Ben Shelton and Roberto Carballes Baena will face off in the 3^rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:30 pm on SHOW COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.21
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 4.4

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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Roberto Carballes Baena

This will be the 2^nd time that Ben Shelton and Roberto Carballes Baena play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shelton (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Shelton won 6-4 6-3 in the quarter in Auckland back in January 2024.

Highlights Ben Shelton vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Auckland 11-January-2024

Ben Shelton

Ranked no. 16, Ben reached the 3^rd round after defeating Denis Shapovalov 6-3 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (6-3 7-5). During the match, Shelton scored 64 points vs Shapovalov’s 48. Ben was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shelton struck 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ben Shelton was very efficient on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 92% (12/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ben broke Shapovalov twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Shelton has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (122-66). 21-12 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shelton has an overall65-37 record in the last 4 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Houston where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-5 4-6 6-3.

Shelton has a compiled 36-22 win-loss record in 2024, 21-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Roberto Carballes Baena

Ranked no. 54, the Spaniard reached the 3^rd round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Arthur Fils 7-6(4) 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, Carballes Baena had a good straight sets win against Fils (7-6⁴ 7-6⁵). During the match Carballes Baena scored 87 points vs Fils’s 77. Roberto was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Carballes Baena managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Roberto Carballes Baena was very efficient on serve to win 83% (43/52) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Fils twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Roberto has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Braunschweig Challenger where he beat Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-1 6-3 and the Seville Challenger where he defeated Daniel Altmaier in the final 6-3 7-5.

The Spaniard has a composed 35-26 win-loss record in 2024, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shelton	Carballes Baena
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	21	52
Pts	64-48	185-162
Total Points	112	347
Winners	32	86
%Winners	50%	46%

Shelton played 1 match while Carballes Baena competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Roberto Carballes Baena surrendered 1 set while Ben Shelton hasn’t conceded a set so far. Shelton has played 3 set(s) less than Carballes Baena (2 vs 5). Therefore, Shelton played 31 games less than Carballes Baena. Shelton scored 32 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 86 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shelton	Carballes Baena
Aces	11	9
Avg per match	11	4.5
1st in	42/55	111/165
%1st in	76%	67%
1st pts	32/42	86/111
%1st pts	76%	77%
2nd pts	12/13	24/54
%2nd pts	92%	44%

Shelton recorded 11 aces . Carballes Baena bagged 9 aces (4.5 per match). Shelton won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 92% of the points. On the other side, Carballes Baena won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shelton	Carballes Baena
Won	2	7
Converted	2/5	7/23
% Converted	40%	30%
Conceded	0	8
Saved	0	3
% Saved	0%	38%
Times Broken	0	5

The American broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Ben extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Spaniard broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Carballes Baena conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.

Shelton
	R2 Shapovalov	Total
Score	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	64-48	64-48
Total points	112	112
Winners	32	32
%Winners	50%	50%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	42/55	42/55
% 1st in	76%	76%
1st pts	32/42	32/42
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	12/13	12/13
% 2nd pts	92%	92%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/5	2/5
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Carballes Baena
	R1 Bautista-Agut	R2 Fils	Total
Score	3-6 6-3 6-2	7-64 7-65
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	26	26	52
pts	98-85	87-77	185-162
Total points	183	164	347
Winners	43	43	86
%Winners	44%	49%	46%
SERVE
Aces	6	3	9
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	59/87	52/78	111/165
% 1st in	68%	67%	67%
1st pts	43/59	43/52	86/111
% 1st pts	73%	83%	77%
2nd pts	10/28	14/26	24/54
% 2nd pts	36%	54%	44%
Breaks
Won	5	2	7
Converted	5/14	2/9	7/23
Converted %	36%	22%	30%
Conceded	5	3	8
Saved	2/5	1/3	3
Saved %	40%	33%	73%
Times Broken	3	2	5

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6⁷ 7-5) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-7⁷ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6³ 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-7² 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6⁵ 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-6 7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Yibing WuWu – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Kei NishikoriNishikori (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Arthur FilsFils (7-6⁴ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-7(7) 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(7) 7-5) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6(3) 7-6(9)) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Zizou BergsBergs – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Terence AtmaneAtmane (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – David GoffinGoffin (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-0) – H2H and prediction