Kimberly Birrell and Sara Saito will face off in the quarter of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kimberly Birrell who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kimberly Birrell is the pick to win this match.
Kimberly Birrell -> 1.89
Sara Saito -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Kimberly Birrell vs. Sara Saito
There is no head to head record between Kimberly Birrell and Sara Saito since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Kimberly Birrell
37 - 25win/loss
113
100
LLWLLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-30 | 22-19 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 12-4 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 42-33 | 32-21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 41-25 | 38-20 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 150, the Australian reached the quarter after beating Sayaka Ishii 6-2 3-6 6-3, Jessika Ponchet 7-5 3-6 6-2, Saisai Zheng 6-2 6-3 and Elise Mertens 3-6 7-5 4-1 ret..
In the 2nd round against Mertens, Kimberly had a free pass after Mertens retired on a 3-6 7-5 4-1 . scoreline.
Birrell has winning record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (206-172). 19-17 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Birrell has a composed 149-114 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title the W75 Fukuoka where she defeated Emina Bektas in the final 6-2 6-4.
The Australian has an overall 37-25 win-loss record in 2024, 19-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Osaka
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Sara Saito
36 - 16win/loss
150
150
LWLLWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 26-17 | 13-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-14 | 13-10 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 8-1 |
| 2022 | 13-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 3-1 | 4-1 |
Ranked no. 179, Saito reached the quarter after defeating Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3 6-2 and Elina Avanesyan 7-6(2) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Sara had a good straight sets win against Avanesyan (7-62 6-4). During the match Saito scored 92 points vs Avanesyan’s 83. Saito was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Saito scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Sara Saito lost the serve 5 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Saito put 60% of her first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (13/35) on the 2nd serve. Sara broke Avanesyan 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Saito hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title the W100 Biarritz where she overcame Margaux Rouvroy in the final 5-7 6-3 6-3.
Sara has an overall 36-16 win-loss record in 2024, 23-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Osaka
Saito has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Birrell | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 98 | 40 |
| Pts | 341-293 | 150-132 |
| Total Points | 634 | 282 |
| Winners | 136 | 65 |
| %Winners | 40% | 43% |
Birrell played 4 matches while Saito competed in 2 matches. Birrell started her run from the qualifications while Saito had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Kimberly Birrell dropped 3 sets while Sara Saito hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Birrell has played 8 sets more than Saito (12 vs 4). Therefore, Birrell played 58 games more than Saito. Kimberly scored 136 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese fired 65 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Birrell | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 191/300 | 94/151 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 136/191 | 65/94 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 59/109 | 25/57 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 44% |
Birrell made 16 aces (4 per match). Saito made 2 aces (1 per match). Birrell won 71% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Saito won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Birrell | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 9 |
| Converted | 17/40 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded | 26 | 17 |
| Saved | 18 | 12 |
| % Saved | 69% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 5 |
The Australian broke her opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. Birrell conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. Sara broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Birrell | ||||||
| Q1 Ishii |
Q3 Ponchet |
R1 Zheng |
R2 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 7-5 3-6 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 7-5 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 29 | 17 | 26 | 98 | |
| pts | 95-81 | 90-88 | 59-32 | 97-92 | 341-293 | |
| Total points | 176 | 178 | 91 | 189 | 634 | |
| Winners | 36 | 42 | 20 | 38 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% | 34% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/77 | 58/88 | 23/41 | 59/94 | 191/300 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 56% | 63% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 42/58 | 20/23 | 38/59 | 136/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 72% | 87% | 64% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 13/30 | 11/18 | 18/35 | 59/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 43% | 61% | 51% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/7 | 5/8 | 4/12 | 17/40 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 57% | 63% | 33% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 26 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 10/13 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 67% | 77% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saito | ||||||
| R1 Bouzas |
R2 Avanesyan |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-62 6-4 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Tot Games | 17 | 23 | 40 | |||
| pts | 58-49 | 92-83 | 150-132 | |||
| Total points | 107 | 175 | 282 | |||
| Winners | 30 | 35 | 65 | |||
| %Winners | 52% | 38% | 43% | |||
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 7 | |||
| 1st in | 42/64 | 52/87 | 94/151 | |||
| % 1st in | 66% | 60% | 62% | |||
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 35/52 | 65/94 | |||
| % 1st pts | 71% | 67% | 69% | |||
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 13/35 | 25/57 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 37% | 44% | |||
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |||
| Converted | 3/4 | 6/14 | 9/18 | |||
| Converted % | 75% | 43% | 50% | |||
| Conceded | 3 | 14 | 17 | |||
| Saved | 3/3 | 9/14 | 12 | |||
| Saved % | 100% | 64% | 41% | |||
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |||
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWLWWW
LWLLWWLLLW Tennis Scores in Osaka
- Cristina Bucsa/Monica NiculescuBucsa/Monica Niculescu – Marie Bouzkova/Maria Camila Osorio SerranoBouzkova/Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Angelica Moratelli/Anna SiskovaMoratelli/Anna Siskova – Nao Hibino/Makoto NinomiyaHibino/Makoto Ninomiya (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ena Shibahara/Laura SiegemundShibahara/Laura Siegemund – Sabrina Santamaria/Qianhui TangSantamaria/Qianhui Tang (2-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Shuko Aoyama/Eri HozumiAoyama/Eri Hozumi (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- David Perez SanzPerez Sanz – Siddharth VishwakarmaVishwakarma (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Quentin RobertRobert – Michail PervolarakisPervolarakis (6-77 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cheong-Eui KimKim – Connor FarrenFarren (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marco BrugnerottoBrugnerotto – Soichiro MoritaniMoritani (3-6 7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Eva LysLys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimberly BirrellBirrell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Suzan LamensLamens – Ana BogdanBogdan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diane ParryParry – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
