Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi will face off in the 3^rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.2
Matteo Arnaldi -> 4.55

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Matteo Arnaldi

This will be the 4^th time that Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Madrid back in April 2024.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi – Madrid 27-April-2024

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 5, the Russian got to the 3^rd round after beating Thiago Seyboth Wild 7-5 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (7-5 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 85 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 74. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Medvedev blasted 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 65% of his first serves in, winning 73% (32/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Seyboth Wild 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Medvedev has a fantastic match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (507-204). 26-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall 244-77 record in the last years on hard.

Daniil’s best result of the year was getting to the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

Medvedev has an aggregate 43-17 win-loss record in 2024, 26-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Matteo Arnaldi

Ranked no. 36, Matteo got to the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Zachary Svajda 6-7(2) 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Svajda, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7² 6-2 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 115 points vs Svajda’s 101. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

About the serving games, Arnaldi fired 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was quite effective on serve to win 82% (45/55) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Svajda 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Matteo’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal Montreal.

The Italian has a compiled 29-23 win-loss record in 2024, 17-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Medvedev	Arnaldi
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	24	31
Pts	85-74	115-101
Total Points	159	216
Winners	32	45
%Winners	38%	39%

Both Medvedev and Arnaldi played 1 match. At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Arnaldi (2 vs 3). Therefore, Medvedev played 7 games less than Arnaldi. Medvedev scored 32 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 45 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Medvedev	Arnaldi
Aces	6	11
Avg per match	6	11
1st in	44/68	55/99
%1st in	65%	56%
1st pts	32/44	45/55
%1st pts	73%	82%
2nd pts	11/24	23/44
%2nd pts	46%	52%

Medvedev managed to score 6 aces . Arnaldi struck 11 aces . Medvedev won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Medvedev	Arnaldi
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/13
% Converted	33%	31%
Conceded	3	5
Saved	1	4
% Saved	33%	80%
Times Broken	2	1

Daniil broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
	R2 Seyboth	Total
Score	7-5 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	24	24
pts	85-74	85-74
Total points	159	159
Winners	32	32
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	44/68	44/68
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	32/44	32/44
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	11/24	11/24
% 2nd pts	46%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/12
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	1/3	1
Saved %	33%	33%
Times Broken	2	2

Arnaldi
	R2 Svajda	Total
Score	6-72 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	115-101	115-101
Total points	216	216
Winners	45	45
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	55/99	55/99
% 1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	45/55	45/55
% 1st pts	82%	82%
2nd pts	23/44	23/44
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/13	4/13
Converted %	31%	31%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4/5	4
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6³ 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6⁷ 7-5) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-7⁷ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik Sinner
  Sinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6⁵ 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-6 7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Yibing WuWu – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Kei NishikoriNishikori (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Arthur FilsFils (7-6⁴ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-7² 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-7(7) 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(7) 7-5) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6(3) 7-6(9)) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Zizou BergsBergs – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Terence AtmaneAtmane (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – David GoffinGoffin (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-0) – H2H and prediction