Daniel Evans and Alex Bolt will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:00 pm on SHOW COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Evans who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Evans is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Evans -> 1.32
Alex Bolt -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Evans vs. Alex Bolt
This will be the 2nd time that Daniel Evans and Alex Bolt square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Evans (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Evans won 5-7 6-2 6-0 in the 3rd round in the Surbiton Challenger back in 2019.
Daniel Evans
14 - 24win/loss
165
21
LWWWLWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-26 | 8-11 | 3-8 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-27 | 11-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 6-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 12-11 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-14 | 11-6 | 0-3 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 176, the Brit got to the qualifications after beating Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-7(5) 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications against Uchiyama, Daniel recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-1 6-4). During the match, Evans scored 95 points vs Uchiyama’s 75. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Evans blasted 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniel Evans was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (41/52) of his 1st serve and 76% (25/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniel broke Uchiyama 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Evans has winning record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (305-211). 7-10 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Evans has a compiled 154-99 match record in the last years on hard.
Evans has an overall 14-24 win-loss record in 2024, 7-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Alex Bolt
43 - 20win/loss
160
125
LWWWWLLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-24 | 26-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 21-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-22 | 22-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-10 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-18 | 7-6 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-12 | 12-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 188, Alex reached the qualifications after beating Yannick Hanfmann 7-6(1) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Alex had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (7-61 6-4). During the match Bolt scored 79 points vs Hanfmann’s 58. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Bolt made 8 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex Bolt was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 83% (19/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Hanfmann once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Alex’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Burnie 1 Challenger,M25 Traralgon,M25 Mildura and M25 Swan Hill.
Bolt has an overall 43-20 win-loss record in 2024, 22-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Evans | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 23 |
| Pts | 95-75 | 79-58 |
| Total Points | 170 | 137 |
| Winners | 41 | 29 |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% |
Both Evans and Bolt played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Daniel Evans dropped 1 set while Alex Bolt hasn’t lost a set so far. Evans has played 1 set more than Bolt (3 vs 2). Therefore, Evans played 7 games more than Bolt. Evans scored 41 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Alex managed to score 29 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Evans | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 8 |
| 1st in | 52/85 | 34/57 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 29/34 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 25/33 | 19/23 |
| %2nd pts | 76% | 83% |
Evans struck 9 aces . Bolt made 8 aces . Evans won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Bolt won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 83% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Evans | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 1 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 1/2 |
| % Converted | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Brit broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Evans was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Australian broke his opponent once with a 50% conversion rate. Alex was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Evans | |||
| Q1 Uchiyama |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 95-75 | 95-75 | |
| Total points | 170 | 170 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 52/85 | 52/85 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 41/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/33 | 25/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 76% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Bolt | |||
| Q1 Hanfmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 79-58 | 79-58 | |
| Total points | 137 | 137 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/57 | 34/57 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 29/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/23 | 19/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 83% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 1/2 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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