Aryna Sabalenka and Magdalena Frech will fight against each other in the quarter of the Wuhan Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.102
Magdalena Frech -> 6.85

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Magdalena Frech

There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Magdalena Frech since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 2, Aryna got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Katerina Siniakova 6-4 6-4 and Yulia Putintseva 1-6 6-4 6-0.

In the 3^rd round against Putintseva, Sabalenka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-0). During the match, Sabalenka scored 87 points vs Putintseva’s 81. Sabalenka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 63% of her first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (9/30) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Putintseva 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sabalenka has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (369-166). 35-7 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate224-92 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5 and at the U.S. Open where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 7-5.

The Belarussian has a compiled 51-12 win-loss record in 2024, 35-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Magdalena Frech

Ranked no. 27 (career-high), Magdalena reached the quarter after defeating Mai Hontama 6-0 6-4, Emma Navarro 6-4 3-6 6-3 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (6-3 6-2). During the match Frech scored 70 points vs Haddad Maia’s 51. Frech was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Frech recorded 3 aces and she was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Magdalena Frech lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Frech put 57% of her first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Haddad Maia 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Frech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Guadalajara where she defeated Olivia Gadecki in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.

Frech has a compiled 41-27 win-loss record in 2024, 28-13 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Frech
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	7
Tot Games	43	61
Pts	163-143	223-169
Total Points	306	392
Winners	64	84
%Winners	39%	38%

Sabalenka played 2 matches while Frech competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka dropped 1 set, while Magdalena Frech surrendered 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Frech (5 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 18 games less than Frech. The Belarussian scored 64 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Magdalena made 84 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Frech
Aces	7	6
Avg per match	3.5	2
1st in	96/145	126/194
%1st in	66%	65%
1st pts	64/96	84/126
%1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	20/49	37/68
%2nd pts	41%	54%

Sabalenka blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Frech recorded 6 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 67% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Frech won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Frech
Won	10	15
Converted	10/21	15/29
% Converted	48%	52%
Conceded	19	17
Saved	12	10
% Saved	63%	59%
Times Broken	7	7

Sabalenka broke her opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Aryna lost her serve 7 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Magdalena broke her opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. Frech conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Siniakova	R3 Putintseva	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	1-6 6-4 6-0
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	23	43
pts	76-62	87-81	163-143
Total points	138	168	306
Winners	29	35	64
%Winners	38%	40%	39%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	7
Double Faults	3	3	6
1st in	44/63	52/82	96/145
% 1st in	70%	63%	66%
1st pts	29/44	35/52	64/96
% 1st pts	66%	67%	67%
2nd pts	11/19	9/30	20/49
% 2nd pts	58%	30%	41%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/12	6/9	10/21
Converted %	33%	67%	48%
Conceded	8	11	19
Saved	6/8	6/11	12
Saved %	75%	55%	65%
Times Broken	2	5	7

Frech
	R1 Hontama	R2 Navarro	R3 Haddad Maia	Total
Score	6-0 6-4	6-4 3-6 6-3	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	16	28	17	61
pts	61-38	92-80	70-51	223-169
Total points	99	172	121	392
Winners	23	36	25	84
%Winners	38%	39%	36%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	3	3	6
Double Faults	1	3	0	4
1st in	34/49	56/82	36/63	126/194
% 1st in	69%	68%	57%	65%
1st pts	23/34	36/56	25/36	84/126
% 1st pts	68%	64%	69%	67%
2nd pts	10/15	12/26	15/27	37/68
% 2nd pts	67%	46%	56%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	6	4	15
Converted	5/12	6/10	4/7	15/29
Converted %	42%	60%	57%	52%
Conceded	2	12	3	17
Saved	1/2	7/12	2/3	10
Saved %	50%	58%	67%	88%
Times Broken	1	5	1	7

Tennis Scores in Wuhan

• Philipp DavydenkoDavydenko – Vasile AntonescuAntonescu (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Christoph NegrituNegritu – Paul WoernerWoerner (6-4 2-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Peter NagyNagy – Shalva DzhanashiaDzhanashia (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Louis WesselsWessels – Jonathan KanarKanar (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Magdalena FrechFrech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Magda LinetteLinette (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-1) – H2H and prediction