Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng will face off in the final of the Wuhan Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.35
Qinwen Zheng -> 3.32

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng

This will be the 4^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-2 in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in September 2024.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng – U.S. Open 03-September-2024

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 2, the Belarussian reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Katerina Siniakova 6-4 6-4, Yulia Putintseva 1-6 6-4 6-0, Magdalena Frech 6-2 6-2 and Cori Gauff 1-6 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal against Gauff, Sabalenka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Sabalenka scored less points (2) than Gauff. In fact, the world no. 2 won 98 points vs Gauff’s. That means that Sabalenka was more focused during the important points. Aryna was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka recorded 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 6 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 64% of her first serves in, winning 61% (41/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (12/37) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Gauff 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 53% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (371-166). 37-7 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an aggregate226-92 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5 and at the U.S. Open where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 7-5.

Aryna has an aggregate 53-12 win-loss record in 2024, 37-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Qinwen Zheng

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Qinwen got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Jaqueline Cristian 6-2 6-4, Leylah Annie Fernandez 5-7 6-3 6-0, Jasmine Paolini 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Xinyu Wang 6-3 6-4

.

In the semifinal, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-3 6-4). During the match Zheng scored 71 points vs Wang’s 55. Qinwen was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Zheng fired 8 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 53% of her first serves in, winning 76% (25/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Qinwen broke Wang 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Palermo where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-4 4-6 6-2 and in Paris where she beat Donna Vekic in the final 6-2 6-3.

Qinwen has an aggregate 45-15 win-loss record in 2024, 27-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Zheng
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	10
Tot Games	86	90
Pts	330-294	329-262
Total Points	624	591
Winners	122	116
%Winners	37%	35%

Both Sabalenka and Zheng played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka lost 2 sets, while Qinwen Zheng lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Zheng have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Sabalenka played 4 games less than Zheng. Aryna scored 122 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Qinwen scored 116 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Zheng
Aces	10	32
Avg per match	2.5	8
1st in	195/306	154/273
%1st in	64%	56%
1st pts	122/195	116/154
%1st pts	63%	75%
2nd pts	50/111	62/119
%2nd pts	45%	52%

Sabalenka scored 10 aces (2.5 per match). Zheng recorded 32 aces (8 per match). Sabalenka won 63% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Zheng
Won	21	19
Converted	21/38	19/40
% Converted	55%	48%
Conceded	38	20
Saved	24	12
% Saved	63%	60%
Times Broken	14	8

The Belarussian broke her opponents 21 times with a 55% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve 14 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Zheng broke her opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Siniakova	R3 Putintseva	1/4 Frech	1/2 Gauff	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	1-6 6-4 6-0	6-2 6-2	1-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	20	23	16	27	86
pts	76-62	87-81	69-51	98-100	330-294
Total points	138	168	120	198	624
Winners	29	35	17	41	122
%Winners	38%	40%	25%	42%	37%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	1	2	10
Double Faults	3	3	0	2	8
1st in	44/63	52/82	32/57	67/104	195/306
% 1st in	70%	63%	56%	64%	64%
1st pts	29/44	35/52	17/32	41/67	122/195
% 1st pts	66%	67%	53%	61%	63%
2nd pts	11/19	9/30	18/25	12/37	50/111
% 2nd pts	58%	30%	72%	32%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	6	5	6	21
Converted	4/12	6/9	5/6	6/11	21/38
Converted %	33%	67%	83%	55%	55%
Conceded	8	11	6	13	38
Saved	6/8	6/11	5/6	7/13	24
Saved %	75%	55%	83%	54%	67%
Times Broken	2	5	1	6	14

Zheng
	R2 Cristian	R3 Annie	1/4 Paolini	1/2 Wang	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	5-7 6-3 6-0	6-2 3-6 6-3	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	3	2	10
Tot Games	18	27	26	19	90
pts	68-50	100-78	90-79	71-55	329-262
Total points	118	178	169	126	591
Winners	24	31	36	25	116
%Winners	35%	31%	40%	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	9	5	10	8	32
Double Faults	2	2	2	6	12
1st in	29/52	42/76	50/83	33/62	154/273
% 1st in	56%	55%	60%	53%	56%
1st pts	24/29	31/42	36/50	25/33	116/154
% 1st pts	83%	74%	72%	76%	75%
2nd pts	12/23	21/34	17/33	12/29	62/119
% 2nd pts	52%	62%	52%	41%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	6	4	5	19
Converted	4/7	6/13	4/8	5/12	19/40
Converted %	57%	46%	50%	42%	48%
Conceded	5	4	6	5	20
Saved	4/5	2/4	4/6	2/5	12
Saved %	80%	50%	67%	40%	59%
Times Broken	1	2	2	3	8

Tennis Scores in Wuhan

• Philipp DavydenkoDavydenko – Louis WesselsWessels (6-4 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (3-0) – H2H and prediction