Alexander Shevchenko and Aslan Karatsev will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Almaty Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Shevchenko who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Shevchenko is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Shevchenko -> 1.74
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Shevchenko vs. Aslan Karatsev

This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Shevchenko and Aslan Karatsev fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shevchenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Shevchenko won 6-4 4-6 1-6 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in May 2024.

Alexander Shevchenko

Alexander Shevchenko

21 - 32win/loss

Hard
8-13
I Hard
6-4
Clay
6-12
Grass
1-3
Rank
80
High
45
LLLWWLWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 22-35 8-13 6-12 7-7 1-3 0-0
2023 45-34 16-15 19-13 10-5 0-1 0-0
2022 50-33 2-4 41-23 7-6 0-0 0-0
2021 49-27 8-4 33-17 8-6 0-0 0-0
2020 24-8 13-4 11-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 61, Shevchenko reached the 2nd round after defeating Mikhail Kukushkin 7-6(5) 7-6(4).

In the 1st round, Shevchenko had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (7-65 7-64). During the match, Shevchenko scored 97 points vs Kukushkin’s 90. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shevchenko made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Alexander Shevchenko was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (36/48) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alexander broke Kukushkin twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Shevchenko has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (251-168). 6-4 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shevchenko has a composed32-22 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

The Kazakhstani has a compiled 21-32 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Almaty

Almaty
Shevchenko's Record

Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev

10 - 15win/loss

Hard
6-9
I Hard
3-0
Clay
1-4
Grass
0-2
Rank
291
High
14
LLWWLWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-18 6-9 1-4 5-3 0-2 0-0
2023 32-22 13-10 14-5 2-3 3-4 0-0
2022 18-31 8-9 5-9 4-10 1-3 0-0
2021 37-20 23-9 9-6 4-3 1-2 0-0
2020 36-11 7-4 17-2 12-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 139, Aslan reached the 2nd round after beating Filip Misolic 6-2 7-5, Alejandro Moro Canas 6-4 6-3 and Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 7-6(2).

In the 1st round, Karatsev had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-4 7-62). During the match Karatsev scored 69 points vs Zhang’s 65. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Karatsev struck 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Aslan Karatsev conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 81% (38/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Karatsev was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Zhang once.

Aslan has an overall 10-15 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Almaty
Karatsev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Shevchenko
A.Karatsev
2h:22
2h:22
Time on court​
!
4h:14
4h:14
!
2h:22
2h:22
Last match​
1h:30
1h:30
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
26
26
Games Played​
62
62
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
97
97
Total points​
200
200
97
97
Avg point​
66.7
66.7
36
36
Winners
93
93
36
36
Avg Winners​
31
31
37%
37%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
27
27
9
9
Avg Aces
9
9
1
1
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
36/48
36/48
1st won total​
93/115
93/115
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
15/27
15/27
2nd won total​
32/63
32/63
56%
56%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
2/10
2/10
BP won
9/14
9/14
2/10
2/10
Avg BP won
3/4.7
3/4.7
!
20%
20%
Won
!
64%
64%
4
4
Conceded
7
7
4
4
Avg Conceded
2.3
2.3
2
2
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
2
2
Saved
5
5
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shevchenko Karatsev
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 26 62
Pts 97-90 200-161
Total Points 187 361
Winners 36 93
%Winners 37% 47%

Shevchenko played 1 match while Karatsev competed in 3 matches. Karatsev started his run from the qualifications while Shevchenko had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Shevchenko has played 4 set(s) less than Karatsev (2 vs 6). Therefore, Shevchenko played 36 games less than Karatsev. Shevchenko scored 36 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Karatsev struck 93 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shevchenko Karatsev
Aces 9 27
Avg per match 9 9
1st in 48/75 115/178
%1st in 64% 65%
1st pts 36/48 93/115
%1st pts 75% 81%
2nd pts 15/27 32/63
%2nd pts 56% 51%

Shevchenko managed to score 9 aces . Karatsev recorded 27 aces (9 per match). Shevchenko won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shevchenko Karatsev
Won 2 9
Converted 2/10 9/14
% Converted 20% 64%
Conceded 4 7
Saved 2 5
% Saved 50% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Alexander broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Aslan broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Karatsev conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Shevchenko
R1
Kukushkin		 Total
Score 7-65 7-64
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 26 26
pts 97-90 97-90
Total points 187 187
Winners 36 36
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 48/75 48/75
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 36/48 36/48
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 15/27 15/27
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/10 2/10
Converted % 20% 20%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 2/4 2
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 2 2
Karatsev
Q1
Misolic		 Q3
Moro		 R1
Zhang		 Total
Score 6-2 7-5 6-4 6-3 6-4 7-62
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 20 19 23 62
pts 69-48 62-48 69-65 200-161
Total points 117 110 134 361
Winners 29 26 38 93
%Winners 42% 42% 55% 47%
SERVE
Aces 9 5 13 27
Double Faults 3 0 2 5
1st in 39/61 29/48 47/69 115/178
% 1st in 64% 60% 68% 65%
1st pts 29/39 26/29 38/47 93/115
% 1st pts 74% 90% 81% 81%
2nd pts 13/22 8/19 11/22 32/63
% 2nd pts 59% 42% 50% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 4 1 9
Converted 4/7 4/6 1/1 9/14
Converted % 57% 67% 100% 64%
Conceded 4 2 1 7
Saved 3/4 1/2 1/1 5
Saved % 75% 50% 100% 225%
Times Broken 1 1 0 2

Tennis Scores in Almaty

Upcoming matches in the draw

Shevchenko
More Stats
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Karatsev

Click for FULL STATS