Jannik Sinner and Bu Yunchaokete will face off in the semifinal of the China Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on LOTUS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.152
Bu Yunchaokete -> 5.4

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Bu Yunchaokete

There is no head to head record between Jannik Sinner and Bu Yunchaokete since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Nicolas Jarry 4-6 6-3 6-1, Roman Safiullin 3-6 6-2 6-3 and Jiri Lehecka 6-2 7-6(6).

In the quarter, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-2 7-6⁶). During the match, Sinner scored 75 points vs Lehecka’s 59. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner scored 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (35/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Lehecka twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik has lost 2 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 74% of his matches (331-118). 33-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a composed131-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he beat Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he defeated Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2 and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Taylor Fritz in the final 6-3 6-4 7-5.

The Italian has an aggregate 58-5 win-loss record in 2024, 33-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Bu Yunchaokete

Ranked no. 96 (career-high), Yunchaokete got to the semifinal after beating Juncheng Shang 6-7(3) 6-2 6-4, Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-4 and Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-4.

In the quarter, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-5 6-4). During the match Yunchaokete scored 71 points vs Rublev’s 60. Bu was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Yunchaokete bagged 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Bu Yunchaokete was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Yunchaokete broke Rublev twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bu has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Wuxi Challenger where he overcame Egor Gerasimov in the final 6-4 6-1 and the Granby Challenger where he overcame Terence Atmane in the final 6-3 6-7(7) 6-4.

Bu has an aggregate 46-20 win-loss record in 2024, 40-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Yunchaokete
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	7
Tot Games	73	71
Pts	250-198	238-194
Total Points	448	432
Winners	108	86
%Winners	43%	36%

Both Sinner and Yunchaokete played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner dropped 2 sets, while Bu Yunchaokete conceded 1 set. Sinner has played 1 set more than Yunchaokete (8 vs 7). Therefore, Sinner played 2 games more than Yunchaokete. Sinner scored 108 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Bu scored 86 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Yunchaokete
Aces	12	19
Avg per match	4	6.3
1st in	130/210	114/210
%1st in	62%	54%
1st pts	108/130	86/114
%1st pts	83%	75%
2nd pts	44/80	55/96
%2nd pts	55%	57%

Sinner made 12 aces (4 per match). Yunchaokete struck 19 aces (6.3 per match). Sinner won 83% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Yunchaokete won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Yunchaokete
Won	10	14
Converted	10/25	14/29
% Converted	40%	48%
Conceded	13	15
Saved	10	9
% Saved	77%	60%
Times Broken	3	6

The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Jarry	R2 Safiullin	1/4 Lehecka	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-1	3-6 6-2 6-3	6-2 7-66
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	26	26	21	73
pts	84-60	91-79	75-59	250-198
Total points	144	170	134	448
Winners	37	36	35	108
%Winners	44%	40%	47%	43%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	7	12
Double Faults	1	3	3	7
1st in	45/66	45/77	40/67	130/210
% 1st in	68%	58%	60%	62%
1st pts	37/45	36/45	35/40	108/130
% 1st pts	82%	80%	88%	83%
2nd pts	14/21	15/32	15/27	44/80
% 2nd pts	67%	47%	56%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	4	2	10
Converted	4/8	4/13	2/4	10/25
Converted %	50%	31%	50%	40%
Conceded	5	6	2	13
Saved	4/5	4/6	2/2	10
Saved %	80%	67%	100%	82%
Times Broken	1	2	0	3

Yunchaokete
	R1 Shang	R2 Musetti	1/4 Rublev	Total
Score	6-73 6-2 6-4	6-2 6-4	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	31	18	22	71
pts	101-89	66-45	71-60	238-194
Total points	190	111	131	432
Winners	31	23	32	86
%Winners	31%	35%	45%	36%
SERVE
Aces	8	5	6	19
Double Faults	2	1	1	4
1st in	45/84	29/55	40/71	114/210
% 1st in	54%	53%	56%	54%
1st pts	31/45	23/29	32/40	86/114
% 1st pts	69%	79%	80%	75%
2nd pts	23/39	13/26	19/31	55/96
% 2nd pts	59%	50%	61%	57%
Breaks
Won	7	5	2	14
Converted	7/18	5/8	2/3	14/29
Converted %	39%	63%	67%	48%
Conceded	6	5	4	15
Saved	2/6	3/5	4/4	9
Saved %	33%	60%	100%	64%
Times Broken	4	2	0	6

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Andrey RublevRublev (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-2 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Alexander Bublik/Pedro Martinez PorteroBublik/Pedro Martinez Portero (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
• Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-2 7-6(6)) – See score progression
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Andrey RublevRublev (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-5 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction