Gabriel Diallo and Mackenzie Mcdonald will square off in the semifinal of the Hangzhou Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.57
Gabriel Diallo -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald

This will be the 2^nd time that Gabriel Diallo and Mackenzie Mcdonald play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mcdonald (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Mcdonald won 7-6(6) 6-3 in the quarter in the Nonthaburi 4 Challenger back in September 2024.

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 105, Gabriel reached the semifinal after defeating James McCabe 6-4 6-2, Kasidit Samrej 6-3 6-2 and Arthur Cazaux 2-6 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter against Cazaux, The Canadian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Diallo scored 100 points vs Cazaux’s 93. Diallo was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Diallo struck 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gabriel Diallo lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Diallo put 68% of his first serves in, winning 77% (46/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Cazaux 3 times after converting 21% of his break points (3/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Diallo has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 64% of his matches (127-72). 30-11 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Diallo has a compiled70-35 record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he overcame Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Gabriel has an overall 43-22 win-loss record in 2024, 30-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Hangzhou Challenger

Gabriel has never competed in this tournament before.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Ranked no. 151, Mcdonald reached the semifinal after beating Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-2 6-4, Billy Harris 6-0 6-1 and Rinky Hijikata 6-2 6-1.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Hijikata (6-2 6-1). During the match Mcdonald scored 56 points vs Hijikata’s 29. The American was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Mcdonald fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald was very efficient on serve to win 91% (20/22) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Hijikata 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mcdonald hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 65% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Nonthaburi 4 Challenger.

Mcdonald has an overall 17-20 win-loss record in 2024, 11-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Diallo	Mcdonald
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	63	46
Pts	219-173	172-94
Total Points	392	266
Winners	100	61
%Winners	46%	35%

Both Diallo and Mcdonald played 3 matches. At the moment, Gabriel Diallo conceded 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Diallo has played 1 set more than Mcdonald (7 vs 6). Therefore, Diallo played 17 games more than Mcdonald. Diallo scored 100 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Mcdonald scored 61 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Diallo	Mcdonald
Aces	31	11
Avg per match	10.3	3.7
1st in	125/180	73/121
%1st in	69%	60%
1st pts	100/125	61/73
%1st pts	80%	84%
2nd pts	30/55	31/48
%2nd pts	55%	65%

Diallo bagged 31 aces (10.3 per match). Mcdonald scored 11 aces (3.7 per match). Diallo won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Diallo	Mcdonald
Won	10	15
Converted	10/26	15/26
% Converted	38%	58%
Conceded	10	7
Saved	7	6
% Saved	70%	86%
Times Broken	3	1

Gabriel broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Gabriel conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Mackenzie broke his opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Diallo
	R1 McCabe	R2 Samrej	1/4 Cazaux	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-3 6-2	2-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	18	17	28	63
pts	56-38	63-42	100-93	219-173
Total points	94	105	193	392
Winners	25	29	46	100
%Winners	45%	46%	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	6	12	13	31
Double Faults	0	1	3	4
1st in	28/43	37/49	60/88	125/180
% 1st in	65%	76%	68%	69%
1st pts	25/28	29/37	46/60	100/125
% 1st pts	89%	78%	77%	80%
2nd pts	11/15	6/12	13/28	30/55
% 2nd pts	73%	50%	46%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/6	4/6	3/14	10/26
Converted %	50%	67%	21%	38%
Conceded	0	2	8	10
Saved	0/0	2/2	5/8	7
Saved %	–	100%	63%	54%
Times Broken	0	0	3	3

Mcdonald
	R1 Hsiou	R2 Harris	1/4 Hijikata	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-0 6-1	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	13	15	46
pts	60-40	56-25	56-29	172-94
Total points	100	81	85	266
Winners	22	19	20	61
%Winners	37%	34%	36%	35%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	5	11
Double Faults	1	1	2	4
1st in	26/44	25/44	22/33	73/121
% 1st in	59%	57%	67%	60%
1st pts	22/26	19/25	20/22	61/73
% 1st pts	85%	76%	91%	84%
2nd pts	11/18	12/19	8/11	31/48
% 2nd pts	61%	63%	73%	65%
Breaks
Won	4	6	5	15
Converted	4/7	6/9	5/10	15/26
Converted %	57%	67%	50%	58%
Conceded	2	5	0	7
Saved	1/2	5/5	0/0	6
Saved %	50%	100%	–	50%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1

Tennis Scores in Hangzhou Challenger

• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Arthur CazauxCazaux (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Adam WaltonWalton (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Fabio FogniniFognini (1-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Cristian Rodriguez/Matthew Christopher RomiosRodriguez/Matthew Christopher Romios – Sheng Tang/Zhan ZhengTang/Zhan Zheng (6-3 3-6 10-7) – See score progression
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Adam WaltonWalton (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Fabio FogniniFognini (1-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Arthur CazauxCazaux (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-2 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• James DuckworthDuckworth – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-1) – H2H and prediction