Christoph Negritu and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will square off in the qualifications of the Valencia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on PISTA 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Alvarez Varona who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Alvarez Varona is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.31
Christoph Negritu -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Christoph Negritu vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona
There is no head to head record between Christoph Negritu and Nicolas Alvarez Varona since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Christoph Negritu
37 - 20win/loss
330
330
LWWWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-26 | 20-14 | 25-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-27 | 29-17 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-19 | 18-13 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-19 | 19-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 426, Christoph reached the qualifications after beating Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-7(4) 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications against Merida Aguilar, Christoph recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-1 6-4). During the match, Negritu scored 106 points vs Merida Aguilar’s 88. Negritu was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Negritu bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Christoph Negritu lost the serve 5 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Negritu put 70% of his first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (9/27) on the 2nd serve. Negritu broke Merida Aguilar 9 times after converting 50% of his break points (9/18).
Negritu has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (210-149). 24-10 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Negritu has a compiled87-64 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Negritu’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir and M25 Sion.
The German has an overall 37-20 win-loss record in 2024, 24-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Valencia Challenger
Christoph has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
36 - 20win/loss
359
219
LWWWLLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 4-3 | 36-19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-9 | 21-6 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 434, the Spaniard got to the qualifications after beating Gastao Elias 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Alvarez had a good straight sets win against Elias (6-2 6-1). During the match Alvarez scored 51 points vs Elias’s 30. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Alvarez recorded 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Nicolas Alvarez Varona was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (25/30) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nicolas was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Elias 4 times.
Alvarez’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Gijon,M25 Oviedo and M25 Sabadell.
Nicolas has a compiled 36-20 win-loss record in 2024, 33-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Valencia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Negritu | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 15 |
| Pts | 106-88 | 51-30 |
| Total Points | 194 | 81 |
| Winners | 42 | 25 |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% |
Both Negritu and Alvarez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Christoph Negritu dropped 1 set while Nicolas Alvarez Varona hasn’t dropped a set so far. Negritu has played 1 set more than Alvarez (3 vs 2). Therefore, Negritu played 15 games more than Alvarez. The German scored 42 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alvarez bagged 25 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Negritu | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 6 |
| 1st in | 62/89 | 30/44 |
| %1st in | 70% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 42/62 | 25/30 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 9/27 | 8/14 |
| %2nd pts | 33% | 57% |
Negritu fired 4 aces . Alvarez made 6 aces . Negritu won 68% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Negritu | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 4 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 4/4 |
| % Converted | 50% | 100% |
| Conceded | 12 | 0 |
| Saved | 7 | 0 |
| % Saved | 58% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 |
Negritu broke his opponent 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Spaniard was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Negritu | |||
| Q1 Merida |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 106-88 | 106-88 | |
| Total points | 194 | 194 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 62/89 | 62/89 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 42/62 | 42/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/27 | 9/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 33% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 9 | 9 | |
| Converted | 9/18 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 7/12 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Alvarez | |||
| Q1 Elias |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 51-30 | 51-30 | |
| Total points | 81 | 81 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 30/44 | 30/44 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 25/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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