Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi will face off in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.2
Matteo Arnaldi -> 4.55
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in April 2024.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi – Madrid 27-April-2024
Daniil Medvedev
43 - 17win/loss
5
1
LWLLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Thiago Seyboth Wild 7-5 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (7-5 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 85 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 74. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev blasted 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 65% of his first serves in, winning 73% (32/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Seyboth Wild 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Medvedev has a fantastic match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (507-204). 26-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall 244-77 record in the last years on hard.
Daniil’s best result of the year was getting to the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Medvedev has an aggregate 43-17 win-loss record in 2024, 26-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Matteo Arnaldi
29 - 23win/loss
37
30
LLLWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 36, Matteo got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Zachary Svajda 6-7(2) 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Svajda, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-2 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 115 points vs Svajda’s 101. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi fired 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was quite effective on serve to win 82% (45/55) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Svajda 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Matteo’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal Montreal.
The Italian has a compiled 29-23 win-loss record in 2024, 17-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 31 |
| Pts | 85-74 | 115-101 |
| Total Points | 159 | 216 |
| Winners | 32 | 45 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Medvedev and Arnaldi played 1 match. At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Arnaldi (2 vs 3). Therefore, Medvedev played 7 games less than Arnaldi. Medvedev scored 32 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 45 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 11 |
| 1st in | 44/68 | 55/99 |
| %1st in | 65% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 45/55 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 23/44 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 52% |
Medvedev managed to score 6 aces . Arnaldi struck 11 aces . Medvedev won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/13 |
| % Converted | 33% | 31% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 33% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Daniil broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Seyboth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 85-74 | 85-74 | |
| Total points | 159 | 159 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/68 | 44/68 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 32/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 11/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Arnaldi | |||
| R2 Svajda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 115-101 | 115-101 | |
| Total points | 216 | 216 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 55/99 | 55/99 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 45/55 | 45/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/44 | 23/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWLW
LLLWLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-63 7-69) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-67 7-5) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-77 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-65 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-6 7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Yibing WuWu – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Kei NishikoriNishikori (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Arthur FilsFils (7-64 7-65) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-72 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-7(7) 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(7) 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6(3) 7-6(9)) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Zizou BergsBergs – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Terence AtmaneAtmane (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – David GoffinGoffin (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
