Federico Coria and Gustavo Heide will play each other in the quarter of the Buenos Aires Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.61
Gustavo Heide -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Gustavo Heide
There is no head to head record between Federico Coria and Gustavo Heide since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Federico Coria
32 - 28win/loss
100
49
LWWLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-35 | 0-3 | 45-31 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 94, Federico reached the quarter after defeating Alvaro Guillen Meza 5-7 6-1 6-2 and Gonzalo Villanueva 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Federico had a good straight sets win against Villanueva (6-4 6-3). During the match, Coria scored 69 points vs Villanueva’s 58. Federico was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Coria bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 75% of his first serves in, winning 60% (30/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Villanueva 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Coria has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Coria has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (434-285). 31-24 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Coria has an overall 418-236 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Federico’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Piracicaba Challenger.
The Argentine has a compiled 31-28 win-loss record in 2024, 31-24 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger
Gustavo Heide
26 - 19win/loss
172
142
LWWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-25 | 2-2 | 32-21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-22 | 9-5 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-13 | 3-2 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-14 | 4-5 | 27-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 188, Heide got to the quarter after defeating Conner Huertas Del Pino 6-4 7-5 and Enzo Couacaud 6-4 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, Gustavo had a good straight sets win against Couacaud (6-4 7-63). During the match Heide scored 78 points vs Couacaud’s 70. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Heide fired 8 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Gustavo Heide was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (35/47) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brazilian broke Couacaud twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gustavo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Asuncion Challenger where he overcame Joao Fonseca in the final 7-5 6-7(6) 6-1.
Gustavo has a composed 26-18 win-loss record in 2024, 26-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 45 |
| Pts | 169-143 | 152-136 |
| Total Points | 312 | 288 |
| Winners | 72 | 63 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Both Coria and Heide played 2 matches. At the moment, Federico Coria dropped 1 set while Gustavo Heide hasn’t dropped a set so far. Coria has played 1 set more than Heide (5 vs 4). Therefore, Coria played 1 game more than Heide. Coria scored 72 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Gustavo struck 63 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 121/167 | 85/148 |
| %1st in | 72% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 72/121 | 63/85 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 22/46 | 39/63 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 62% |
Coria struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Heide recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Coria won 60% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Heide won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 4 |
| Converted | 12/22 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 55% | 40% |
| Conceded | 18 | 19 |
| Saved | 11 | 18 |
| % Saved | 61% | 95% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 1 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Federico lost his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Heide broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Gustavo conceded his serve once and he saved 95% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | ||||
| R1 Guillen |
R2 Villanueva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 19 | 46 | |
| pts | 100-85 | 69-58 | 169-143 | |
| Total points | 185 | 127 | 312 | |
| Winners | 42 | 30 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 71/100 | 50/67 | 121/167 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 75% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 42/71 | 30/50 | 72/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 60% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 8/17 | 22/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 47% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 5/10 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 50% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 2/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 40% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Heide | ||||
| R1 Huertas Del Pino |
R2 Couacaud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 | 45 | |
| pts | 74-66 | 78-70 | 152-136 | |
| Total points | 140 | 148 | 288 | |
| Winners | 28 | 35 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/74 | 47/74 | 85/148 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 64% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 35/47 | 63/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/36 | 16/27 | 39/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 59% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/7 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 29% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 9 | 19 | |
| Saved | 10/10 | 8/9 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 89% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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