Qinwen Zheng and Karolina Muchova will fight against each other in the semifinal of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.727
Qinwen Zheng -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Karolina Muchova
This will be the 3rd time that Qinwen Zheng and Karolina Muchova face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Zheng and Muchova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Zheng won 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the final in Palermo back in July 2024.
Highlights Qinwen Zheng vs Karolina Muchova – Palermo 21-July-2024
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-7 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Qinwen reached the semifinal after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-1 6-1, Nadia Podoroska 6-3 6-2, Amanda Anisimova 3-6 6-1 6-2 and Mirra Andreeva 5-7 6-0 6-4.
In the quarter against Andreeva, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-0 6-4). During the match, Zheng scored 101 points vs Andreeva’s 89. Qinwen was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zheng scored 5 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 47% of her first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (14/46) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Andreeva 9 times after converting 50% of her break points (9/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Zheng has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 70% of her matches (217-91). 23-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zheng has a composed109-51 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Palermo where she defeated Karolina Muchova in the final 6-4 4-6 6-2 and in Paris where she beat Donna Vekic in the final 6-2 6-3.
Zheng has an overall 41-14 win-loss record in 2024, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, Muchova got to the semifinal after beating Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-1, Yue Yuan 6-3 6-1, Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-3, Cristina Bucsa 6-2 6-0 and Aryna Sabalenka 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4.
In the quarter, Muchova defeated Sabalenka (7-65 2-6 6-4). During the match Muchova scored 104 points vs Sabalenka’s 103. Muchova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Muchova scored 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 60% of her first serves in, winning 66% (41/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the 2nd serve. Karolina broke Sabalenka 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karolina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Karolina’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Palermo.
Muchova has an overall 17-5 win-loss record in 2024, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zheng | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 91 |
| Pts | 326-248 | 349-255 |
| Total Points | 574 | 604 |
| Winners | 111 | 127 |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% |
Zheng played 4 matches while Muchova competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Qinwen Zheng lost 2 sets, while Karolina Muchova dropped 1 set. Zheng has played 1 set(s) less than Muchova (10 vs 11). Therefore, Zheng played 8 games less than Muchova. Zheng scored 111 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Muchova recorded 127 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zheng | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st in | 141/275 | 169/288 |
| %1st in | 51% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 111/141 | 127/169 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 63/134 | 63/119 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 53% |
Zheng made 25 aces (6.3 per match). Muchova fired 17 aces (3.4 per match). Zheng won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zheng | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 23 |
| Converted | 22/47 | 23/51 |
| % Converted | 47% | 45% |
| Conceded | 24 | 23 |
| Saved | 16 | 17 |
| % Saved | 67% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 6 |
The Chinese broke her opponents 22 times with a 47% conversion rate. Zheng dropped her serve 8 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponents 23 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zheng | ||||||
| R2 Rakhimova |
R3 Podoroska |
R4 Anisimova |
1/4 Andreeva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 5-7 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 17 | 24 | 28 | 83 | |
| pts | 58-26 | 62-41 | 105-92 | 101-89 | 326-248 | |
| Total points | 84 | 103 | 197 | 190 | 574 | |
| Winners | 13 | 27 | 41 | 30 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 22% | 44% | 39% | 30% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 15/33 | 30/53 | 56/103 | 40/86 | 141/275 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 57% | 54% | 47% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 13/15 | 27/30 | 41/56 | 30/40 | 111/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 90% | 73% | 75% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/18 | 13/23 | 21/47 | 14/46 | 63/134 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 57% | 45% | 30% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/7 | 5/12 | 9/18 | 22/47 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 42% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 24 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/5 | 7/9 | 4/10 | 16 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 78% | 40% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Muchova | |||||||
| R1 Blinkova |
R2 Yuan |
R3 Cristian |
R4 Bucsa |
1/4 Sabalenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | 7-65 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 91 | |
| pts | 59-29 | 61-46 | 61-40 | 64-37 | 104-103 | 349-255 | |
| Total points | 88 | 107 | 101 | 101 | 207 | 604 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | 25 | 17 | 41 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 36% | 41% | 27% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 31/55 | 32/50 | 18/36 | 62/104 | 169/288 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 56% | 64% | 50% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 22/26 | 22/31 | 25/32 | 17/18 | 41/62 | 127/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 71% | 78% | 94% | 66% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 11/24 | 10/18 | 11/18 | 22/42 | 63/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 46% | 56% | 61% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 5/8 | 5/13 | 3/10 | 23/51 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 63% | 38% | 30% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 23 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 7/8 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 4/8 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 83% | – | 50% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWLW
LWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- David PoljakPoljak – Marek JaloviecJaloviec (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Patrik RiklRikl (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (2-3) – H2H and prediction
