Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on SHOW COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.58
Tomas Machac -> 2.38

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Tomas Machac

This will be the 2nd time that Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Machac (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Machac won 2-6 6-3 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in Tokyo back in September 2024.

Highlights Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul – Tokyo 28-September-2024

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

41 - 16win/loss

Hard
17-10
I Hard
4-0
Clay
10-4
Grass
10-2
Rank
13
High
12
WWLWLWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 41-16 17-10 10-4 4-0 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 13, the American got to the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Fabio Fognini 6-1 6-3 and Alejandro Tabilo 6-7(2) 7-6(6) 6-2.

In the 3rd round against Tabilo, Tommy recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 7-66 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 120 points vs Tabilo’s 113. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Tommy Paul was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (52/71) of his 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Paul broke Tabilo 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paul has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Paul has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (391-221). 17-10 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has an aggregate 192-111 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).

Paul has a compiled 41-16 win-loss record in 2024, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Shanghai
Paul's Record

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

32 - 20win/loss

Hard
20-10
I Hard
2-3
Clay
9-5
Grass
1-2
Rank
33
High
33
WWLWWWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-20 20-10 9-5 2-3 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2
2020 27-12 0-0 12-6 15-5 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 33 (career-high), the Czech reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(3) 6-4 and Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Tomas had a good straight sets win against Vukic (6-4 6-2). During the match Machac scored 68 points vs Vukic’s 52. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Machac made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tomas Machac was pretty efficient on serve to win 93% (25/27) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Czech broke Vukic 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tomas has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Czech’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Geneva.

Machac has an aggregate 32-20 win-loss record in 2024, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.

Shanghai
Machac's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Paul
T.Machac
3h:43
3h:43
Time on court​
3h:31
3h:31
!
2h:43
2h:43
Last match​
1h:26
1h:26
2
2
Match played
2
2
50
50
Games Played​
48
48
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
179
179
Total points​
152
152
89.5
89.5
Avg point​
76
76
72
72
Winners
57
57
36
36
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
40%
40%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
20
20
Aces
15
15
10
10
Avg Aces
7.5
7.5
1
1
Double Faults
8
8
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
4
4
72/97
72/97
1st won total​
57/72
57/72
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
33/54
33/54
2nd won total​
35/68
35/68
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
8/17
8/17
BP won
6/10
6/10
4/8.5
4/8.5
Avg BP won
3/5
3/5
47%
47%
Won
!
60%
60%
3
3
Conceded
11
11
1.5
1.5
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
2
2
Broken
4
4
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
1
1
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paul Machac
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 50 48
Pts 179-146 152-143
Total Points 325 295
Winners 72 57
%Winners 40% 38%

Both Paul and Machac played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 1 set, while Tomas Machac dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Paul and Machac have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Paul played 2 games more than Machac. The American scored 72 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Tomas recorded 57 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paul Machac
Aces 20 15
Avg per match 10 7.5
1st in 97/151 72/140
%1st in 64% 51%
1st pts 72/97 57/72
%1st pts 74% 79%
2nd pts 33/54 35/68
%2nd pts 61% 51%

Paul recorded 20 aces (10 per match). Machac managed to score 15 aces (7.5 per match). Paul won 74% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paul Machac
Won 8 6
Converted 8/17 6/10
% Converted 47% 60%
Conceded 3 11
Saved 1 7
% Saved 33% 64%
Times Broken 2 4

The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Machac broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Machac conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
R2
Fognini
R3
Tabilo
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-72 7-66 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 16 34 50
pts 59-33 120-113 179-146
Total points 92 233 325
Winners 20 52 72
%Winners 34% 43% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 13 20
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 26/42 71/109 97/151
% 1st in 62% 65% 64%
1st pts 20/26 52/71 72/97
% 1st pts 77% 73% 74%
2nd pts 13/16 20/38 33/54
% 2nd pts 81% 53% 61%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/4 4/13 8/17
Converted % 100% 31% 47%
Conceded 0 3 3
Saved 0/0 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 17%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Machac
R2
Davidovich Fokina
R3
Vukic
Total
Score 1-6 7-63 6-4 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 30 18 48
pts 84-91 68-52 152-143
Total points 175 120 295
Winners 32 25 57
%Winners 38% 37% 38%
SERVE
Aces 10 5 15
Double Faults 6 2 8
1st in 45/91 27/49 72/140
% 1st in 49% 55% 51%
1st pts 32/45 25/27 57/72
% 1st pts 71% 93% 79%
2nd pts 22/46 13/22 35/68
% 2nd pts 48% 59% 51%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/3 3/7 6/10
Converted % 100% 43% 60%
Conceded 7 4 11
Saved 3/7 4/4 7
Saved % 43% 100% 72%
Times Broken 4 0 4

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

Upcoming matches in the draw