H2H, prediction of Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong in Villa Maria Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 13th October 2024

PREVIEW. Villa Maria Challenger. Ugo Carabelli and De Jong will face off in the final of the Villa Maria Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Sunday the 13th of October

Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Jesper De Jong

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong will fight against each other in the final of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.52
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.4

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Jesper De Jong

This will be the 6th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong face off. The head to head is 3-2 for De Jong (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, De Jong won 7-6(3) 3-6 7-6(7) in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

46 - 26win/loss

Hard
2-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
44-21
Grass
0-1
Rank
108
High
91
WWLWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 52-28 2-4 50-23 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 41-26 0-2 41-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-24 3-4 36-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 43-24 4-2 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 19-12 0-1 18-10 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 112, the Argentine reached the final after defeating Renzo Olivo 6-4 6-0, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 4-6 6-2 6-3, Pedro Sakamoto 7-5 6-1 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-4 6-2). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 66 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 57. Ugo Carabelli was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 71% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Manuel Cerundolo 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Camilo has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (333-194). 43-21 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an overall304-165 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he overcame Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he beat Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.

Ugo Carabelli has a composed 45-26 win-loss record in 2024, 43-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger

Ugo Carabelli
Villa Maria Challenger
Ugo Carabelli's Record

Jesper De Jong

Jesper De Jong
Jesper De Jong

46 - 23win/loss

Hard
12-5
I Hard
0-2
Clay
33-15
Grass
1-1
Rank
111
High
103
LWWLLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 48-25 12-5 33-15 2-4 1-1 0-0
2023 52-23 19-4 30-14 0-2 3-3 0-0
2022 24-28 12-7 10-13 2-5 0-3 0-0
2021 32-29 2-6 27-18 3-5 0-0 0-0
2020 31-12 7-3 14-5 10-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 118, De Jong got to the final after beating Juan Bautista Torres 6-3 6-4, Tristan Boyer 7-6(4) 7-5, Hugo Dellien 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-2 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Andres Burruchaga (6-2 6-3). During the match De Jong scored 58 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s 43. De Jong was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, De Jong bagged 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jesper De Jong lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, De Jong put 48% of his first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (12/32) on the 2nd serve. De Jong broke Andres Burruchaga 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Dutch has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Sassuolo Challenger where he defeated Daniel Altmaier in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

Jesper has a composed 46-22 win-loss record in 2024, 33-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

De Jong
Villa Maria Challenger
De Jong's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ugo Carabelli
J.De Jong
6h:24
6h:24
Time on court​
8h:17
8h:17
1h:35
1h:35
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
4
4
Match played
4
4
80
80
Games Played​
92
92
9
9
Set played​​
9
9
282
282
Total points​
323
323
70.5
70.5
Avg point​
80.8
80.8
119
119
Winners
119
119
29.8
29.8
Avg Winners​
29.8
29.8
42%
42%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
14
14
3.8
3.8
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
7
7
Double Faults
13
13
1.8
1.8
Avg Double Faults
3.3
3.3
119/173
119/173
1st won total​
119/160
119/160
69%
69%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
48/85
48/85
2nd won total​
60/129
60/129
56%
56%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
18/35
18/35
BP won
19/41
19/41
4.5/8.8
4.5/8.8
Avg BP won
4.8/10.3
4.8/10.3
!
51%
51%
Won
46%
46%
21
21
Conceded
23
23
5.3
5.3
Avg Conceded
5.8
5.8
5
5
Broken
12
12
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
3
3
16
16
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ugo Carabelli De Jong
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 9
Tot Games 80 92
Pts 282-227 323-272
Total Points 509 595
Winners 119 119
%Winners 42% 37%

Both Ugo Carabelli and De Jong played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 1 set, while Jesper De Jong lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and De Jong have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Ugo Carabelli played 12 games less than De Jong. Camilo scored 119 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Dutch fired 119 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ugo Carabelli De Jong
Aces 15 14
Avg per match 3.8 3.5
1st in 173/258 160/289
%1st in 67% 55%
1st pts 119/173 119/160
%1st pts 69% 74%
2nd pts 48/85 60/129
%2nd pts 56% 47%

Ugo Carabelli blasted 15 aces (3.8 per match). De Jong blasted 14 aces (3.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 69% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, De Jong won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ugo Carabelli De Jong
Won 18 19
Converted 18/35 19/41
% Converted 51% 46%
Conceded 21 23
Saved 16 11
% Saved 76% 48%
Times Broken 5 12

Camilo broke his opponents 18 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Argentine surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Jesper broke his opponents 19 times with a 46% conversion rate. Jesper conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 48% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
R1
Olivo
R2
Daniel Vallejo
1/4
Sakamoto
1/2
Manuel Cerundolo
Total
Score 6-4 6-0 4-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 6-1 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 9
Tot Games 16 27 19 18 80
pts 55-41 97-84 64-45 66-57 282-227
Total points 96 181 109 123 509
Winners 23 35 31 30 119
%Winners 42% 36% 48% 45% 42%
SERVE
Aces 2 7 6 0 15
Double Faults 3 1 2 1 7
1st in 35/52 56/92 38/52 44/62 173/258
% 1st in 67% 61% 73% 71% 67%
1st pts 23/35 35/56 31/38 30/44 119/173
% 1st pts 66% 63% 82% 68% 69%
2nd pts 7/17 22/36 7/14 12/18 48/85
% 2nd pts 41% 61% 50% 67% 56%
Breaks
Won 6 5 4 3 18
Converted 6/9 5/9 4/7 3/10 18/35
Converted % 67% 56% 57% 30% 51%
Conceded 6 12 1 2 21
Saved 4/6 10/12 0/1 2/2 16
Saved % 67% 83% 0% 100% 63%
Times Broken 2 2 1 0 5
De Jong
R1
Bautista Torres
R2
Boyer
1/4
Dellien
1/2
Andres Burruchaga
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 7-64 7-5 5-7 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 19 25 31 17 92
pts 65-54 95-81 105-94 58-43 323-272
Total points 119 176 199 101 595
Winners 26 32 37 24 119
%Winners 40% 34% 35% 41% 37%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5 4 14
Double Faults 3 2 3 5 13
1st in 33/64 44/66 54/98 29/61 160/289
% 1st in 52% 67% 55% 48% 55%
1st pts 26/33 32/44 37/54 24/29 119/160
% 1st pts 79% 73% 69% 83% 74%
2nd pts 13/31 11/22 24/44 12/32 60/129
% 2nd pts 42% 50% 55% 38% 47%
Breaks
Won 4 5 5 5 19
Converted 4/8 5/10 5/16 5/7 19/41
Converted % 50% 50% 31% 71% 46%
Conceded 4 4 7 8 23
Saved 2/4 0/4 3/7 6/8 11
Saved % 50% 0% 43% 75% 42%
Times Broken 2 4 4 2 12

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Ugo Carabelli
WLWWLWWWWW
De Jong
LWWLLWWWWL
2024 2023 2022
53 - 28
48 - 25
2-4
Hard
12-5
0-0
I Hard
2-4
51-23
Clay
33-15
0-1
Grass
1-1
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Jesper De JongDe JongCamilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (3-2) – H2H and prediction