Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac will clash against each other in the quarter of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.103
Tomas Machac -> 6.8

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tomas Machac

This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 6-7(3) 6-1 ret. in the Rubber 2 in Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia back in September 2024.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

51 - 9win/loss

Hard
22-4
I Hard
4-0
Clay
17-4
Grass
8-1
Rank
3
High
1
WLWLLWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Juncheng Shang 6-2 6-2, Yibing Wu 7-6(5) 6-3 and Gael Monfils 6-4 7-5.

In the 4th round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Monfils (6-4 7-5). During the match, Alcaraz scored 70 points vs Monfils’s 59. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz blasted 5 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carlos broke Monfils twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 80% of his matches (284-72). 22-4 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an aggregate97-24 record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-2 7-6(4) and in Beijing where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3).

Alcaraz has an overall 51-9 win-loss record in 2024, 22-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Shanghai
Alcaraz's Record

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

33 - 20win/loss

Hard
21-10
I Hard
2-3
Clay
9-5
Grass
1-2
Rank
25
High
25
LLWWLWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2
2020 27-12 0-0 12-6 15-5 0-0 0-1
See all years

Ranked no. 33 (career-high), Tomas reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(3) 6-4, Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-2 and Tommy Paul 3-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 4th round against Paul, Tomas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Machac scored 94 points vs Paul’s 86. Machac was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Machac struck 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (41/55) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tomas broke Paul 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tomas has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Czech’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Geneva.

Machac has an overall 33-20 win-loss record in 2024, 21-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Tomas has never competed in this tournament before.

Shanghai
Machac's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
T.Machac
4h:23
4h:23
Time on court​
5h:33
5h:33
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
!
2h:02
2h:02
3
3
Match played
3
3
60
60
Games Played​
76
76
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
205
205
Total points​
246
246
68.3
68.3
Avg point​
82
82
86
86
Winners
98
98
28.7
28.7
Avg Winners​
32.7
32.7
42%
42%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
19
19
Aces
20
20
6.3
6.3
Avg Aces
6.7
6.7
1
1
Double Faults
13
13
0.3
0.3
Avg Double Faults
4.3
4.3
86/108
86/108
1st won total​
98/127
98/127
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
45/69
45/69
2nd won total​
53/100
53/100
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
7/16
7/16
BP won
9/19
9/19
2.3/5.3
2.3/5.3
Avg BP won
3/6.3
3/6.3
44%
44%
Won
47%
47%
2
2
Conceded
21
21
0.7
0.7
Avg Conceded
7
7
0
0
Broken
6
6
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
15
15
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Machac
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 60 76
Pts 205-162 246-229
Total Points 367 475
Winners 86 98
%Winners 42% 40%

Both Alcaraz and Machac played 3 matches. At the moment, Tomas Machac dropped 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t lost a set so far. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Machac (6 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 16 games less than Machac. Carlos scored 86 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech made 98 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Machac
Aces 19 20
Avg per match 6.3 6.7
1st in 108/177 127/227
%1st in 61% 56%
1st pts 86/108 98/127
%1st pts 80% 77%
2nd pts 45/69 53/100
%2nd pts 65% 53%

Alcaraz bagged 19 aces (6.3 per match). Machac bagged 20 aces (6.7 per match). Alcaraz won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Machac
Won 7 9
Converted 7/16 9/19
% Converted 44% 47%
Conceded 2 21
Saved 2 15
% Saved 100% 71%
Times Broken 0 6

Carlos broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Carlos extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. Tomas broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Tomas conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Shang		 R3
Wu		 R4
Monfils		 Total
Score 6-2 6-2 7-65 6-3 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 16 22 22 60
pts 62-37 73-66 70-59 205-162
Total points 99 139 129 367
Winners 19 35 32 86
%Winners 31% 48% 46% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 11 5 19
Double Faults 0 1 0 1
1st in 24/48 43/70 41/59 108/177
% 1st in 50% 61% 69% 61%
1st pts 19/24 35/43 32/41 86/108
% 1st pts 79% 81% 78% 80%
2nd pts 16/24 15/27 14/18 45/69
% 2nd pts 67% 56% 78% 65%
Breaks
Won 4 1 2 7
Converted 4/7 1/3 2/6 7/16
Converted % 57% 33% 33% 44%
Conceded 1 0 1 2
Saved 1/1 0/0 1/1 2
Saved % 100% – 100% 67%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0
Machac
R2
Davidovich Fokina		 R3
Vukic		 R4
Paul		 Total
Score 1-6 7-63 6-4 6-4 6-2 3-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 30 18 28 76
pts 84-91 68-52 94-86 246-229
Total points 175 120 180 475
Winners 32 25 41 98
%Winners 38% 37% 44% 40%
SERVE
Aces 10 5 5 20
Double Faults 6 2 5 13
1st in 45/91 27/49 55/87 127/227
% 1st in 49% 55% 63% 56%
1st pts 32/45 25/27 41/55 98/127
% 1st pts 71% 93% 75% 77%
2nd pts 22/46 13/22 18/32 53/100
% 2nd pts 48% 59% 56% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 3 3 9
Converted 3/3 3/7 3/9 9/19
Converted % 100% 43% 33% 47%
Conceded 7 4 10 21
Saved 3/7 4/4 8/10 15
Saved % 43% 100% 80% 74%
Times Broken 4 0 2 6

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

Upcoming matches in the draw

Alcaraz
More Stats
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Machac

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