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 104, Camilo got to the quarter after defeating Gustavo Heide 6-7(3) 6-2 6-3 and Karue Sell 6-3 1-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine defeated Sell (6-3 1-6 6-1). During the match, Ugo Carabelli and Sell scored the same amount of points (68). However, the world no. 104 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Camilo was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 62% of his first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Sell 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Camilo has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (336-194). 46-21 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has an overall307-165 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he overcame Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he defeated Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Villa Maria Challenger where he overcame Jesper De Jong in the final 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4.
The Argentine has an aggregate 48-26 win-loss record in 2024, 46-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Tomas Barrios Vera
25 - 23win/loss
162
93
LWLWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-26 | 1-3 | 26-19 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-30 | 4-7 | 42-22 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-17 | 3-1 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-27 | 4-6 | 34-20 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-13 | 1-1 | 24-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 170, Marcelo got to the quarter after beating Felipe Meligeni Alves 6-1 6-1 and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-6(6) 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Pucinelli De Almeida (7-66 6-1). During the match Tomas Barrios Vera scored 76 points vs Pucinelli De Almeida’s 63. Tomas Barrios Vera was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Tomas Barrios Vera scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Tomas Barrios Vera lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tomas Barrios Vera put 53% of his first serves in, winning 72% (31/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Pucinelli De Almeida 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Amersfoort Challenger where he defeated Alexey Zakharov in the final 6-2 6-1.
Tomas Barrios Vera has a compiled 25-22 win-loss record in 2024, 20-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 34 |
| Pts | 188-175 | 137-93 |
| Total Points | 363 | 230 |
| Winners | 76 | 51 |
| %Winners | 40% | 37% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera played 2 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 2 sets while Tomas Barrios Vera hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 2 sets more than Tomas Barrios Vera (6 vs 4). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 19 games more than Tomas Barrios Vera. Ugo Carabelli scored 76 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Marcelo bagged 51 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 115/200 | 67/118 |
| %1st in | 58% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 76/115 | 51/67 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 41/85 | 29/51 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 57% |
Ugo Carabelli fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Tomas Barrios Vera fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 66% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Tomas Barrios Vera won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/21 | 9/15 |
| % Converted | 48% | 60% |
| Conceded | 27 | 8 |
| Saved | 21 | 6 |
| % Saved | 78% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli lost his serve 6 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Marcelo broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Tomas Barrios Vera conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||
| R1 Heide |
R2 Sell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 1-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 23 | 53 | |
| pts | 120-107 | 68-68 | 188-175 | |
| Total points | 227 | 136 | 363 | |
| Winners | 44 | 32 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 67/123 | 48/77 | 115/200 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 62% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 44/67 | 32/48 | 76/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/56 | 13/29 | 41/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 45% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/8 | 10/21 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 22 | 5 | 27 | |
| Saved | 19/22 | 2/5 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 40% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | ||||
| R1 Meligeni Alves |
R2 Pucinelli De Almeida |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 7-66 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 20 | 34 | |
| pts | 61-30 | 76-63 | 137-93 | |
| Total points | 91 | 139 | 230 | |
| Winners | 20 | 31 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 24/37 | 43/81 | 67/118 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 53% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 31/43 | 51/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 72% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 19/38 | 29/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 50% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/4 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 100% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
LWLWWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Campinas Challenger
- Mateus Alves/Orlando LuzAlves/Orlando Luz – Ignacio Carou/Camilo Ugo CarabelliCarou/Camilo Ugo Carabelli (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico Agustin Gomez/Luis David MartinezAgustin Gomez/Luis David Martinez – Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos (6-73 7-5 10-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
