Jannik Sinner and Tomas Machac will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.116
Tomas Machac -> 6.35

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Tomas Machac

This will be the 2^nd time that Jannik Sinner and Tomas Machac square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in Miami back in March 2024.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Tomas Machac – Miami 27-March-2024

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Taro Daniel 6-1 6-4, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2, Ben Shelton 6-4 7-6(1) and Daniil Medvedev 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-1 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 65 points vs Medvedev’s 43. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner made 9 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 74% of his matches (336-119). 38-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an aggregate136-44 record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2 and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Taylor Fritz in the final 6-3 6-4 7-5.

Jannik has an aggregate 63-6 win-loss record in 2024, 38-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Tomas Machac

Ranked no. 33 (career-high), Tomas reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(3) 6-4, Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-2, Tommy Paul 3-6 6-4 6-3 and Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(5) 7-5.

In the quarter, Machac had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz (7-6⁵ 7-5). During the match Machac scored 81 points vs Alcaraz’s 79. Tomas was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Machac fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was quite effective on serve to win 72% (39/54) of his 1st serve and 54% (21/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Machac broke Alcaraz twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Machac has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Machac’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Geneva.

Tomas has a compiled 34-20 win-loss record in 2024, 22-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Machac
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	10
Tot Games	88	101
Pts	301-230	327-308
Total Points	531	635
Winners	150	137
%Winners	50%	42%

Both Sinner and Machac played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner dropped 1 set, while Tomas Machac conceded 2 sets. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Machac (9 vs 10). Therefore, Sinner played 13 games less than Machac. Sinner scored 150 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Tomas managed to score 137 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Machac
Aces	40	25
Avg per match	10	6.3
1st in	181/257	181/320
%1st in	70%	57%
1st pts	150/181	137/181
%1st pts	83%	76%
2nd pts	43/76	74/139
%2nd pts	57%	53%

Sinner bagged 40 aces (10 per match). Machac bagged 25 aces (6.3 per match). Sinner won 83% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Machac
Won	11	11
Converted	11/27	11/23
% Converted	41%	48%
Conceded	13	29
Saved	12	22
% Saved	92%	76%
Times Broken	1	7

Sinner broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded. Machac broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Czech conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R2 Daniel	R3 Etcheverry	R4 Shelton	1/4 Medvedev	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-73 6-4 6-2	6-4 7-61	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	17	31	23	17	88
pts	67-46	101-85	68-56	65-43	301-230
Total points	113	186	124	108	531
Winners	32	50	40	28	150
%Winners	48%	50%	59%	43%	50%
SERVE
Aces	12	12	7	9	40
Double Faults	1	1	0	0	2
1st in	38/49	64/92	46/66	33/50	181/257
% 1st in	78%	70%	70%	66%	70%
1st pts	32/38	50/64	40/46	28/33	150/181
% 1st pts	84%	78%	87%	85%	83%
2nd pts	5/11	15/28	13/20	10/17	43/76
% 2nd pts	45%	54%	65%	59%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	4	1	3	11
Converted	3/9	4/13	1/1	3/4	11/27
Converted %	33%	31%	100%	75%	41%
Conceded	0	5	7	1	13
Saved	0/0	4/5	7/7	1/1	12
Saved %	–	80%	100%	100%	70%
Times Broken	0	1	0	0	1

Machac
	R2 Davidovich Fokina	R3 Vukic	R4 Paul	1/4 Alcaraz	Total
Score	1-6 7-63 6-4	6-4 6-2	3-6 6-4 6-3	7-65 7-5
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	10
Tot Games	30	18	28	25	101
pts	84-91	68-52	94-86	81-79	327-308
Total points	175	120	180	160	635
Winners	32	25	41	39	137
%Winners	38%	37%	44%	48%	42%
SERVE
Aces	10	5	5	5	25
Double Faults	6	2	5	2	15
1st in	45/91	27/49	55/87	54/93	181/320
% 1st in	49%	55%	63%	58%	57%
1st pts	32/45	25/27	41/55	39/54	137/181
% 1st pts	71%	93%	75%	72%	76%
2nd pts	22/46	13/22	18/32	21/39	74/139
% 2nd pts	48%	59%	56%	54%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	2	11
Converted	3/3	3/7	3/9	2/4	11/23
Converted %	100%	43%	33%	50%	48%
Conceded	7	4	10	8	29
Saved	3/7	4/4	8/10	7/8	22
Saved %	43%	100%	80%	88%	78%
Times Broken	4	0	2	1	7

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-7³ 6-4 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas MachacMachac (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (9-0) – H2H and prediction