Karolina Muchova and Cristina Bucsa will fight against each other in the 4^th round of the China Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:30 pm on LOTUS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.086
Cristina Bucsa -> 7.6

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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Cristina Bucsa

There is no head to head record between Karolina Muchova and Cristina Bucsa since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Karolina Muchova

Ranked no. 49, Karolina got to the 4^th round after defeating Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-1, Yue Yuan 6-3 6-1 and Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Karolina had a good straight sets win against Cristian (6-1 6-3). During the match, Muchova scored 61 points vs Cristian’s 40. Muchova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Muchova blasted 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Karolina Muchova was very effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Karolina broke Cristian 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Muchova hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 61% of the points she played.

Muchova has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 67% of her matches (220-106). 9-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Muchova has a composed106-43 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Muchova’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Palermo.

Karolina has a compiled 15-5 win-loss record in 2024, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Cristina Bucsa

Ranked no. 79, Cristina reached the 4^th round after defeating Xinxin Yao 6-3 6-2, Liudmila Samsonova 6-1 4-6 6-4 and Elise Mertens 4-6 6-2 6-2.

In the 3^rd round against Mertens, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Bucsa scored 100 points vs Mertens’s 78. Bucsa was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Bucsa wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Cristina Bucsa lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Bucsa put 60% of her first serves in, winning 59% (34/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the 2nd serve. Cristina broke Mertens 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bucsa has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Cristina has a composed 21-25 win-loss record in 2024, 11-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Muchova	Bucsa
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	8
Tot Games	46	70
Pts	181-115	271-214
Total Points	296	485
Winners	69	94
%Winners	38%	35%

Both Muchova and Bucsa played 3 matches. At the moment, Cristina Bucsa dropped 2 sets while Karolina Muchova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Muchova has played 2 set(s) less than Bucsa (6 vs 8). Therefore, Muchova played 24 games less than Bucsa. The Czech scored 69 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Cristina made 94 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Muchova	Bucsa
Aces	10	6
Avg per match	3.3	2
1st in	89/148	143/231
%1st in	60%	62%
1st pts	69/89	94/143
%1st pts	78%	66%
2nd pts	30/59	44/88
%2nd pts	51%	50%

Muchova made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Bucsa fired 6 aces (2 per match). Muchova won 78% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Bucsa won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Muchova	Bucsa
Won	15	20
Converted	15/28	20/42
% Converted	54%	48%
Conceded	15	25
Saved	13	15
% Saved	87%	60%
Times Broken	2	10

The Czech broke her opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Czech dropped her serve twice and she saved 87% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponents 20 times with a 48% conversion rate. Bucsa conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Muchova
	R1 Blinkova	R2 Yuan	R3 Cristian	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-3 6-1	6-1 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	14	16	16	46
pts	59-29	61-46	61-40	181-115
Total points	88	107	101	296
Winners	22	22	25	69
%Winners	37%	36%	41%	38%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	3	10
Double Faults	0	2	1	3
1st in	26/43	31/55	32/50	89/148
% 1st in	60%	56%	64%	60%
1st pts	22/26	22/31	25/32	69/89
% 1st pts	85%	71%	78%	78%
2nd pts	9/17	11/24	10/18	30/59
% 2nd pts	53%	46%	56%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	15
Converted	5/11	5/9	5/8	15/28
Converted %	45%	56%	63%	54%
Conceded	1	8	6	15
Saved	1/1	7/8	5/6	13
Saved %	100%	88%	83%	90%
Times Broken	0	1	1	2

Bucsa
	R1 Yao	R2 Samsonova	R3 Mertens	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-1 4-6 6-4	4-6 6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	17	27	26	70
pts	74-51	97-85	100-78	271-214
Total points	125	182	178	485
Winners	19	41	34	94
%Winners	26%	42%	34%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	0	6
Double Faults	4	4	3	11
1st in	29/48	56/86	58/97	143/231
% 1st in	60%	65%	60%	62%
1st pts	19/29	41/56	34/58	94/143
% 1st pts	66%	73%	59%	66%
2nd pts	9/19	12/30	23/39	44/88
% 2nd pts	47%	40%	59%	50%
Breaks
Won	7	6	7	20
Converted	7/17	6/13	7/12	20/42
Converted %	41%	46%	58%	48%
Conceded	4	9	12	25
Saved	1/4	6/9	8/12	15
Saved %	25%	67%	67%	53%
Times Broken	3	3	4	10

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (7-5 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cori GauffGauff – Naomi OsakaOsaka (3-6 6-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paula BadosaBadosa – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Madison KeysKeys (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction