Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Pedro Sakamoto will clash against each other in the quarter of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.21
Pedro Sakamoto -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Pedro Sakamoto

This will be the 4^th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Pedro Sakamoto play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Sakamoto (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sakamoto won 6-3 7-6(0) in the 2^nd round in M25 Lima back in 2020.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 112, the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Renzo Olivo 6-4 6-0 and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 4-6 6-2 6-3.

In the 2^nd round against Daniel Vallejo, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 97 points vs Daniel Vallejo’s 84. Camilo was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli fired 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 61% of his first serves in, winning 63% (35/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (22/36) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Daniel Vallejo 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ugo Carabelli has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (331-194). 41-21 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate302-165 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.

Camilo has an aggregate 43-26 win-loss record in 2024, 41-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger

Pedro Sakamoto

Ranked no. 286, Sakamoto reached the quarter after beating Juan Ignacio Londero 7-5 6-7(3) 6-0 and Federico Agustin Gomez 4-6 7-6(6) 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Agustin Gomez, Pedro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6⁶ 6-4). During the match Sakamoto scored 110 points vs Agustin Gomez’s 102. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.

About the serving games, Sakamoto scored 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Pedro Sakamoto was quite effective on serve to win 75% (44/59) of his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Pedro broke Agustin Gomez twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brazilian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Pedro’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Belem and M25 Sao Paulo.

Sakamoto has a compiled 32-23 win-loss record in 2024, 26-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ugo Carabelli	Sakamoto
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	6
Tot Games	43	64
Pts	152-125	232-201
Total Points	277	433
Winners	58	102
%Winners	38%	44%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Sakamoto played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 1 set, while Pedro Sakamoto surrendered 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Sakamoto (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 21 games less than Sakamoto. The Argentine scored 58 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Pedro struck 102 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ugo Carabelli	Sakamoto
Aces	9	14
Avg per match	4.5	7
1st in	91/144	153/228
%1st in	63%	67%
1st pts	58/91	102/153
%1st pts	64%	67%
2nd pts	29/53	42/75
%2nd pts	55%	56%

Ugo Carabelli managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Sakamoto fired 14 aces (7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 64% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Sakamoto won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ugo Carabelli	Sakamoto
Won	11	9
Converted	11/18	9/16
% Converted	61%	56%
Conceded	18	21
Saved	14	16
% Saved	78%	76%
Times Broken	4	5

Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
	R1 Olivo	R2 Daniel Vallejo	Total
Score	6-4 6-0	4-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	16	27	43
pts	55-41	97-84	152-125
Total points	96	181	277
Winners	23	35	58
%Winners	42%	36%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	7	9
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	35/52	56/92	91/144
% 1st in	67%	61%	63%
1st pts	23/35	35/56	58/91
% 1st pts	66%	63%	64%
2nd pts	7/17	22/36	29/53
% 2nd pts	41%	61%	55%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/9	5/9	11/18
Converted %	67%	56%	61%
Conceded	6	12	18
Saved	4/6	10/12	14
Saved %	67%	83%	75%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Sakamoto
	R1 Londero	R2 Agustin	Total
Score	7-5 6-73 6-0	4-6 7-66 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	31	33	64
pts	122-99	110-102	232-201
Total points	221	212	433
Winners	58	44	102
%Winners	48%	40%	44%
SERVE
Aces	9	5	14
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	94/130	59/98	153/228
% 1st in	72%	60%	67%
1st pts	58/94	44/59	102/153
% 1st pts	62%	75%	67%
2nd pts	17/36	25/39	42/75
% 2nd pts	47%	64%	56%
Breaks
Won	7	2	9
Converted	7/8	2/8	9/16
Converted %	88%	25%	56%
Conceded	15	6	21
Saved	12/15	4/6	16
Saved %	80%	67%	74%
Times Broken	3	2	5

Tennis Scores in Villa Maria Challenger

• Pedro Sakamoto/Gonzalo VillanuevaSakamoto/Gonzalo Villanueva – Scott Duncan/Hunter ReeseDuncan/Hunter Reese (3-6 6-1 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Pedro SakamotoSakamoto – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo DellienDellien – Jesper De JongDe Jong (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Federico CoriaCoria – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (3-0) – H2H and prediction