Cori Gauff and Karolina Muchova will fight against each other in the final of the China Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:30 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.8
Cori Gauff -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova

This will be the 3^rd time that Cori Gauff and Karolina Muchova play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Gauff won 6-4 7-5 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Cori Gauff vs Karolina Muchova – U.S. Open 07-September-2023

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 6, Cori reached the final after defeating Clara Burel 7-5 6-3, Katie Boulter 7-5 6-2, Naomi Osaka 3-6 6-4 ret., Yuliia Starodubtseva 2-6 6-2 6-2 and Paula Badosa 4-6 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal against Badosa, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 111 points vs Badosa’s 99. Cori was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gauff blasted 6 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 53% of her first serves in, winning 76% (37/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (18/44) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Badosa 6 times after converting 30% of her break points (6/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gauff has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Gauff has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (221-97). 27-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gauff has a compiled126-56 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Auckland where she defeated Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.

Cori has an aggregate 46-15 win-loss record in 2024, 27-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Karolina Muchova

Ranked no. 49, the Czech got to the final after defeating Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-1, Yue Yuan 6-3 6-1, Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-3, Cristina Bucsa 6-2 6-0, Aryna Sabalenka 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4 and Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-3 6-4). During the match Muchova scored 67 points vs Zheng’s 51. Muchova was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Muchova made 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Karolina Muchova was very efficient on serve to win 79% (31/39) of her 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Muchova broke Zheng twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karolina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

The Czech’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Palermo.

Karolina has an overall 18-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2019. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gauff	Muchova
Match played	5	6
Tot Set	13	13
Tot Games	112	110
Pts	410-354	416-306
Total Points	764	722
Winners	154	158
%Winners	38%	38%

Gauff played 5 matches while Muchova competed in 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff lost 3 sets, while Karolina Muchova surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Gauff and Muchova have played the same amount of sets 13. However, Gauff played 2 games more than Muchova. Gauff scored 154 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Muchova struck 158 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gauff	Muchova
Aces	20	20
Avg per match	4	3.3
1st in	206/353	208/345
%1st in	58%	60%
1st pts	154/206	158/208
%1st pts	75%	76%
2nd pts	60/147	74/137
%2nd pts	41%	54%

Gauff recorded 20 aces (4 per match). Muchova bagged 20 aces (3.3 per match). Gauff won 75% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gauff	Muchova
Won	25	25
Converted	25/62	25/55
% Converted	40%	45%
Conceded	36	24
Saved	20	18
% Saved	56%	75%
Times Broken	16	6

The American broke her opponents 25 times with a 40% conversion rate. Cori dropped her serve 16 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponents 25 times with a 45% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
	R2 Burel	R3 Boulter	R4 Osaka	1/4 Starodubtseva	1/2 Badosa	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	7-5 6-2	3-6 6-4 ret.	2-6 6-2 6-2	4-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	3	12
Tot Games	21	20	19	24	28	112
pts	82-72	66-50	67-63	84-70	111-99	410-354
Total points	154	116	130	154	210	764
Winners	31	32	21	33	37	154
%Winners	38%	48%	31%	39%	33%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	6	2	6	20
Double Faults	6	3	6	11	11	37
1st in	44/68	39/55	32/59	42/78	49/93	206/353
% 1st in	65%	71%	54%	54%	53%	58%
1st pts	31/44	32/39	21/32	33/42	37/49	154/206
% 1st pts	70%	82%	66%	79%	76%	75%
2nd pts	9/24	8/16	10/27	15/36	18/44	60/147
% 2nd pts	38%	50%	37%	42%	41%	41%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	5	6	25
Converted	5/17	4/7	5/11	5/7	6/20	25/62
Converted %	29%	57%	45%	71%	30%	40%
Conceded	6	1	6	13	10	36
Saved	3/6	0/1	1/6	10/13	6/10	20
Saved %	50%	0%	17%	77%	60%	41%
Times Broken	3	1	5	3	4	16

Muchova
	R1 Blinkova	R2 Yuan	R3 Cristian	R4 Bucsa	1/4 Sabalenka	1/2 Zheng	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-3 6-1	6-1 6-3	6-2 6-0	7-65 2-6 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	3	2	13
Tot Games	14	16	16	14	31	19	110
pts	59-29	61-46	61-40	64-37	104-103	67-51	416-306
Total points	88	107	101	101	207	118	722
Winners	22	22	25	17	41	31	158
%Winners	37%	36%	41%	27%	39%	46%	38%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	3	2	5	3	20
Double Faults	0	2	1	1	5	3	12
1st in	26/43	31/55	32/50	18/36	62/104	39/57	208/345
% 1st in	60%	56%	64%	50%	60%	68%	60%
1st pts	22/26	22/31	25/32	17/18	41/62	31/39	158/208
% 1st pts	85%	71%	78%	94%	66%	79%	76%
2nd pts	9/17	11/24	10/18	11/18	22/42	11/18	74/137
% 2nd pts	53%	46%	56%	61%	52%	61%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	5	3	2	25
Converted	5/11	5/9	5/8	5/13	3/10	2/4	25/55
Converted %	45%	56%	63%	38%	30%	50%	45%
Conceded	1	8	6	0	8	1	24
Saved	1/1	7/8	5/6	0/0	4/8	1/1	18
Saved %	100%	88%	83%	–	50%	100%	84%
Times Broken	0	1	1	0	4	0	6

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• David PoljakPoljak – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction