Cori Gauff and Naomi Osaka will clash against each other in the 4th round of the China Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 9:30 pm on LOTUS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.61
Naomi Osaka -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Naomi Osaka

This will be the 5th time that Cori Gauff and Naomi Osaka fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Gauff and Osaka (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Gauff won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in San Jose back in 2022.

Highlights Cori Gauff vs Naomi Osaka – San Jose 04-August-2022

Cori Gauff

Cori Gauff

43 - 15win/loss

Hard
24-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
14-5
Grass
5-2
Rank
6
High
2
WWLWWWLLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-15 24-8 14-5 0-0 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 6, Gauff got to the 4th round after defeating Clara Burel 7-5 6-3 and Katie Boulter 7-5 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Cori had a good straight sets win against Boulter (7-5 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 66 points vs Boulter’s 50. Gauff was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gauff recorded 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve once. Furthermore, Gauff put 71% of her first serves in, winning 82% (32/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Boulter 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cori hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.

Gauff has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (218-97). 24-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has a composed123-56 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Auckland where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.

Cori has a composed 43-15 win-loss record in 2024, 24-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Beijing
Gauff's Record

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka

22 - 17win/loss

Hard
13-9
I Hard
1-0
Clay
5-5
Grass
3-3
Rank
73
High
1
WWWLWLWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 22-17 13-9 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 16-3 16-2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 73, Naomi got to the 4th round after beating Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-2, Yulia Putintseva 3-6 6-4 6-2 and Katie Volynets 6-3 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Osaka had a good straight sets win against Volynets (6-3 6-2). During the match Osaka scored 70 points vs Volynets’s 49. Naomi was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Osaka struck 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Naomi Osaka was very effective on serve to win 82% (23/28) of her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Osaka broke Volynets 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Osaka has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Japanese has a compiled 22-17 win-loss record in 2024, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, she won this tournament once in 2019. See her history.

Beijing
Osaka's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Gauff
N.Osaka
3h:04
3h:04
Time on court​
4h:26
4h:26
1h:24
1h:24
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
41
41
Games Played​
61
61
4
4
Set played​​
7
7
148
148
Total points​
225
225
74
74
Avg point​
75
75
63
63
Winners
89
89
31.5
31.5
Avg Winners​
29.7
29.7
43%
43%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
19
19
3
3
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
9
9
Double Faults
6
6
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
63/83
63/83
1st won total​
89/117
89/117
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
17/40
17/40
2nd won total​
45/91
45/91
43%
43%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
9/24
9/24
BP won
12/23
12/23
4.5/12
4.5/12
Avg BP won
4/7.7
4/7.7
38%
38%
Won
!
52%
52%
7
7
Conceded
17
17
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
5.7
5.7
4
4
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
3
3
Saved
12
12
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gauff Osaka
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 7
Tot Games 41 61
Pts 148-122 225-185
Total Points 270 410
Winners 63 89
%Winners 43% 40%

Gauff played 2 matches while Osaka competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Naomi Osaka lost 1 set while Cori Gauff hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Gauff has played 3 set(s) less than Osaka (4 vs 7). Therefore, Gauff played 20 games less than Osaka. Gauff scored 63 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese fired 89 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gauff Osaka
Aces 6 19
Avg per match 3 6.3
1st in 83/123 117/208
%1st in 67% 56%
1st pts 63/83 89/117
%1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 17/40 45/91
%2nd pts 43% 49%

Gauff struck 6 aces (3 per match). Osaka recorded 19 aces (6.3 per match). Gauff won 76% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gauff Osaka
Won 9 12
Converted 9/24 12/23
% Converted 38% 52%
Conceded 7 17
Saved 3 12
% Saved 43% 71%
Times Broken 4 5

Gauff broke her opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Gauff surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Naomi broke her opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Osaka conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
R2
Burel		 R3
Boulter		 Total
Score 7-5 6-3 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 20 41
pts 82-72 66-50 148-122
Total points 154 116 270
Winners 31 32 63
%Winners 38% 48% 43%
SERVE
Aces 1 5 6
Double Faults 6 3 9
1st in 44/68 39/55 83/123
% 1st in 65% 71% 67%
1st pts 31/44 32/39 63/83
% 1st pts 70% 82% 76%
2nd pts 9/24 8/16 17/40
% 2nd pts 38% 50% 43%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/17 4/7 9/24
Converted % 29% 57% 38%
Conceded 6 1 7
Saved 3/6 0/1 3
Saved % 50% 0% 25%
Times Broken 3 1 4
Osaka
R1
Bronzetti		 R2
Putintseva		 R3
Volynets		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 17 27 17 61
pts 74-56 81-80 70-49 225-185
Total points 130 161 119 410
Winners 34 32 23 89
%Winners 46% 40% 33% 40%
SERVE
Aces 8 6 5 19
Double Faults 3 2 1 6
1st in 43/70 46/88 28/50 117/208
% 1st in 61% 52% 56% 56%
1st pts 34/43 32/46 23/28 89/117
% 1st pts 79% 70% 82% 76%
2nd pts 10/27 20/42 15/22 45/91
% 2nd pts 37% 48% 68% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 5 3 12
Converted 4/8 5/7 3/8 12/23
Converted % 50% 71% 38% 52%
Conceded 7 10 0 17
Saved 6/7 6/10 0/0 12
Saved % 86% 60% – 73%
Times Broken 1 4 0 5

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw

Gauff
More Stats
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Osaka

Click for FULL STATS