Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac will clash against each other in the quarter of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.103
Tomas Machac -> 6.8

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tomas Machac

This will be the 2^nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 6-7(3) 6-1 ret. in the Rubber 2 in Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia back in September 2024.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

51 - 9win/loss

Hard

22-4

I Hard

4-0

Clay

17-4

Grass

8-1

Rank
3

High
1

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See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	54-13	22-5	17-4	7-3	8-1	0-0
2023	65-12	26-6	25-3	2-3	12-0	0-0
2022	57-13	21-4	27-4	6-4	3-1	0-0
2021	48-19	15-8	22-7	10-3	1-1	0-0
2020	39-7	10-0	29-7	0-0	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Juncheng Shang 6-2 6-2, Yibing Wu 7-6(5) 6-3 and Gael Monfils 6-4 7-5.

In the 4^th round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Monfils (6-4 7-5). During the match, Alcaraz scored 70 points vs Monfils’s 59. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz blasted 5 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carlos broke Monfils twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 80% of his matches (284-72). 22-4 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an aggregate97-24 record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-2 7-6(4) and in Beijing where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3).

Alcaraz has an overall 51-9 win-loss record in 2024, 22-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Shanghai

Alcaraz's Record

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

33 - 20win/loss

Hard

21-10

I Hard

2-3

Clay

9-5

Grass

1-2

Rank
25

High
25

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See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	37-24	22-11	9-5	5-6	1-2	0-0
2023	52-27	15-10	16-11	18-5	3-1	0-0
2022	47-19	24-6	5-2	18-10	0-0	0-1
2021	28-19	5-4	5-4	12-6	2-3	4-2
2020	27-12	0-0	12-6	15-5	0-0	0-1

See all years

Ranked no. 33 (career-high), Tomas reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(3) 6-4, Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-2 and Tommy Paul 3-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 4^th round against Paul, Tomas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Machac scored 94 points vs Paul’s 86. Machac was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Machac struck 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (41/55) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tomas broke Paul 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tomas has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Czech’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Geneva.

Machac has an overall 33-20 win-loss record in 2024, 21-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Tomas has never competed in this tournament before.

Shanghai

Machac's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Alcaraz and Machac played 3 matches. At the moment, Tomas Machac dropped 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t lost a set so far. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Machac (6 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 16 games less than Machac. Carlos scored 86 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech made 98 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Alcaraz bagged 19 aces (6.3 per match). Machac bagged 20 aces (6.7 per match). Alcaraz won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Carlos broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Carlos extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. Tomas broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Tomas conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 4Slam
• 17Main
• 4Chall
• 3Minor

• 0Slam
• 0Main
• 6Chall
• 4Minor

Carlos
Alcaraz

1:1

Tomas
Machac

Rank

3

High

1

0Hard1

1I.hard0

Rank

25

High

25

Win Loss

Alcaraz

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Machac

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2024 2023 2022

51 - 13

37 - 22

22-5

Hard

22-11

4-3

I Hard

5-4

17-4

Clay

9-5

8-1

Grass

1-2

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-6⁷ 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-7⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Marcos GironGiron (1-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-6⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6⁶ 2-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (5-7 7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-7² 7-6⁶ 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-7³ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yibing WuWu (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – David GoffinGoffin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-7) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tomas MachacMachac (1-0) – H2H and prediction

Alcaraz

More Stats

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Machac