Andrey Rublev and Stan Wawrinka will face off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.25
Stan Wawrinka -> 3.94

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Stan Wawrinka

This will be the 5^th time that Andrey Rublev and Stan Wawrinka face off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Rublev won 7-5 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Madrid back in 2023.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Stan Wawrinka – Madrid 28-April-2023

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 7, Rublev reached the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye and Alexandre Muller 6-4 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Muller (6-4 6-1). During the match, Rublev scored 62 points vs Muller’s 43. Andrey was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rublev scored 6 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev was very effective on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Andrey broke Muller 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (430-240). 3-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has a compiled 118-64 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hong Kong where he beat Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Rublev has an aggregate 40-20 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Rublev has never competed in this tournament before.

Stan Wawrinka

Ranked no. 217, Wawrinka got to the quarter after defeating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-4 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-4 3-6 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The Swiss defeated Davidovich Fokina (6-4 3-6 7-5). During the match Wawrinka and Davidovich Fokina scored the same amount of points (91). However, the world no. 7 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Swiss was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Wawrinka scored 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stan Wawrinka lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Wawrinka put 64% of his first serves in, winning 75% (47/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Wawrinka was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Davidovich Fokina 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Wawrinka has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Swiss has a composed 9-16 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2010. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Wawrinka
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	17	51
Pts	62-43	154-143
Total Points	105	297
Winners	24	75
%Winners	39%	49%

Rublev played 1 match while Wawrinka competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Stan Wawrinka dropped 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Wawrinka (2 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 34 games less than Wawrinka. Rublev scored 24 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Swiss made 75 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Wawrinka
Aces	6	14
Avg per match	6	7
1st in	28/48	95/153
%1st in	58%	62%
1st pts	24/28	75/95
%1st pts	86%	79%
2nd pts	11/20	28/58
%2nd pts	55%	48%

Rublev bagged 6 aces . Wawrinka blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Rublev won 86% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Wawrinka won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Wawrinka
Won	4	6
Converted	4/10	6/11
% Converted	40%	55%
Conceded	3	10
Saved	3	7
% Saved	100%	70%
Times Broken	0	3

The Russian broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Wawrinka broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R2 Muller	Total
Score	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	62-43	62-43
Total points	105	105
Winners	24	24
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	28/48	28/48
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	24/28	24/28
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	11/20	11/20
% 2nd pts	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	3/3	3
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Wawrinka
	R1 Nakashima	R2 Davidovich Fokina	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-4 3-6 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	31	51
pts	63-52	91-91	154-143
Total points	115	182	297
Winners	28	47	75
%Winners	44%	52%	49%
SERVE
Aces	4	10	14
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	32/54	63/99	95/153
% 1st in	59%	64%	62%
1st pts	28/32	47/63	75/95
% 1st pts	88%	75%	79%
2nd pts	13/22	15/36	28/58
% 2nd pts	59%	42%	48%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/7	4/4	6/11
Converted %	29%	100%	55%
Conceded	1	9	10
Saved	1/1	6/9	7
Saved %	100%	67%	167%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Tennis Scores in Stockholm

• Tallon Griekspoor/Bart StevensGriekspoor/Bart Stevens – Andreas Mies/John-Patrick SmithMies/John-Patrick Smith (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrey RublevRublev – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Casper RuudRuud (2-2) – H2H and prediction