Elise Mertens and Cristina Bucsa will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the China Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on BRAD DREWETT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.24
Cristina Bucsa -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Cristina Bucsa

There is no head to head record between Elise Mertens and Cristina Bucsa since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 29, Mertens got to the 3^rd round after defeating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Mertens defeated Cocciaretto (6-4 6-7⁶ 6-3). During the match, Mertens scored 104 points vs Cocciaretto’s 98. Mertens was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mertens bagged 10 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 55% of her first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (14/44) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Cocciaretto 8 times after converting 57% of her break points (8/14).

Mertens has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (361-226). 16-12 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Mertens has a compiled 195-114 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Belgian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Hobart.

Mertens has a composed 26-22 win-loss record in 2024, 16-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Cristina Bucsa

Ranked no. 79, Bucsa reached the 3^rd round after defeating Xinxin Yao 6-3 6-2 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-1 4-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Cristina defeated Samsonova (6-1 4-6 6-4). During the match Bucsa scored 97 points vs Samsonova’s 85. Cristina was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Bucsa blasted 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Cristina Bucsa lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bucsa put 65% of her first serves in, winning 73% (41/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Samsonova 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cristina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Cristina has an aggregate 20-25 win-loss record in 2024, 10-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mertens	Bucsa
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	32	44
Pts	104-98	171-136
Total Points	202	307
Winners	37	60
%Winners	36%	35%

Mertens played 1 match while Bucsa competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elise Mertens surrendered 1 set, while Cristina Bucsa dropped 1 set. Mertens has played 2 set(s) less than Bucsa (3 vs 5). Therefore, Mertens played 12 games less than Bucsa. Elise scored 37 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 60 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mertens	Bucsa
Aces	10	6
Avg per match	10	3
1st in	53/97	85/134
%1st in	55%	63%
1st pts	37/53	60/85
%1st pts	70%	71%
2nd pts	14/44	21/49
%2nd pts	32%	43%

Mertens blasted 10 aces . Bucsa blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Mertens won 70% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 32% of the points. On the other side, Bucsa won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mertens	Bucsa
Won	8	13
Converted	8/14	13/30
% Converted	57%	43%
Conceded	10	13
Saved	5	7
% Saved	50%	54%
Times Broken	5	6

Mertens broke her opponent 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Cristina broke her opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Mertens
	R2 Cocciaretto	Total
Score	6-4 6-76 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	104-98	104-98
Total points	202	202
Winners	37	37
%Winners	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	9	9
1st in	53/97	53/97
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	37/53	37/53
% 1st pts	70%	70%
2nd pts	14/44	14/44
% 2nd pts	32%	32%
Breaks
Won	8	8
Converted	8/14	8/14
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	5/10	5
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	5	5

Bucsa
	R1 Yao	R2 Samsonova	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-1 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	27	44
pts	74-51	97-85	171-136
Total points	125	182	307
Winners	19	41	60
%Winners	26%	42%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	6
Double Faults	4	4	8
1st in	29/48	56/86	85/134
% 1st in	60%	65%	63%
1st pts	19/29	41/56	60/85
% 1st pts	66%	73%	71%
2nd pts	9/19	12/30	21/49
% 2nd pts	47%	40%	43%
Breaks
Won	7	6	13
Converted	7/17	6/13	13/30
Converted %	41%	46%	43%
Conceded	4	9	13
Saved	1/4	6/9	7
Saved %	25%	67%	92%
Times Broken	3	3	6

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Cori GauffGauff – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paula BadosaBadosa – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Greetje MinnenMinnen (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (0-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-7⁹ 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Magda LinetteLinette (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction