Aryna Sabalenka and Ashlyn Krueger will face off in the 3rd round of the China Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:00 pm on LOTUS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.08
Ashlyn Krueger -> 7.9
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ashlyn Krueger
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Ashlyn Krueger since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
47 - 11win/loss
1
1
LLWWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Belarussian got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Mananchaya Sawangkaew 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Sawangkaew (6-4 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 68 points vs Sawangkaew’s 48. Aryna was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka recorded 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 63% of her first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Sawangkaew 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (365-165). 31-6 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled220-91 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5 and at the U.S. Open where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 7-5.
Aryna has a composed 47-11 win-loss record in 2024, 31-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Ashlyn Krueger
29 - 23win/loss
65
51
LLLWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-26 | 19-17 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-26 | 26-15 | 8-6 | 2-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 23-17 | 10-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-14 | 10-11 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 68, Krueger got to the 3rd round after defeating Yafan Wang 3-6 6-4 6-2 and Lulu Sun 6-1 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-1 7-64). During the match Krueger scored 70 points vs Sun’s 52. Ashlyn was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Krueger recorded 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Ashlyn Krueger was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of her 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Krueger broke Sun 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Krueger has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Krueger has a composed 29-23 win-loss record in 2024, 19-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 47 |
| Pts | 68-48 | 161-131 |
| Total Points | 116 | 292 |
| Winners | 30 | 77 |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Krueger competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Ashlyn Krueger surrendered 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Krueger (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 30 games less than Krueger. The Belarussian scored 30 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Ashlyn struck 77 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 40/64 | 109/156 |
| %1st in | 63% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 77/109 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 25/47 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 53% |
Sabalenka managed to score 3 aces . Krueger scored 8 aces (4 per match). Sabalenka won 75% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Krueger won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 75% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Aryna broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Ashlyn broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Ashlyn conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Sawangkaew |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 68-48 | 68-48 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/64 | 40/64 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 11/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Krueger | ||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Sun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 20 | 47 | |
| pts | 91-79 | 70-52 | 161-131 | |
| Total points | 170 | 122 | 292 | |
| Winners | 50 | 27 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 39% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 75/99 | 34/57 | 109/156 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 60% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 50/75 | 27/34 | 77/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 79% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/24 | 16/23 | 25/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 70% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 3/9 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 33% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 160% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LLLWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (0-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Greetje MinnenMinnen (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cori GauffGauff – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-79 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Magda LinetteLinette (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction
