H2H, prediction of Mattia Bellucci vs Aslan Karatsev in Shanghai with odds, preview, pick | 1st October 2024

PREVIEW. Shanghai. Bellucci and Karatsev will play each other in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Tuesday the 1st of October

By
Mark Hall
-

Mattia Bellucci and Aslan Karatsev will face off in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 5:00 pm on COURT 4. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.46
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.56

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Aslan Karatsev

This will be the 2nd time that Mattia Bellucci and Aslan Karatsev square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bellucci (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Bellucci won 6-4 6-0 in the 1st round in Hangzhou back in September 2024.

Mattia Bellucci

Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci

41 - 27win/loss

Hard
25-14
I Hard
5-7
Clay
5-2
Grass
6-4
Rank
100
High
100
LLWWWLWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 51-32 31-17 5-2 9-9 6-4 0-0
2023 33-34 22-19 2-9 4-3 5-3 0-0
2022 66-23 30-4 25-12 11-7 0-0 0-0
2021 39-18 29-10 5-3 5-4 0-1 0-0
2020 15-6 13-3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2-1
See all years

Ranked no. 103, Mattia got to the qualifications after beating Yuta Shimizu 7-5 7-6(2).

In the qualifications, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Shimizu (7-5 7-62). During the match, Bellucci scored 86 points vs Shimizu’s 76. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bellucci struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mattia Bellucci was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (36/48) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Bellucci broke Shimizu twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Bellucci has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (225-128). 25-14 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has an aggregate127-58 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Cary Challenger.

The Italian has a composed 41-27 win-loss record in 2024, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Bellucci has never competed in this tournament before.

Bellucci
Shanghai
Bellucci's Record

Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev
Aslan Karatsev

7 - 14win/loss

Hard
6-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-4
Grass
0-2
Rank
289
High
14
LLWWLWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-18 6-9 1-4 5-3 0-2 0-0
2023 32-22 13-10 14-5 2-3 3-4 0-0
2022 18-31 8-9 5-9 4-10 1-3 0-0
2021 37-20 23-9 9-6 4-3 1-2 0-0
2020 36-11 7-4 17-2 12-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 139, the Russian got to the qualifications after beating Aziz Dougaz 6-7(2) 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications against Dougaz, Karatsev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-4 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 107 points vs Dougaz’s 98. Aslan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Karatsev fired 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was very effective on serve to win 74% (45/61) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Aslan broke Dougaz 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Karatsev has an overall 7-14 win-loss record in 2024, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.

Karatsev
Shanghai
Karatsev's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Bellucci
A.Karatsev
1h:49
1h:49
Time on court​
2h:30
2h:30
1h:49
1h:49
Last match​
!
2h:30
2h:30
1
1
Match played
1
1
25
25
Games Played​
33
33
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
86
86
Total points​
107
107
86
86
Avg point​
107
107
36
36
Winners
45
45
36
36
Avg Winners​
45
45
42%
42%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
10
10
10
10
Avg Aces
10
10
3
3
Double Faults
5
5
3
3
Avg Double Faults
5
5
36/48
36/48
1st won total​
45/61
45/61
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
17/30
17/30
2nd won total​
24/38
24/38
57%
57%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
2/5
2/5
BP won
3/11
3/11
2/5
2/5
Avg BP won
3/11
3/11
40%
40%
Won
!
27%
27%
1
1
Conceded
5
5
1
1
Avg Conceded
5
5
1
1
Broken
1
1
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
0
0
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bellucci Karatsev
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 25 33
Pts 86-76 107-98
Total Points 162 205
Winners 36 45
%Winners 42% 42%

Both Bellucci and Karatsev played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Aslan Karatsev surrendered 1 set while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bellucci has played 1 set(s) less than Karatsev (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bellucci played 8 games less than Karatsev. The Italian scored 36 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 45 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bellucci Karatsev
Aces 10 10
Avg per match 10 10
1st in 48/78 61/99
%1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 36/48 45/61
%1st pts 75% 74%
2nd pts 17/30 24/38
%2nd pts 57% 63%

Bellucci scored 10 aces . Karatsev struck 10 aces . Bellucci won 75% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bellucci Karatsev
Won 2 3
Converted 2/5 3/11
% Converted 40% 27%
Conceded 1 5
Saved 0 4
% Saved 0% 80%
Times Broken 1 1

Bellucci broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Aslan broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Bellucci
Q1
Shimizu		 Total
Score 7-5 7-62
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 25 25
pts 86-76 86-76
Total points 162 162
Winners 36 36
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 48/78 48/78
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 36/48 36/48
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 17/30 17/30
% 2nd pts 57% 57%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/5 2/5
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1
Karatsev
Q1
Dougaz		 Total
Score 6-72 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 33 33
pts 107-98 107-98
Total points 205 205
Winners 45 45
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 61/99 61/99
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 45/61 45/61
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 24/38 24/38
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/11 3/11
Converted % 27% 27%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Mattia Bellucci
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 3Chall
  • 6Minor
Aslan Karatsev
  • 0Slam
  • 3Main
  • 3Chall
  • 10Minor

Mattia
Bellucci

2:0

Aslan
Karatsev

Rank

100

High

100

2Hard0

Rank

289

High

14

Win Loss
Bellucci
LLWWWLWWWW
Karatsev
LLWWLWWWLW
2024 2023 2022
51 - 32
12 - 18
31-17
Hard
6-9
9-9
I Hard
5-3
5-2
Clay
1-4
6-4
Grass
0-2
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Bellucci Mattia Bellucci
More Stats
Click here
Karatsev Aslan Karatsev