Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Manuel Cerundolo will play each other in the semifinal of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Manuel Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Manuel Cerundolo is the pick to win this match.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo -> 1.83
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.89
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo
This will be the 9th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Manuel Cerundolo fight against each other. The head to head is 4-4 for Ugo Carabelli and Manuel Cerundolo (see full H2H stats),but they are 4-4 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Manuel Cerundolo won 6-1 7-6(4) in the qualifications in Santiago back in February 2024.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
45 - 26win/loss
108
91
WWLWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-28 | 2-4 | 50-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 112, Camilo reached the semifinal after defeating Renzo Olivo 6-4 6-0, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 4-6 6-2 6-3 and Pedro Sakamoto 7-5 6-1.
In the quarter, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Sakamoto (7-5 6-1). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 64 points vs Sakamoto’s 45. Camilo was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve once. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 73% of his first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Sakamoto 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (332-194). 42-21 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has a compiled303-165 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he defeated Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.
The Argentine has an aggregate 44-26 win-loss record in 2024, 42-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
39 - 24win/loss
141
79
LLWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-28 | 0-3 | 46-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-32 | 4-2 | 37-28 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 3-6 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-26 | 0-0 | 53-22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 2-2 | 17-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 154, Juan got to the semifinal after beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-2 6-1, Felipe Meligeni Alves 6-3 7-6(4) and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-6(7) 6-2.
In the quarter, Manuel Cerundolo had a good straight sets win against Pucinelli De Almeida (7-67 6-2). During the match Manuel Cerundolo scored 79 points vs Pucinelli De Almeida’s 63. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Manuel Cerundolo made 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Manuel Cerundolo put 62% of his first serves in, winning 78% (28/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Manuel Cerundolo broke Pucinelli De Almeida 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Lima 1 Challenger where he overcame Pedro Boscardin Dias in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger where he beat Alvaro Guillen Meza in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4 and the Antofagasta Challenger where he overcame Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the final 3-6 6-2 6-4.
The Argentine has a compiled 39-23 win-loss record in 2024, 39-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Manuel Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 58 |
| Pts | 216-170 | 208-155 |
| Total Points | 386 | 363 |
| Winners | 89 | 82 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Manuel Cerundolo played 3 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 1 set while Juan Manuel Cerundolo hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Manuel Cerundolo (7 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 4 games more than Manuel Cerundolo. Camilo scored 89 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Manuel Cerundolo fired 82 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Manuel Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 129/196 | 100/166 |
| %1st in | 66% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 89/129 | 82/100 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 36/67 | 35/66 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 53% |
Ugo Carabelli managed to score 15 aces (5 per match). Manuel Cerundolo bagged 16 aces (5.3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Manuel Cerundolo won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Manuel Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 10 |
| Converted | 15/25 | 10/28 |
| % Converted | 60% | 36% |
| Conceded | 19 | 4 |
| Saved | 14 | 2 |
| % Saved | 74% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. Camilo dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Olivo |
R2 Daniel Vallejo |
1/4 Sakamoto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 | 19 | 62 | |
| pts | 55-41 | 97-84 | 64-45 | 216-170 | |
| Total points | 96 | 181 | 109 | 386 | |
| Winners | 23 | 35 | 31 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% | 48% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 56/92 | 38/52 | 129/196 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 73% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 35/56 | 31/38 | 89/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 63% | 82% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 22/36 | 7/14 | 36/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 61% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 15/25 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 56% | 57% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 | 1 | 19 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 10/12 | 0/1 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 83% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Manuel Cerundolo | |||||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Meligeni Alves |
1/4 Pucinelli De Almeida |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 7-64 | 7-67 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 21 | 58 | |
| pts | 55-30 | 74-62 | 79-63 | 208-155 | |
| Total points | 85 | 136 | 142 | 363 | |
| Winners | 20 | 34 | 28 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 46% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 23/41 | 41/67 | 36/58 | 100/166 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 61% | 62% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 20/23 | 34/41 | 28/36 | 82/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 83% | 78% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 15/26 | 10/22 | 35/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 58% | 45% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 1/5 | 4/15 | 10/28 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 20% | 27% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 0% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWWWW
LLWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Villa Maria Challenger
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Hugo DellienDellien (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Federico CoriaCoria (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (7-67 6-2) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Pedro Sakamoto/Gonzalo VillanuevaSakamoto/Gonzalo Villanueva – Scott Duncan/Hunter ReeseDuncan/Hunter Reese (3-6 6-1 10-8) – See score progression
- Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos – Luis Britto/Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosBritto/Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (7-69 6-2) – See score progression
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Federico CoriaCoria (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Hugo DellienDellien (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (7-6(7) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (4-4) – H2H and prediction
