Manuel Guinard and Alexey Vatutin will face off in the qualifications of the European Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Manuel Guinard who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Manuel Guinard is the pick to win this match.
Manuel Guinard -> 1.6
Alexey Vatutin -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Manuel Guinard vs. Alexey Vatutin
This will be the 2nd time that Manuel Guinard and Alexey Vatutin fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Vatutin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Vatutin won 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Cherbourg Challenger back in 2019.
Manuel Guinard
33 - 21win/loss
257
134
LLWLLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-25 | 7-4 | 17-10 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-31 | 0-2 | 26-22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-35 | 1-4 | 21-20 | 12-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 1-2 | 29-19 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-12 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 287, Guinard got to the qualifications after beating Michael Geerts 7-6(4) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Guinard had a good straight sets win against Geerts (7-64 6-4). During the match, Guinard scored 87 points vs Geerts’s 77. Manuel was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Guinard made 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Manuel Guinard lost the serve once and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Guinard put 54% of his first serves in, winning 82% (36/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. Guinard broke Geerts twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Guinard has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (338-239). 9-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Guinard has an aggregate 76-73 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Manuel’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger and M25 Hammamet.
Guinard has a compiled 33-21 win-loss record in 2024, 9-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Antwerp
Alexey Vatutin
47 - 28win/loss
320
136
LLWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-32 | 0-2 | 32-16 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 38-39 | 8-3 | 19-20 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-38 | 0-1 | 15-26 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-19 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 352, the Russian got to the qualifications after beating Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Alexey had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-4 6-2). During the match Vatutin scored 60 points vs Hanfmann’s 44. Vatutin was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Vatutin bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexey Vatutin was very efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vatutin broke Hanfmann 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Alexey’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15+H Bagnoles de l’Orne,M25 Creteil and M25 Deauville.
The Russian has an aggregate 47-28 win-loss record in 2024, 15-11 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Guinard | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 18 |
| Pts | 87-77 | 60-44 |
| Total Points | 164 | 104 |
| Winners | 36 | 24 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Both Guinard and Vatutin played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Guinard and Vatutin have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Guinard played 5 games more than Vatutin. Manuel scored 36 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Vatutin recorded 24 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Guinard | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 2 |
| 1st in | 44/81 | 31/50 |
| %1st in | 54% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 24/31 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 13/19 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 68% |
Guinard made 11 aces . Vatutin managed to score 2 aces . Guinard won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Vatutin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Guinard | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 29% | 60% |
| Conceded | 11 | 0 |
| Saved | 10 | 0 |
| % Saved | 91% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The French player broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Manuel conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Alexey was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Guinard | |||
| Q1 Geerts |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 87-77 | 87-77 | |
| Total points | 164 | 164 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/81 | 44/81 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 36/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 18/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 10/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 91% | 91% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Vatutin | |||
| Q1 Hanfmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 60-44 | 60-44 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/50 | 31/50 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 24/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 13/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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