Cori Gauff and Paula Badosa will square off in the semifinal of the China Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.75
Paula Badosa -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Paula Badosa
This will be the 6th time that Cori Gauff and Paula Badosa fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Gauff won 5-7 6-4 6-1 in the 4th round in Rome back in May 2024.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Paula Badosa – Rome 13-May-2024
Cori Gauff
45 - 15win/loss
6
2
WWWWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-15 | 26-8 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Cori got to the semifinal after beating Clara Burel 7-5 6-3, Katie Boulter 7-5 6-2, Naomi Osaka 3-6 6-4 ret. and Yuliia Starodubtseva 2-6 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter against Starodubtseva, Gauff recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 84 points vs Starodubtseva’s 70. Gauff was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff recorded 2 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 54% of her first serves in, winning 79% (33/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Starodubtseva 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cori has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Gauff has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (220-97). 26-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has an overall125-56 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Auckland where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.
Cori has a compiled 45-15 win-loss record in 2024, 26-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Paula Badosa
34 - 16win/loss
19
2
WWWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-16 | 23-9 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Paula reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-2, Rebecca Sramkova 7-5 7-5, Jessica Pegula 6-4 6-0 and Shuai Zhang 6-1 7-6(4).
In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-1 7-64). During the match Badosa scored 74 points vs Zhang’s 52. Paula was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa recorded 10 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 60% of her first serves in, winning 78% (31/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Zhang 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where she defeated Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 34-16 win-loss record in 2024, 23-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 77 |
| Pts | 299-255 | 278-205 |
| Total Points | 554 | 483 |
| Winners | 117 | 102 |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% |
Both Gauff and Badosa played 4 matches. At the moment, Cori Gauff lost 2 sets while Paula Badosa hasn’t conceded a set so far. Gauff has played 2 sets more than Badosa (10 vs 8). Therefore, Gauff played 7 games more than Badosa. Gauff scored 117 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard blasted 102 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 157/260 | 143/256 |
| %1st in | 60% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 117/157 | 102/143 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 42/103 | 59/113 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 52% |
Gauff recorded 14 aces (3.5 per match). Badosa scored 15 aces (3.8 per match). Gauff won 75% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 18 |
| Converted | 19/42 | 18/31 |
| % Converted | 45% | 58% |
| Conceded | 26 | 20 |
| Saved | 14 | 14 |
| % Saved | 54% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 6 |
Cori broke her opponents 19 times with a 45% conversion rate. Gauff conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. Badosa broke her opponents 18 times with a 58% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | ||||||
| R2 Burel |
R3 Boulter |
R4 Osaka |
1/4 Starodubtseva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 ret. | 2-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 84 | |
| pts | 82-72 | 66-50 | 67-63 | 84-70 | 299-255 | |
| Total points | 154 | 116 | 130 | 154 | 554 | |
| Winners | 31 | 32 | 21 | 33 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 48% | 31% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 44/68 | 39/55 | 32/59 | 42/78 | 157/260 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 71% | 54% | 54% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 32/39 | 21/32 | 33/42 | 117/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 82% | 66% | 79% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/24 | 8/16 | 10/27 | 15/36 | 42/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 50% | 37% | 42% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 4/7 | 5/11 | 5/7 | 19/42 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 57% | 45% | 71% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 0/1 | 1/6 | 10/13 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 17% | 77% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Badosa | ||||||
| R2 Tomova |
R3 Sramkova |
R4 Pegula |
1/4 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 24 | 16 | 20 | 77 | |
| pts | 67-47 | 80-72 | 57-34 | 74-52 | 278-205 | |
| Total points | 114 | 152 | 91 | 126 | 483 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 18 | 31 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% | 32% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 33/63 | 51/76 | 19/50 | 40/67 | 143/256 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 67% | 38% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 30/51 | 18/19 | 31/40 | 102/143 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 59% | 95% | 78% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 15/25 | 15/31 | 12/27 | 59/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 60% | 48% | 44% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/12 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 18/31 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 42% | 100% | 80% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 7/10 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 70% | 50% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWWWLL
WWWWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Patrik RiklRikl (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- David PoljakPoljak – Marek JaloviecJaloviec (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (2-3) – H2H and prediction
