Denis Shapovalov and Sho Shimabukuro will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 2:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.24
Sho Shimabukuro -> 3.72
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Sho Shimabukuro
There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Sho Shimabukuro since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Denis Shapovalov
22 - 22win/loss
56
10
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-15 | 8-6 | 5-2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 101, Shapovalov got to the qualifications after beating Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Denis had a good straight sets win against Hsiou Hsu (6-3 6-3). During the match, Shapovalov scored 71 points vs Hsiou Hsu’s 49. Shapovalov was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shapovalov blasted 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Denis Shapovalov was extremely effective on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shapovalov broke Hsiou Hsu 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Shapovalov has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (298-204). 7-9 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Shapovalov has an overall 131-88 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Shapovalov has an aggregate 22-22 win-loss record in 2024, 7-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Sho Shimabukuro
26 - 23win/loss
190
135
LWLLWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 165, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Denis Yevseyev 6-7(6) 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications against Yevseyev, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 6-4 6-1). During the match Shimabukuro scored 114 points vs Yevseyev’s 92. Sho was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Shimabukuro managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was quite effective on serve to win 75% (41/55) of his 1st serve and 56% (24/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shimabukuro broke Yevseyev 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Shanghai Challenger where he defeated Yu Hsiou Hsu in the final 6-4 6-4.
Sho has a compiled 26-23 win-loss record in 2024, 19-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 30 |
| Pts | 71-49 | 114-92 |
| Total Points | 120 | 206 |
| Winners | 28 | 41 |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% |
Both Shapovalov and Shimabukuro played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Sho Shimabukuro surrendered 1 set while Denis Shapovalov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Shapovalov has played 1 set(s) less than Shimabukuro (2 vs 3). Therefore, Shapovalov played 12 games less than Shimabukuro. Shapovalov scored 28 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 41 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 13 |
| 1st in | 31/47 | 55/98 |
| %1st in | 66% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 41/55 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 24/43 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 56% |
Shapovalov recorded 10 aces . Shimabukuro managed to score 13 aces . Shapovalov won 90% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
The Canadian broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Shapovalov quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Japanese broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sho conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||
| Q1 Hsiou |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 71-49 | 71-49 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/47 | 31/47 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 28/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 10/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimabukuro | |||
| Q1 Yevseyev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 114-92 | 114-92 | |
| Total points | 206 | 206 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 55/98 | 55/98 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 41/55 | 41/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/43 | 24/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LWLLWWLWLW 
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