Jessica Pegula and Paula Badosa will square off in the 4th round of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on LOTUS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.66
Paula Badosa -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Paula Badosa
This will be the 4th time that Jessica Pegula and Paula Badosa play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Pegula won 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the semifinal in Cincinnati back in August 2024.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Paula Badosa – Cincinnati 18-August-2024
Jessica Pegula
38 - 12win/loss
7
3
LLLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Jessica reached the 4th round after defeating Diane Parry 6-1 7-6(4) and Veronika Kudermetova 6-7(9) 6-1 6-2.
In the 3rd round against Kudermetova, Pegula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-79 6-1 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 106 points vs Kudermetova’s 84. Pegula was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula scored 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 63% of her first serves in, winning 70% (42/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kudermetova 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (336-177). 28-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an aggregate 214-97 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Berlin where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3) and in Toronto where she defeated Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.
The American has a compiled 38-12 win-loss record in 2024, 28-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Paula Badosa
32 - 16win/loss
12
2
LLWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Paula reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-2 and Rebecca Sramkova 7-5 7-5.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Sramkova (7-5 7-5). During the match Badosa scored 80 points vs Sramkova’s 72. Paula was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa recorded 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 67% of her first serves in, winning 59% (30/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Sramkova 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paula hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Washington where she beat Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.
Paula has a composed 32-16 win-loss record in 2024, 21-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 41 |
| Pts | 187-148 | 147-119 |
| Total Points | 335 | 266 |
| Winners | 73 | 53 |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% |
Both Pegula and Badosa played 2 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula lost 1 set while Paula Badosa hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set more than Badosa (5 vs 4). Therefore, Pegula played 7 games more than Badosa. Jessica scored 73 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa bagged 53 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 106/157 | 84/139 |
| %1st in | 68% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 73/106 | 53/84 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 29/51 | 32/55 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 58% |
Pegula made 10 aces (5 per match). Badosa scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Pegula won 69% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/20 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 55% | 43% |
| Conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Saved | 7 | 12 |
| % Saved | 64% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Jessica broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Jessica surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R2 Parry |
R3 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-64 | 6-79 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 28 | 48 | |
| pts | 81-64 | 106-84 | 187-148 | |
| Total points | 145 | 190 | 335 | |
| Winners | 31 | 42 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 46/62 | 60/95 | 106/157 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 63% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 31/46 | 42/60 | 73/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 70% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 18/35 | 29/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 51% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 7/9 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 78% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 57% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Badosa | ||||
| R2 Tomova |
R3 Sramkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 24 | 41 | |
| pts | 67-47 | 80-72 | 147-119 | |
| Total points | 114 | 152 | 266 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 33/63 | 51/76 | 84/139 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 67% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 30/51 | 53/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 59% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 15/25 | 32/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 60% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/12 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 7/10 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 70% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWLWW
LLWWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Peyton StearnsStearns (3-6 6-3 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (0-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-79 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Greetje MinnenMinnen (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Peyton StearnsStearns (3-6 6-3 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Madison KeysKeys (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Cori GauffGauff (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction
