Harold Mayot and Lucas Pouille will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Mouilleron for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Pouille who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lucas Pouille is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Pouille -> 1.55
Harold Mayot -> 2.33

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Harold Mayot vs. Lucas Pouille

This will be the 5th time that Harold Mayot and Lucas Pouille fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Pouille (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Pouille won 6-2 1-6 7-6(12) in the qualifications in at the U.S. Open back in August 2024.

Harold Mayot

Harold Mayot

44 - 31win/loss

Hard
14-12
I Hard
14-6
Clay
11-9
Grass
5-4
Rank
117
High
103
WLLLLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-36 14-13 11-9 15-10 5-4 0-0
2023 31-29 11-9 9-13 7-5 4-1 0-1
2022 40-33 13-8 19-13 7-11 0-0 1-1
2021 15-14 0-1 7-3 7-9 0-0 1-1
2020 14-12 5-4 5-5 4-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 107 (career-high), Harold got to the semifinal after beating Alexandre Reco 6-3 6-3, Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 6-2 7-6(9) and Clement Chidekh 6-7(3) 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter against Chidekh, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 6-3). During the match, Mayot scored 105 points vs Chidekh’s 84. Mayot was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mayot managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Harold Mayot was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Mayot broke Chidekh 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Harold has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Mayot has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (159-126). 14-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mayot has a compiled50-39 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

Mayot’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Barletta Challenger,the Ilkley Challenger and the Orleans Challenger.

Mayot has a composed 44-31 win-loss record in 2024, 14-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Le

Le
Mayot's Record

Lucas Pouille

Lucas Pouille

37 - 16win/loss

Hard
15-5
I Hard
9-6
Clay
8-5
Grass
5-0
Rank
98
High
10
LWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-17 15-5 8-5 15-7 5-0 0-0
2023 16-10 3-2 7-5 4-2 2-1 0-0
2022 7-15 0-3 3-6 4-4 0-2 0-0
2021 18-24 7-3 2-7 7-10 2-4 0-0
2020 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 125, Pouille reached the semifinal after beating Gabriel Debru 6-3 6-2, Calvin Hemery 6-7(6) 6-3 6-2 and Manuel Guinard 4-6 7-5 6-1.

In the quarter against Guinard, Lucas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-1). During the match Pouille scored 107 points vs Guinard’s 88. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Pouille bagged 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Lucas Pouille lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pouille put 61% of his first serves in, winning 77% (43/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (14/36) on the 2nd serve. Pouille broke Guinard 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pouille has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he defeated Jozef Kovalik in the final 6-3 6-3.

Lucas has an aggregate 37-16 win-loss record in 2024, 9-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Le

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2015. See his history.

Le
Pouille's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Mayot
L.Pouille
5h:12
5h:12
Time on court​
5h:29
5h:29
!
2h:10
2h:10
Last match​
1h:58
1h:58
3
3
Match played
3
3
71
71
Games Played​
76
76
7
7
Set played​​
8
8
246
246
Total points​
286
286
82
82
Avg point​
95.3
95.3
109
109
Winners
124
124
36.3
36.3
Avg Winners​
41.3
41.3
44%
44%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
28
28
Aces
37
37
9.3
9.3
Avg Aces
!
12.3
12.3
2
2
Double Faults
8
8
0.7
0.7
Avg Double Faults
2.7
2.7
109/156
109/156
1st won total​
124/152
124/152
70%
70%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
42/70
42/70
2nd won total​
45/93
45/93
60%
60%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
12/21
12/21
BP won
13/39
13/39
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
4.3/13
4.3/13
!
57%
57%
Won
33%
33%
16
16
Conceded
22
22
5.3
5.3
Avg Conceded
7.3
7.3
5
5
Broken
5
5
1.7
1.7
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
11
11
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mayot Pouille
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 8
Tot Games 71 76
Pts 246-195 286-231
Total Points 441 517
Winners 109 124
%Winners 44% 43%

Both Mayot and Pouille played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Harold Mayot dropped 1 set, while Lucas Pouille lost 2 sets. Mayot has played 1 set(s) less than Pouille (7 vs 8). Therefore, Mayot played 5 games less than Pouille. The French player scored 109 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Pouille made 124 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mayot Pouille
Aces 28 37
Avg per match 9.3 12.3
1st in 156/226 152/245
%1st in 69% 62%
1st pts 109/156 124/152
%1st pts 70% 82%
2nd pts 42/70 45/93
%2nd pts 60% 48%

Mayot scored 28 aces (9.3 per match). Pouille struck 37 aces (12.3 per match). Mayot won 70% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Pouille won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mayot Pouille
Won 12 13
Converted 12/21 13/39
% Converted 57% 33%
Conceded 16 22
Saved 11 17
% Saved 69% 77%
Times Broken 5 5

Mayot broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 13 times with a 33% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Mayot
R1
Reco
R2
Vincent
1/4
Chidekh
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-2 7-69 6-73 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 18 21 32 71
pts 59-42 82-69 105-84 246-195
Total points 101 151 189 441
Winners 28 36 45 109
%Winners 47% 44% 43% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 12 12 28
Double Faults 1 0 1 2
1st in 41/53 58/87 57/86 156/226
% 1st in 77% 67% 66% 69%
1st pts 28/41 36/58 45/57 109/156
% 1st pts 68% 62% 79% 70%
2nd pts 8/12 16/29 18/29 42/70
% 2nd pts 67% 55% 62% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 4 4 12
Converted 4/5 4/7 4/9 12/21
Converted % 80% 57% 44% 57%
Conceded 1 10 5 16
Saved 0/1 8/10 3/5 11
Saved % 0% 80% 60% 47%
Times Broken 1 2 2 5
Pouille
R1
Debru
R2
Hemery
1/4
Guinard
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-76 6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 17 30 29 76
pts 63-46 116-97 107-88 286-231
Total points 109 213 195 517
Winners 28 53 43 124
%Winners 44% 46% 40% 43%
SERVE
Aces 8 16 13 37
Double Faults 2 1 5 8
1st in 33/52 63/101 56/92 152/245
% 1st in 63% 62% 61% 62%
1st pts 28/33 53/63 43/56 124/152
% 1st pts 85% 84% 77% 82%
2nd pts 11/19 20/38 14/36 45/93
% 2nd pts 58% 53% 39% 48%
Breaks
Won 3 3 7 13
Converted 3/10 3/14 7/15 13/39
Converted % 30% 21% 47% 33%
Conceded 3 8 11 22
Saved 3/3 8/8 6/11 17
Saved % 100% 100% 55% 85%
Times Broken 0 0 5 5

Tennis Scores in Le

  • Quentin HalysHalysJelle SelsSels (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
  • Harold MayotMayotClement ChidekhChidekh (6-73 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Dino PrizmicPrizmicSascha Gueymard WayenburgGueymard Wayenburg (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Lucas PouillePouilleManuel GuinardGuinard (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
  • Geoffrey Blancaneaux/Calvin HemeryBlancaneaux/Calvin HemeryManuel Guinard/Gregoire JacqGuinard/Gregoire Jacq (6-4 2-6 14-12) – See score progression
  • August Holmgren/Johannes IngildsenHolmgren/Johannes IngildsenDavid Stevenson/Marcus WillisStevenson/Marcus Willis (6-75 7-63 10-4) – See score progression
  • Dino PrizmicPrizmicSascha Gueymard WayenburgGueymard Wayenburg (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Lucas PouillePouilleManuel GuinardGuinard (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
  • Harold MayotMayotClement ChidekhChidekh (6-7(3) 6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw