Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas will face off in the 4th round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 14th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on SHOW COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.48
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
This will be the 14th time that Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas clash against each other. The head to head is 9-4 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Medvedev won 6-4 7-6(6) in the semifinal in Vienna back in 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Vienna 28-October-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-8 | 9-5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Daniil got to the 4th round after beating Thiago Seyboth Wild 7-5 7-5 and Matteo Arnaldi 5-7 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Arnaldi, Medvedev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 109 points vs Arnaldi’s 107. Medvedev was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 65% of his first serves in, winning 69% (49/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (18/39) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Arnaldi 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a remarkable match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (508-204). 27-8 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an overall 245-77 match record in the last years on hard.
Medvedev’s best result of the season was getting to the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Daniil has a composed 44-17 win-loss record in 2024, 27-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-9 | 9-5 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Stefanos reached the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Kei Nishikori 7-6(6) 6-4 and Alexandre Muller 6-3 7-5.
In the 3rd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Muller (6-3 7-5). During the match Tsitsipas scored 72 points vs Muller’s 55. Stefanos was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Tsitsipas managed to score 7 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Stefanos Tsitsipas was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Greek broke Muller 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tsitsipas hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Carlo where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-1 6-4.
The Greek has a compiled 39-18 win-loss record in 2024, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 44 |
| Pts | 194-181 | 145-124 |
| Total Points | 375 | 269 |
| Winners | 81 | 62 |
| %Winners | 42% | 43% |
Both Medvedev and Tsitsipas played 2 matches. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev dropped 1 set while Stefanos Tsitsipas hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set more than Tsitsipas (5 vs 4). Therefore, Medvedev played 12 games more than Tsitsipas. Daniil scored 81 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Tsitsipas scored 62 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 10.5 |
| 1st in | 115/178 | 76/129 |
| %1st in | 65% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 81/115 | 62/76 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 29/63 | 33/53 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 62% |
Medvedev made 16 aces (8 per match). Tsitsipas fired 21 aces (10.5 per match). Medvedev won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 5 |
| Converted | 8/24 | 5/13 |
| % Converted | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Saved | 6 | 6 |
| % Saved | 55% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Stefanos broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Stefanos conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Seyboth |
R3 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 32 | 56 | |
| pts | 85-74 | 109-107 | 194-181 | |
| Total points | 159 | 216 | 375 | |
| Winners | 32 | 49 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 44/68 | 71/110 | 115/178 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 49/71 | 81/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 69% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 18/39 | 29/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 63% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tsitsipas | ||||
| R2 Nishikori |
R3 Muller |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 21 | 44 | |
| pts | 73-69 | 72-55 | 145-124 | |
| Total points | 142 | 127 | 269 | |
| Winners | 37 | 25 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 35% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 14 | 7 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 43/75 | 33/54 | 76/129 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 25/33 | 62/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 76% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 15/21 | 33/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 71% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/6 | 4/7 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 57% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLLWWW
LWLWWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-75 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-67 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (5-7 7-5 7-65) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-73 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-72 7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yibing WuWu (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-6(7) 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-7(5) 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-6(5) 6-2) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (5-7 7-5 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- David GoffinGoffin – Marcos GironGiron (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (4-9) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Gael MonfilsMonfils (2-1) – H2H and prediction
