Mattia Bellucci and Aslan Karatsev will face off in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 5:00 pm on COURT 4. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.46
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.56

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Aslan Karatsev

This will be the 2^nd time that Mattia Bellucci and Aslan Karatsev square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bellucci (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Bellucci won 6-4 6-0 in the 1^st round in Hangzhou back in September 2024.

Mattia Bellucci

Ranked no. 103, Mattia got to the qualifications after beating Yuta Shimizu 7-5 7-6(2).

In the qualifications, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Shimizu (7-5 7-6²). During the match, Bellucci scored 86 points vs Shimizu’s 76. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bellucci struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mattia Bellucci was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (36/48) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Bellucci broke Shimizu twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Bellucci has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (225-128). 25-14 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has an aggregate127-58 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Cary Challenger.

The Italian has a composed 41-27 win-loss record in 2024, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Bellucci has never competed in this tournament before.

Aslan Karatsev

Ranked no. 139, the Russian got to the qualifications after beating Aziz Dougaz 6-7(2) 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications against Dougaz, Karatsev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7² 6-4 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 107 points vs Dougaz’s 98. Aslan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Karatsev fired 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was very effective on serve to win 74% (45/61) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Aslan broke Dougaz 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Karatsev has an overall 7-14 win-loss record in 2024, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bellucci	Karatsev
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	25	33
Pts	86-76	107-98
Total Points	162	205
Winners	36	45
%Winners	42%	42%

Both Bellucci and Karatsev played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Aslan Karatsev surrendered 1 set while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bellucci has played 1 set(s) less than Karatsev (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bellucci played 8 games less than Karatsev. The Italian scored 36 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 45 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bellucci	Karatsev
Aces	10	10
Avg per match	10	10
1st in	48/78	61/99
%1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	36/48	45/61
%1st pts	75%	74%
2nd pts	17/30	24/38
%2nd pts	57%	63%

Bellucci scored 10 aces . Karatsev struck 10 aces . Bellucci won 75% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bellucci	Karatsev
Won	2	3
Converted	2/5	3/11
% Converted	40%	27%
Conceded	1	5
Saved	0	4
% Saved	0%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Bellucci broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Aslan broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Bellucci
	Q1 Shimizu	Total
Score	7-5 7-62
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	25	25
pts	86-76	86-76
Total points	162	162
Winners	36	36
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	48/78	48/78
% 1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	36/48	36/48
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	17/30	17/30
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/5	2/5
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Karatsev
	Q1 Dougaz	Total
Score	6-72 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	33	33
pts	107-98	107-98
Total points	205	205
Winners	45	45
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	61/99	61/99
% 1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	45/61	45/61
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	24/38	24/38
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/11	3/11
Converted %	27%	27%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4/5	4
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Fabio FogniniFognini – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marin CilicCilic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yan BaiBai – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – James DuckworthDuckworth (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex BoltBolt – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Li TuTu – Linang XiaoXiao (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Zizou BergsBergs (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Billy HarrisHarris – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Hugo GastonGaston (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Seong Chan HongChan Hong (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Fajing SunSun – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yibing WuWu – Sumit NagalNagal (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pavel KotovKotov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – Terence AtmaneAtmane (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (1-0) – H2H and prediction