Carlos Alcaraz and Yibing Wu will face off in the 3^rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.02
Yibing Wu -> 13.75

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Yibing Wu

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Yibing Wu since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Juncheng Shang 6-2 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Shang (6-2 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 62 points vs Shang’s 37. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz blasted 3 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (19/24) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Shang 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 80% of his matches (282-72). 20-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a composed95-24 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 and at the Wimbledon where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-2 7-6(4) and in Beijing where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3).

The Spaniard has an aggregate 49-9 win-loss record in 2024, 20-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Yibing Wu

Ranked no. 560, Wu got to the 3^rd round after beating Sumit Nagal 6-3 6-3 and Nicolas Jarry 6-2 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Jarry (6-2 6-1). During the match Wu scored 59 points vs Jarry’s 33. Wu was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Wu bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Yibing Wu conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Wu put 63% of his first serves in, winning 94% (29/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. Yibing broke Jarry 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Yibing hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Jinan Challenger where he defeated Rio Noguchi in the final 7-5 6-3.

Yibing has a compiled 9-4 win-loss record in 2024, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2018. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Wu
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	16	33
Pts	62-37	123-78
Total Points	99	201
Winners	19	51
%Winners	31%	41%

Alcaraz played 1 match while Wu competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Wu (2 vs 4). Therefore, Alcaraz played 17 games less than Wu. The Spaniard scored 19 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Yibing scored 51 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Wu
Aces	3	9
Avg per match	3	4.5
1st in	24/48	59/101
%1st in	50%	58%
1st pts	19/24	51/59
%1st pts	79%	86%
2nd pts	16/24	21/42
%2nd pts	67%	50%

Alcaraz struck 3 aces . Wu fired 9 aces (4.5 per match). Alcaraz won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Wu won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Wu
Won	4	8
Converted	4/7	8/15
% Converted	57%	53%
Conceded	1	4
Saved	1	3
% Saved	100%	75%
Times Broken	0	1

Alcaraz broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alcaraz had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Yibing broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R2 Shang	Total
Score	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	62-37	62-37
Total points	99	99
Winners	19	19
%Winners	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	24/48	24/48
% 1st in	50%	50%
1st pts	19/24	19/24
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	16/24	16/24
% 2nd pts	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/7
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Wu
	R1 Nagal	R2 Jarry	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	15	33
pts	64-45	59-33	123-78
Total points	109	92	201
Winners	22	29	51
%Winners	34%	49%	41%
SERVE
Aces	7	2	9
Double Faults	4	1	5
1st in	28/52	31/49	59/101
% 1st in	54%	63%	58%
1st pts	22/28	29/31	51/59
% 1st pts	79%	94%	86%
2nd pts	14/24	7/18	21/42
% 2nd pts	58%	39%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/7	4/8	8/15
Converted %	57%	50%	53%
Conceded	2	2	4
Saved	1/2	2/2	3
Saved %	50%	100%	150%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6³ 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6⁷ 7-5) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-7⁷ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Arthur FilsFils (7-6⁴ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-7² 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6⁵ 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-6 7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Yibing WuWu – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Kei NishikoriNishikori (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-7(7) 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(7) 7-5) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6(3) 7-6(9)) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Zizou BergsBergs – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Terence AtmaneAtmane (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – David GoffinGoffin (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-0) – H2H and prediction